2012 NBA Draft

Prospect Profile: Jeremy Lamb

Out of all the probable lottery-bound prospects, you likely won't see any name as positionally scattered across mock drafts as that of UConn's Jeremy Lamb.  In his latest insider mock, ESPN's Chad Ford has Lamb going at 17, though he admits that some NBA GMs have him as a top 7 or 8 talent.  Draft Express ranks Lamb as the number 12 prospect in the draft.  What a difference a year can make:

Last year at this time, Connecticut had just improbably won the NCAA Tournament largely due to the brilliance of Kemba Walker.  But Lamb, then a freshman, played Robin to Walker's Batman and was a very hot name in draft discussions, even being mentioned as a top-5 candidate.  Statistically, Lamb did nothing as a sophomore to drop his draft stock.  He assumed the role of top dog for the Huskies and averaged over 17 points-per-game.  But along the way, that top-5 luster wore off.

At about 6-foot-5 and 185 pounds, Lamb has plenty of size to play the two guard position in the NBA, especially when considering his length.  Lamb is impossibly long for his height, with a wingspan of over 7 feet.  As a guard, this attribute alone makes him a good defender.  Lamb is able to get his hands into passing lanes and contest jump shots unlike most players at his height and position.  Lamb is also an excellent athlete which obviously helps on the defensive end of the floor.

Lamb's athleticism and elevation ability give him special potential on the offensive side of the ball.  He can finish at the rim and score over bigger players because of his length.  He also can rise up and shoot over defenders with ease.  Essentially, while Lamb is only 6-foot-5, anyone playing against him would swear he is taller.  He exhibits a smoothness on offense that, whether it tangibly matters or not, is impressive to watch.

Lamb's shooting ability is a contention point in many scouting circles.  As a freshman, his lanky frame and long arms drew Reggie Miller comparisons.  He also shot over 36 percent from three.  But as a sophomore, that percentage dropped to 33.6, bringing up questions of shot selection (he took over 6 threes a game).  Lamb's midrange jumper is likely his deadliest weapon, though he can tend to rely too heavily on it instead of attacking the rim.  Overall, Lamb projects as at least a good NBA shooter, with the potential to be very good.

The questions on Lamb's shot selection may stem from his biggest question mark: his seemingly passive attitude.  While Lamb has shown the killer instinct to take over games, he also at times seems disinterested.  UConn had some chemistry issues this year which were only exacerbated by Jim Calhoun's medical leave.  Without the luxury of a full season of Calhoun and the veteran presence of a guy like Kemba Walker, Lamb showed some immaturity.  The interview portion of the draft process will likely be important for him.

From a physical standpoint, Lamb needs to put on weight fast to be able to take the pounding of an NBA season.  He also needs work as a passer.  As an NBA shooting guard, unless you're an elite scorer, passing is not a part of the game that you can just forego.  When Lamb is interested and at his best, it isn't hard to see why his name was at the top of draft boards a year ago.  Should he fall into the late lottery or beyond as Ford has projected, someone could be getting the steal of the draft.  But it is more likely that he will go in the 9-12 range. 

 

Draft Links: Draft Gambles, Barnes, International

Earlier today, Luke Adams provided some draft updates on several international prospects.  Last night Ryan Raroque posted a draft links list of his own.  As we approach June 28, Hoops Rumors will provide our readers with extensive draft coverage.  Here are some draft links headed into Thursday night:

  • Sam Amick from Sports Illustrated examines who he considers high-risk, high-reward prospects in his "Part II" draft evaluation.  He considers these names the most difficult for NBA teams to project – in essence, boom or bust types.  Some of the high profile names that Amick lists are Andre Drummond, Perry Jones III and Jeremy Lamb
  • Fox Sports Ohio's Sam Amico puts together a draft profile piece on North Carolina swingman Harrison Barnes.  Amico implies that Barnes is an NBA-ready piece that can contribute right away, albeit without the upside of a franchise-changer.  Here is our Prospect Profile on Barnes.  
  • Jonathan Givony from DraftExpress provides his scouting reports on some of the top prospects at the Nike International Junior Tournament in Istanbul.  These are some names to look out for in upcoming NBA Drafts.

Draft Updates: Fournier, Kleber, Nedovic

When the NBA released its official list of early entrants for the NBA draft, 17 international prospects were among the players named. Three of those international players are in the news, so let's round up the updates:

  • Wendell Maxey of Ridiculous Upside passes along reports that French guard Evan Fournier injured his ankle Wednesday in New Orleans and had to use crutches after the game. Fournier is considered this year's top international prospect and a likely first-round pick, but his status for this weekend's workout in New Jersey is up in the air.
  • German forward Maximilian Kleber will likely withdraw from the draft, according to an interview with Heinnews.com (hat tip to Maxey). Kleber suggests that he was advised to enter the draft to get his name out there, but that his chances of being selected are too low to remain in the player pool. Chad Ford of ESPN.com has Kleber ranked 81st on his list of 2012 prospects, though the German doesn't crack DraftExpress.com's top 100.
  • Serbian guard Nemanja Nedovic is also expected to withdraw from consideration for the 2012 draft, tweets Emiliano Carchia of Sportando, per agent Misko Raznatovic. Nedovic ranks 60th on DraftExpress' list of top prospects, and 62nd on Chad Ford's.

Draft Links: Top Prospects, Drummond, Cavaliers

Determining the potential success of an NBA prospect continues to be a great enigma. In 2005, David Lee went from being an unknown at the 2005 Chicago Pre-Draft camp to an eventual NBA All-Star in 2010. Joe Alexander, who wowed scouts as arguably the best athlete in the 2008 Pre-Draft Camp, struggled to find a niche in the NBA after being selected eighth overall. Even with the uncertainty that comes along with talent evaluation, the importance of teams doing their homework on players is highly-emphasized. Here are a few links to keep you oriented and familiar with the top names you'll be hearing about in late June:

  • Sam Amick of Sports Illustrated understands the risk of drafting on potential, but identifies his list of "jackpot" players, namely those whose talent and upside are trustworthy. In descending order, Amick highlights Anthony Davis, Thomas Robinson, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, and Bradley Beal.
  • Speaking of potential, Sam Amico of FoxSports Ohio looks at the question marks associated with potential lottery-pick Andre Drummond. The former UConn Husky stands at 6'10'' and boasts a 260-lb frame, and although he arrived as a prized recruit for Jim Calhoun last year, Drummond disappointed many with his inconsistent play. One scout believes that his upside is his selling point, and his mobility and skill set have reminded some people of Andrew Bynum
  • Starting Blocks of Cleveland.com gives a brief rundown of what various mock drafts have been projecting for the Cavaliers, who will have the 24th pick in the draft along with their lottery selection. The team currently has the third-best odds to win the number one selection. 

Odds & Ends: Deng, Magic, Ibaka, World Peace

With Tuesday night's second playoff game winding down, let's take a quick break from the action and catch up on the latest stories and headlines from across the league…

Odds & Ends: Hibbert, Amnesty, Hawks, Draft

The final series of the second round finally gets underway tonight, when the Clippers face the Spurs in San Antonio. While we wait for that game, and the Pacers/Heat contest before it, let's round up a few odds and ends from around the NBA….

Draft Notes: Lamb, Workouts, Power Forwards

Draft night is still over six weeks away, but a number of important draft-related dates are inching closer. The NBA's first official draft workout is schedule for this weekend in New Jersey, while the May 30th lottery will take place two weeks from Wednesday. Here are today's draft updates and links:

  • Like Kentucky teammate Terrence Jones, Doron Lamb has hired Arn Tellem as his agent, tweets Jonathan Givony of DraftExpress.com.
  • In an Insider piece, Chad Ford of ESPN.com previews this weekend's workout and lists the players in his top 100 who have accepted invites.
  • TNT's David Aldridge continues his draft preview on NBA.com by looking at this year's deepest position: Power forward.
  • Agent David Falk tells Rick Bonnell of the Charlotte Observer that there's a giant gap between Anthony Davis and the rest of the draft class. Falk predicts that many teams with top picks will try to trade down, because the difference between the second-best prospect and eighth-best prospect is "minuscule."

Prospect Profile: Terrence Ross

Along with power forward, shooting guard is among the most loaded positions in the upcoming draft, making the decision of Washington's Terrence Ross to leave school early a little curious.  But Ross did enjoy a breakout year as a sophomore Husky in 2011-12, averaging 16.4 points and 6.4 rebounds per contest.  At 6-foot-6 and 190 pounds, Ross has ideal size to play shooting guard in the NBA assuming he adds some muscle to his lean frame.  

Projected anywhere from the late lottery to the late teens, Ross would represent great value after pick number 15.  While he doesn't jump off the page as a future star, he lacks  weaknesses and does seem like the quintessential shooting guard (think a ceiling of Eddie Jones).  Ross is a very good shooter, a good athlete and is explosive enough to finish with force at the rim. 

Ross at times can fall in love with the outside shot, but that sometimes works in his favor.  He shot over 37 percent from three as a sophomore at Washington, a number particularly impressive considering he attempted 5.5 treys a game.  Ross also has an above average pull-up game and can knock down shots coming off screens.  Ross would be ideal for a team like Philadelphia that is desperate for a traditional two-guard. 

Ross' game is solid – scouts neither rave about any of his strong suits nor dwell on his weaknesses.  If there are any significant knocks on Ross, they are his ballhandling and basketball IQ.  Ross needs to work on his shot selection, as he sometimes pulls the trigger at the wrong time.  He sometimes doesn't seem to have a good feel for the game.  While he can finish at the rim via dunk, his mediocre ballhandling limits the ways he can get there.  He thrives on the fast break or coming off back screens or cuts, but breaking a defender down off the dribble is not his forte. 

Two big pluses to Ross' game, particularly as a shooting guard, are his defense and fearlessness.  Ross has the concept of "irrational confidence" that basketball people talk about down pat, which is crucial for a scorer.  Perhaps this is a positive side effect of his lower than ideal basketball IQ.  He is not afraid to take big shots regardless of how many he has missed that night.  His size and athleticism enables him to be an above average defender despite not being particularly long.  His defense projects to translate at the NBA level. 

Ross will need to add some bulk to his 190 pound frame if he is to fulfill his potential at the next level.  His well-rounded game is almost certain to put him in an NBA rotation in the near future.  Whether he can develop into more likely depends on if he can develop any of the solid aspects of his game – shooting, scoring, defending – into an an elite skill.

Prospect Profile: Tony Wroten

The draft is an inexact science that’s not for the faint of heart in NBA front offices, and deciding whether to take one first-round prospect in particular already has a few executives sweating. Most teams are “scared to death” of Washington point guard Tony Wroten, as Chad Ford wrote in an ESPN.com Insider piece last month. His poor decisions with the ball, deficient shooting and lack of ability to lift his team raise serious doubts about whether he can fulfill an upside that Ford says could be the best of any point guard in the draft. That Wroten once listed J.R. Smith, another questionable decision maker, as his favorite player of all-time, doesn’t exactly ease anyone’s mind. If he were judged on talent alone, Joe Treutlein of Draft Express believes the freshman would be a top 10 pick, while Ford says he would be in the top five. The doubts about him bring the official ESPN and Draft Express projections down to 21st, while NBADraft.net sees him going 26th.

It would be easy to dismiss the 19-year-old if he weren't so full of potential. His ability to get to the basket, draw fouls and make dazzling passes is hard to match. Making the difficult pass, however, means little if you can't consistently make the routine pass, and this year Wroten averaged more turnovers per game (3.8) than assists (3.7). That's as much of an indictment as any for a point guard. Treutlein points out that the lefty plays almost completely one-handed, an issue that may mitigate his penetration when facing tougher defenders and better scouting at the pro level. The same piece praises Wroten for his defense, though, noting that while he is prone to gambling for steals, he usually is effective in using his size, strength, length and instincts to his advantage. He measures 6'5", 204.5 pounds, with a 6'8" wingspan, lending credence to the notion that he's really a combo guard.

Wroten is harder to compare to other players than any other prospect in this year's draft, Jeff Goodman of CBSSports.com said this week via Twitter, but both Treutlein and Ford have thrown out the name of Tyreke Evans. Ford says some scouts believe he's the second coming of Gary Payton, but judging from everything else we hear, that seems like quite a stretch. Nate Robinson is Wroten's cousin, and he might be a reasonable match. Though Robinson is eight inches shorter, he's also a combo guard who can get to the hoop and alternates between scintillating and frustrating performances. One major difference is Robinson's outside shot; he's hit 35.4% from three-point land in his NBA career, while Wroten managed to connect on only 16.1% of his attempts from the college three-point line this year.

In Wroten's most pressure-packed moments as a collegian, the 58.3% free-throw shooter missed four straight from the line down the stretch of a two-point loss that knocked his team out of NCAA Tournament contention. While Washington was the Pac-12 regular season champ, the Huskies wound up in the NIT, a serious knock on the competition Wroten faced this year. He has experience with USA Basketball at the junior level, but his bio from those competitions reveals that he missed the entire 2009/10 season with a torn ACL. Certainly, others have fully recovered from that kind of injury, but it's another red flag that makes him such an object of concern for NBA teams.

The best outcome for Wroten might be to get with a well-run organization that can give him the guidance and time necessary to develop and use him as a third guard off the bench instead of a starter.  The Celtics, who have back-t0-back picks at No. 21 and No. 22, might be tempted to take the plunge with Wroten with one of those selections if they play it conservatively with the other. Rajon Rondo and, if he re-signs, Ray Allen, could be just the kind of mentors Wroten needs to one day prove all his critics wrong.  

Odds & Ends: Curry, Beal, Kidd-Gilchrist, Sloan

Warriors guard Stephen Curry had shown to be one of the league's most promising young talents after two years into his NBA career, but was limited by lingering ankle injuries during his third season.  Rusty Simmons of SFGate reports that the former Davidson star views his recent ankle surgery as a relief and that he fully expects to be ready for training camp in October. Curry, who feels that backup power forward and depth are the team's biggest needs, also wants to be more involved with Golden State's draft process and plans to attend prospect workouts over the next two months (Sulia link). Here are the other significant links we've gathered up this evening: 

  • Gary Washburn of the Boston Globe tweeted that Bradley Beal from Florida has signed with Mark Bartelstein and Priority Sports. Beal is projected to be a top five pick in next month's NBA Draft.
  • Michael Kidd-Gilchrist announced via his Twitter account that he has signed with Creative Artists Agency. 
  • Following a season that likely included an innumerable amount of facepalms compared to high-fives, the Bobcats are now focused on adding a new head coach after recently parting ways with Paul Silas. Mitch Lawrence of the NY Daily News hears that Charlotte might try to pursue Jerry Sloan as a possible replacement, citing GM Rich Cho and Michael Jordan's admiration for the former Jazz coach. He also mentions that Sloan turned down six head coaching offers last season (among them Golden State and Detroit), which would imply that it will take a compelling proposal to convince him to join the league's biggest re-building project. 
  • Jeff Caplan of ESPN Dallas briefly touches base on the possibility of Rick Carlisle becoming a free agent this summer. Carlisle is finishing up his last year of a four-year contract, and despite president of basketball operations Donnie Nelson continually saying that the Mavericks coach isn't going anywhere, there has been no mention of talks regarding a new deal. Owner Mark Cuban declined to elaborate on the situation today, saying that he "doesn't talk about free agent coaches or otherwise." In a separate article by Tim MacMahon of ESPN Dallas, Cuban insists that he does not regret letting Tyson Chandler leave because of the financial flexibility he was able to preserve. 
  • David West has been one of the NBA's most significant free agent acquisitions from last year's offseason, helping the Pacers secure the third seed in the Eastern Conference and homecourt advantage in the first round of the playoffs. Alex Kennedy of HoopsWorld discusses how West's presence has benefited the culture and confidence of the team. 
  • Despite a second straight lottery season for the Cavaliers, owner Dan Gilbert remains a popular figure in Cleveland, writes Plain Dealer columnist Bill Livingston. With such a close connection to the team's fan base, Livingston sees Gilbert as a more wealthy, modern-day version of legendary baseball owner Bill Veeck.