2014 NBA Draft

Prospect Profile: Gary Harris

The upcoming NBA Draft will have almost certainly have the lottery portion dominated by freshman, but teams looking for a solid shooting guard who can do a little bit of everything might find Michigan State’s Gary Harris to be the answer. The 6’4″ sophomore announced he was entering this year’s draft last week. “I expect Gary to be a high pick in the draft, but more importantly, I know that he is well prepared for a long career,” Michigan State coach Tom Izzo said in a released statement.

During the announcement Harris said, “The last two years have been the best of my life, but it’s time to follow my dream and declare for the NBA Draft. My two seasons at Michigan State have been an amazing experience. I have a lifetime of memories, including some incredible games in some incredible places, NCAA tournaments, and cutting down the nets after a Big Ten Tournament Championship. But most important are the friendships I’ve developed with my teammates. These are bonds that will last forever, especially the guys in my class. I can’t imagine a better group of guys to be around.”

In 35 games this season, Harris averaged 16.7 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 2.7 APG, and 1.8 SPG in 32.3 minutes per night. His slash line was .429/.352/.810. In two seasons, Harris’ career numbers were 14.9 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 2.0 APG, and 1.6 SPG in 31.0 minutes per game. His career slash line was .440/.376/.788.

Harris is currently projected as a late lottery pick. NBA Draft.net projects him being taken eighth in their latest mock draft, CBSSports.com has him going 10th, Bleacher Report has him 11th, and Draft Express slots him 13th. Chad Ford of ESPN.com has Harris ranked as the 11th best prospect on his “Big Board.”

Harris is a well-rounded player who can do numerous things to help his team win on both ends of the court. He is one of the best offensive prospects in the draft, and a highly proficient scorer on the perimeter, despite the fact he didn’t shoot the ball nearly as well as he was a year ago. After shooting 43% from the three-point line as a freshman, his percentage dropped to 35% this year. Whether or not Harris can make the shots from deep more consistently in the NBA is a question that scouts are asking. One plus is that his high and quick release will not need much adjustment as he moves to playing against elite athletes in the NBA.

While most scouts thought of Harris as just a shooter after his freshman campaign, he worked hard in the weight room to develop his body and put on muscle. This bulk helps him to attack the rim and finish off the bounce and not be rattled by larger defenders in the paint. Harris is also able to create for himself with a quick two-dribble attack and is excellent at the catch-and-shoot game. He is also very solid coming off screens and is skilled at knowing the proper time to come off them for a jump shot, or drive to the rim.

Harris is a tenacious defensive player who has a good chance to translate his gifts to the professional level sooner than other 2014 first round prospects. His game is also more mature than his age as he will be only 19 on draft day. He ranked fourth in the Big Ten in steals, and eighth in defensive wins shares with 2.0. Harris is both disruptive and consistent enough on the defensive end that other teams have to account for him at all times.

One concern for Harris is his size. He is considered a small two guard at the next level, and could be taken advantage of by bigger, stronger, guards. He still has time to develop and fill out his frame, so he could increase his overall strength, but the height could be an issue if he’s a starter. Coming off the bench as a sixth man could offset his disadvantage and maximize his productivity.

Some scouts have opined that it’s “unrealistic” to think he’ll be a high-impact player right away, but he is a player without a glaring weakness. NBA executives like his size, strength, athleticism, scoring ability, defense and character. The biggest plus about Harris is that GMs already know what type of player he is, as well as what position he’ll play. He isn’t an elite athlete like a few of the top prospects in this year’s class, but he is a solid, steady player who will contribute in every facet of the game.

His upside and game have been compared to O.J. Mayo and J.R. Smith, but with a more solid character, and he’s regarded as much more coachable. Harris isn’t a player who will blow teams away during pre-draft workouts, but on film the nuances of his game will shine. He is almost certain to be taken in the lottery, and I believe he will become a solid pro, but not a No. 1 scoring option in the NBA. He’s a great value pick in the 10-15 range.

And-Ones: Age-Limit, Harrisons, Bucks

The first day of the postseason is almost in the books, with the Thunder trying to avoid being the fourth home team to lose. Here’s a roundup of notes from around the league:

  • Rick Buchanan oversees the NBA’s drug-testing program, and he defended the league’s process to Sam Amick of USA Today“[The NBA’s protocol] is as good or better than the programs in the other leagues, but we’ve kind of been given a bit of a hard time about that,” Buchanan said. “And then we have a positive [testing] situation, and a penalty, and the questions then go in another direction, which is, ‘Gee, isn’t this harsh?’…We can’t seem to catch a break.” The player’s union came out strongly in opposition to the suspension of Nick Calathes handed down yesterday.
  • Following this week’s owners meeting, Adam Silver said that the league is prepared to make raising the age limit for draft entry its top priority, per Brian Windhorst of ESPN.com. Silver and the owners also discussed a variety of ways to ease the transition from college hoops to the pros, including lowering the college shot clock and providing financial incentive to stay in school.
  • Changing the lottery format to increase the incentive for all teams to field competitive teams was also an item of discussion, with plans including the draft “wheel” and a postseason play-in tournament on the table, the ESPN scribe adds.
  • Charles F. Gardner of The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel thinks that the Bucks could turn around their franchise and parallel the success stories of the Thunder and Bobcats, but opines that the rebuild will take years and require patience.
  • Andrew and Aaron Harrison are waiting for NBA feedback before they decide whether to enter this year’s draft, the twins’ father tells Mark Berman of MyFOXHouston.com (H/T Adam Zagoria of SNY.tv). “I just sent the paperwork in two or three days ago,” said Aaron Harrison, Sr. “I talked to a gentleman at the NBA and he said he would get it to me as fast as possible and then we’ll go from there. It’s important. You’re trying to find out what the prospects are for them and where they’ll be drafted and all those things.”

Eastern Rumors: Sixers, Bucks, Bobcats

Al Jefferson and Kemba Walker tell Scott Fowler of The Charlotte Observer that Walker’s recruiting played a part in “Big Al” signing with the Bobcats last summer. Although Walker wasn’t optimistic, Jefferson says the point guard’s pitch made a difference. “Nothing feels better than knowing somebody wants you,” said Jefferson. “It made me feel special. And their top player had come to me in the offseason and really wanted me to come.” Here’s more from the East:

  • Ian Begley of ESPNNewYork.com looks at how the projected cap increase for next year could help teams like the Bulls and Rockets pursue Carmelo Anthony, should he opt out of his final contract year with the Knicks.
  • Joe Dumars has no interest in the Cavs GM opening, sources tell Sam Amico of FOX Sports Ohio.
  • Sixers coach Brett Brown tells Keith Pompey of The Philadelphia Inquirer that he believes in the process Philadelphia’s front office has designed heading into the draft. “I will be led by [GM Sam Hinkie]. I have gone through a very system-oriented process for the past 12 years [as San Antonio Spurs assistant] with an organization that’s proven they’ve made way more good decisions than bad decisions,” said Brown. “I’m going to let him use me how he wants to use me. That’s my nature–to immerse myself into it all and be highly opinionated. Somewhere out there, analytics people and Sam as the architect of all of it and the coaches will share an opinion. And the club will roll with it.”
  • Tom Moore of Calkins Media says that Sixers owner Joshua Harris’s assessment of Philadelphia’s season as a “success” is premature, and ultimately will depend on how well Hinkie uses the team’s abundance of draft picks this summer.
  • Marc Lasry and Wesley Edens were interviewed for the first time since becoming the new Bucks owners by Don Walker of The Journal Sentinel. The pair emphasized the plans to bring a new arena to Milwaukee, and their commitment to building a winner. “Part of this for us, [is that] you can only go up. If you look at this, if we do the right things, if we pick the right players, if everything works the way hopefully it will and we can follow the model of San Antonio or the Thunder,” said Lasry. “I think everybody wants the same thing we do. Everybody just wants a winner.”

And-Ones: Draft, Bucks, Cavs, Pistons

Chuck Myron of Hoops Rumors weighed in on the Eastern Conference playoffs as a guest on The Baseline podcast at Shaw Sports.

More from around the Association and college ranks:

  • Kentucky coach John Calipari has no idea if Andrew Harrison and Aaron Harrison will declare for this year’s NBA Draft, writes Adam Zagoria of SNY.tv. Calipari said, “They have ‘til the 27th to make a decision. I don’t even know what the NCAA date is because we don’t worry about it. It has nothing to do with us. The only date they have to be concerned about is the 27th, when they have to put their name in or they don’t put their name in.” Draft Express has Andrew ranked as the 39th best prospect and Aaron as the 53rd.
  • The NBA Draft Experts at ESPN.com examine the scouting report and draft prospects of Kentucky’s James Young, who has announced that he will enter this year’s draft. Young ranks 15th on Chad Ford of ESPN.com‘s Big Board.
  • Duke’s Rodney Hood also gets profiled by ESPN.com’s draft experts. Hood has declared he’s entering the draft this year, and Ford has him ranked 22nd. You can also check out our prospect profile on Hood.
  • Adam Silver doesn’t anticipate any issues affecting league approval of Herb Kohl’s sale of the Bucks to Wesley Edens and Marc Lasry, as the commissioner told reporters today, including Don Walker of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Silver informed fellow Journal Sentinel scribe Charles F. Gardner that he expects approval to occur within a month (Twitter link).
  • Despite the talk that Cavaliers guards Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters don’t get along, Luol Deng has said the two players “love” each other, writes Bob Finnan of The Morning Journal.
  • Part of the reason the Pistons had such a poor season was due to bad chemistry, writes Vince Ellis of The Detroit Free Press. Ellis’ article speculates as to what caused this issue.
  • Larry Coon of the CBA FAQ Blog (via RealGM.com) is reporting that the 2014/15 salary cap is now projected to be $63.2MM and the tax level is projected to be $77MM. The numbers for 2015/16 are now projected to be $66.5MM and $81MM, respectively. This season’s figures are $58.679MM for the salary cap and $71.748MM for the luxury tax level, so the cap projection for next season is a 7.7% increase over this year’s.

Projected 2014 First-Round Draft Order

The NBA has announced the winners of random drawings that broke ties in the draft order among teams that finished with the same records. Only one of those drawings involved lottery teams, and the Jazz were the beneficiaries, snagging the fourth-most lottery combinations instead of the Celtics. It’s only a slight advantage, since the Jazz will have a 10.4% chance at the top pick, while the Celtics will have a 10.3% chance, but perhaps most importantly, Utah will pick ahead of Boston if neither move up on May 20th, when the lottery is held.

Here’s the complete order, with places determined by drawing in bold:

  1. Bucks
  2. Sixers
  3. Magic
  4. Jazz — won drawing against Celtics
  5. Celtics — lost drawing against Jazz
  6. Lakers
  7. Kings
  8. Pistons — will send pick to Bobcats if the fall to ninth or lower in lottery
  9. Cavaliers
  10. Pelicans — will send pick to Sixers unless they win one of top three picks in lottery
  11. Nuggets — will send least favorable of own pick and Knicks’ pick to Magic
  12. Knicks — will send pick to Nuggets
  13. Timberwolves — will send pick to Suns if Phoenix passes them in the lottery
  14. Suns
  15. Hawks
  16. Bulls — from Bobcats
  17. Celtics — from Nets; won drawing against Suns
  18. Suns — from Wizards; lost drawing against Celtics
  19. Bulls — won drawing against Raptors
  20. Raptors — lost drawing against Bulls
  21. Thunder — from Mavs
  22. Grizzlies
  23. Jazz — from Warriors
  24. Bobcats — from Trail Blazers; won three-way drawing against Rockets and Heat
  25. Rockets — finished second in three-way drawing against Bobcats and Heat
  26. Heat — finished third in three-way drawing against Bobcats and Rockets
  27. Suns — from Pacers
  28. Clippers
  29. Thunder
  30. Spurs

James Young To Enter Draft

Kentucky freshman James Young is headed for this year’s NBA draft, the school announced. The swingman is the No. 16 prospect in the rankings that Jonathan Givony of DraftExpress puts together, and 17th on Chad Ford’s ESPN.com list.

Young was a three-point gunner this season for the Wildcats, knocking down 82, the second most ever by a Kentucky freshman. However, he needed 5.9 three-point attempts per game to hit that mark, and he was only a 34.9% shooter from behind the arc. He averaged 14.3 points and 4.3 rebounds in 32.4 minutes per game.

The 6’7″ 18-year-old is the first Kentucky underclassman to declare for the draft this year, though a few more will likely follow. Young is one of five Wildcats in Givony’s top 60 prospects. Willie Cauley-Stein had been the sixth, but he’s decided to return to school.

Jabari Parker Declares For Draft

Jabari Parker has decided to enter this year’s draft, as he writes on SI.com in a piece with Jeff Benedict. There was less clarity about Parker’s decision than with anyone else projected to go in the top half of the lottery, as the possibility of playing with AAU teammate and top 2015 prospect Jahlil Okafor at Duke next season tugged at his heart. Ultimately, Parker, the No. 2 prospect in the rankings of Chad Ford of ESPN.com and the third-best with Jonathan Givony of DraftExpress, has opted to head to the NBA after his freshman year.

Parker says the decision came down to his conclusion that the NBA gives him the best opportunity for growth on and off the court, as he writes in the piece. He also acknowledges that he considered going on a two-year Mormon mission rather than playing basketball, but he’s chosen not to do that.

The combo forward averaged 19.1 points and 8.7 rebounds in 30.7 minutes per game for Duke, which suffered an upset loss to Mercer in the NCAA tournament. Teams consider Parker and the Kansas duo of Andrew Wiggins and Joel Embiid as the primary contenders for the No. 1 overall pick, though many prefer the greater upside that Wiggins and Embiid have, as our Charlie Adams noted when he examined Parker’s stock last month.

In any case, today’s news is a relief to teams with significant chances at one of the top two or three picks in the draft, as well as those farther down the lottery order, since the absence of Parker from the draft would further commoditize the other top prospects. Parker notes in his piece that he’s sent official paperwork to the NBA, and Wednesday was the final day that underclassmen could withdraw from the draft and still retain their college eligibility, so there’s finally clarity surrounding the top of the 2014 draft.

Draft Notes: Parker, Saric, Ennis, Gordon

There were dozens of scenarios in play for June’s draft order entering the final night of the regular season, as I outlined Wednesday, but many of them remain unresolved. Random drawings set for Friday will break the four ties shown in our Reverse Standings, while the May 20th draft lottery looms for the top of the order. Until then, here’s the latest on a handful of the top prospects:

  • Jabari Parker would go right to the top of the 2015 prospect rankings if he chooses to stay at Duke for his sophomore year, opines Chad Ford of ESPN.com, who answered reader questions in a chat Wednesday.
  • Dario Saric’s agent said the matter of whether his client will remain in the draft or withdraw will have much to do with their confidence that he’d be drafted in the top 10 or 14 picks. However, most teams would want to know for sure that he’d play in the NBA next season before committing a top-10 pick to him, as Ford writes in the same chat.
  • Syracuse point guard Tyler Ennis is going with agent Mike George of Excel Sports Management for his representation, tweets Adam Zagoria of SNY.tv.
  • Another projected lottery pick, Arizona forward Aaron Gordon, is set to sign with BDA Sports, reports Bruce Pascoe of the Arizona Daily Star (Twitter link).
  • Purdue sophomore A.J. Hammons will return to school rather than entering this year’s draft, the Boilermakers announced. The center is the 40th-best prospect on the list that Jonathan Givony of DraftExpress compiles, while Ford puts him 72nd.

Nemanja Dangubic To Enter Draft

Serbian shooting guard Nemanja Dangubic has declared himself eligible for this year’s draft, agent Misko Raznatovic tweets (hat tip to Emiliano Carchia of Sportando). Jonathan Givony of DraftExpress doesn’t include Dangubic in his top 100 prospects, but he lists him as the seventh-best international prospect born in 1993. He’s unranked in Chad Ford’s listings for ESPN.com.

Dangubic is variously listed as either 6’5″ or 6’6″. He’s played for KK Mega Vizura in his home country the past two seasons, averaging 9.5 points and 3.5 rebounds in 25.6 minutes per contest this year. He’s not a long-range shooter, having connected on just 28.2% of his three-point attempts in 2013/14.

He won’t be automatically eligible for the draft until 2015, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see Dangubic go through a few workouts with NBA teams and withdraw before the June 16th deadline for players from overseas. If he remains eligible and goes undrafted this year, he’ll be a free agent capable of signing with any NBA team, so perhaps he and Raznatovic prefer that flexibility.

Sim Bhullar To Enter Draft

Next Mexico State center Sim Bhullar will enter the NBA draft, writes Josh Gershon of Scout.com (on Twitter). Bhullar is a sophomore with massive size, standing at 7’5″ and weighing in at 355 pounds. During his second season as an Aggie, Bhullar put up 10.4 points and 7.8 rebounds per night while averaging just over 26 minutes every contest. His massive size advantage over opponents allowed him to shoot 64.8% from the floor while posting 3.4 blocks per game.

The move to declare for the draft is a bit puzzling because questions still linger about the big man’s ability to succeed at the next level. Chris Mannix of Sports Illustrated is among those perplexed by the decision, suggesting Bhullar would be wise to find another source of career advice (Twitter link).

Bhullar isn’t on Jonathan Givony of DraftExpress‘ list of top 100 prospects, but a report last month suggested the he could be taken in the second round by a team intrigued with his colossal size. Yesterday marked the last day early entrants could withdraw from the draft and still retain NCAA eligibility, so Bhullar will be ineligible to return to New Mexico State even if he isn’t drafted.