2022 NBA Draft

Draft Notes: Koloko, E. Williams, Welch, Mock

Arizona junior big man Christian Koloko has decided to enter the 2022 NBA draft, he tells Shams Charania of Stadium and The Athletic (video link).

Koloko doesn’t specify whether he plans to leave school or simply test the draft waters, but he doesn’t mention anything about maintaining his college eligibility, and Charania’s tweet indicates the young center intends to go pro.

Koloko enjoyed a breakout season for the Wildcats in 2021/22, averaging 12.6 PPG, 7.3 RPG, and 2.8 BPG in 37 games (25.4 MPG). He was named both the Most Improved Player and the Defensive Player of the Year in the Pac-12, earning All Pac-12 First Team honors.

Jeff Goodman of Stadium, referring to Koloko as an “elite” defender, projects him to go in the 20-35 range of this year’s draft (Twitter link). Jonathan Givony places Koloko at No. 36 on ESPN’s big board, praising his mobility, quickness, and improved offensive game, but noting that some scouts may have concerns about his thin frame and “lack of physicality.”

Here are a few more draft-related notes:

  • Oregon senior swingman Eric Williams Jr. will forgo his final year of NCAA eligibility and hire an agent as he enters the draft, he announced on Twitter. Williams spent his first two college seasons as Duquesne before transferring to the Ducks. He put up 8.4 PPG and 4.6 RPG in 33 games (26.8 MPG) in 2021/22.
  • St. Bonaventure senior guard Dominick Welch will test the draft waters by putting his name in the 2022 pool while maintaining his final year of eligibility, he announced on Twitter. Welch, who has started 105 of his 110 games for the Bonnies across four seasons, averaged 12.3 PPG and 6.0 RPG with a .374 3PT% in 2021/22.
  • With the odds for the draft lottery set, Jonathan Wasserman of Bleacher Report has updated his 2022 mock draft, projecting all 58 picks (two second-rounders have been forfeited), from Jabari Smith at No. 1 to Dereon Seabron at No. 60.

2022 NBA Draft Lottery Odds

The NBA will be using its revamped lottery format for the fourth time this year. The new format, instituted in 2019, smoothed out the odds for top picks, reducing the league’s worst team’s chance of getting the No. 1 selection from 25.0% to 14.0%.

[RELATED: Hoops Rumors Glossary: NBA Draft Lottery]

The changes have had an immediate impact. In 2019, the Pelicans and Grizzlies were tied for the seventh-best lottery odds, but jumped up to No. 1 and 2, respectively, allowing them to land Zion Williamson and Ja Morant.

In 2020, the Bulls and Hornets landed picks in the top four despite entering lottery night with the seventh- and eighth-best odds, respectively. That stroke of luck significantly changed the long-term outlook in Charlotte, where the Hornets were able to land LaMelo Ball with the No. 3 pick.

2021 was the most by-the-numbers of the three lotteries under the new format, but the Cavaliers and Raptors moved into the top four after entering lottery night with the fifth- and seventh-best odds and each landed a player who looks like a long-term franchise cornerstone (and a potential Rookie of the Year winner): Evan Mobley and Scottie Barnes.

This year’s draft lottery will take place on Tuesday, May 17.

With the help of data from Tankathon.com – which is worth checking out for all sorts of draft-related info – the draft lottery odds for 2022 are listed in the chart below.

The numbers in the chart indicate percentages, so the Rockets‘ pick, for instance, has a 14% chance of landing the No. 1 pick and a 47.9% chance of ending up at No. 5. If a team’s odds are listed as >0, that percentage is below 0.1%.

Here’s the full chart (if you’re on our mobile site or app and can’t see the whole thing, try turning your phone sideways):

Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
HOU 14 13.4 12.7 12 47.9
ORL 14 13.4 12.7 12 27.8 20
DET 14 13.4 12.7 12 14.8 26 7
OKC 12.5 12.2 11.9 11.5 7.2 25.7 16.7 2.2
IND 10.5 10.5 10.6 10.5 2.2 19.6 26.7 8.7 0.6
POR 9 9.2 9.4 9.6 8.6 29.8 20.6 3.7 0.1
SAC 7.5 7.8 8.1 8.5 19.7 34.1 12.9 1.3 >0
LAL* 6 6.3 6.7 7.2 34.5 32.1 6.7 0.4 >0
SAS 4.5 4.8 5.2 5.7 50.7 25.9 3 0.1 >0
WAS 3 3.3 3.6 4 65.9 19 1.2 >0 >0
NYK 2 2.2 2.4 2.8 77.6 12.6 0.4 >0
LAC* 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 86.1 6.7 0.1
CHA 1 1.1 1.2 1.4 92.9 2.3
CLE 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 97.6

Notes:

  • The Lakers‘ pick will be sent to the Pelicans if it lands in the top 10 or to the Grizzlies if it lands outside of the top 10.
  • The Clippers‘ pick will be sent to the Thunder.

We’ll publish the full pre-lottery 2022 draft order later today, once the NBA conducts a series of tiebreakers for the teams that finished the season with identical records.

Dyson Daniels To Enter NBA Draft

Dyson Daniels of the G League Ignite has decided to declare for the NBA draft, according to Jonathan Givony of ESPN. The 6’8″ Australian guard is ranked 10th overall on ESPN’s big board.

“I’m all in for the draft,” Daniels said. “I feel more than ready for this next step in my career and I’m excited for this process to begin.”

Daniels had a strong showing in his first G League season, averaging 12.0 points, 7.1 rebounds, 5.1 assists and 2.0 steals in 26 games while playing about 32 minutes per night. He also took part in the Rising Stars contest during the NBA’s All-Star Weekend.

The 19-year-old is hoping to become the second graduate of the NBA Global Academy in Canberra, Australia, to be taken in the lottery. Fellow Australian Josh Giddey was the sixth pick last year.

Daniels was the first major international player to sign with G League Ignite, and he believes the experience was beneficial. Although he struggled early in the season with the faster pace and more physical style of play, he eventually adapted to it.

“As the season went on and coach put the ball in my hand, I was able to find myself as the primary playmaker,” Daniels said. “We built our chemistry and learned our roles in the team, which helped me take my game to the next level.” One of the things I’m looking forward to showing NBA teams is my ability to create my own shot. That’s something I’ve been working hard on. I’m looking forward to showing them my versatility playing multiple positions and using my basketball IQ to be a problem solver.”

Possible Lottery Pick Ousmane Dieng Entering Draft

French forward Ousmane Dieng is entering the 2022 NBA draft, he told ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski and Jonathan Givony.

[RELATED: 2022 NBA Draft Early Entrants List]

Dieng is viewed by ESPN as the No. 12 prospect in this year’s class, according to the report from Wojnarowski and Givony, though he currently shows up at No. 18 on ESPN’s actual top-100 list. Either way, he’s considered a potential lottery pick after a promising season with the New Zealand Breakers.

The first European star to take advantage of the National Basketball League’s Next Stars program for young prospects, Dieng faced older, more seasoned competition in 2021/22 and acquitted himself well, according to Givony.

“Playing in a tough league with really good players was really good for me,” Dieng told ESPN. “I learned a lot. The transition was significant, going up against much better players than I saw in France. The game is faster. Everyone is more physical.”

Dieng, who got better as the NBL season progressed, is considered a very strong passer and defender, with the versatility to guard multiple positions, says Givony. The 18-year-old told ESPN that Scottie Barnes and fellow Frenchman Nicolas Batum are among the players he has studied and whose games he believes he can emulate.

Draft Notes: Ellis, Murray, Roberts, Early Entrants

Alabama guard Keon Ellis, who has one year of college eligibility remaining, will go pro rather than staying in school for another year. Ellis has hired EZ Sports Group for representation, the agency announced earlier this week (via Instagram), making him draft-eligible this June.

The No. 48 prospect on ESPN’s big board, Ellis averaged 12.1 PPG, 6.1 RPG, and 1.9 SPG in 33 games (30.9 MPG) in 2021/22 for the Crimson Tide and earned a spot on the SEC’s All-Defense team.

Another prospect in ESPN’s top 100, Iowa sophomore forward Kris Murray, has also declared for the 2022 NBA draft, but he’ll maintain his college eligibility and just test the waters for now, he announced on Twitter.

Murray, who comes in at No. 98 on ESPN’s board, barely played in his freshman year, but emerged as a rotation player in 2021/22, averaging 9.7 PPG and 4.3 RPG on .479/.387/.645 shooting in 35 games (17.9 MPG). His twin brother Keegan Murray, a projected top-10 pick, declared for the draft last month.

Here’s more on the draft:

Baylor’s Jeremy Sochan Declaring For NBA Draft

Baylor freshman forward Jeremy Sochan has decided to enter the 2022 NBA draft and will forgo his remaining NCAA eligibility by hiring representation, he tells Jonathan Givony of ESPN. According to Givony, Sochan will sign with Jim Tanner and Deirunas Visockas of Tandem Sports.

Sochan only started one of his 30 games in his first and only college season, but made an impact off the bench, averaging 9.2 PPG, 6.4 RPG, and 1.3 SPG in 25.1 minutes per contest and earning Big 12 Sixth Man of the Year honors. Sochan, who won’t turn 19 until next month, also established himself as one of the best defenders at the college level, says Givony.

Although Baylor claimed a No. 1 seed in the NCAA tournament, the Bears didn’t last long, having been eliminated in the second round by North Carolina. Despite the disappointing end to his season, Sochan made a strong impression on NBA scouts and projects as a potential lottery pick, according to Givony, who ranks him No. 13 on ESPN’s big board.

“I always knew that I’ll be in the NBA, whether it took one year or four,” Sochan said, adding that he’s looking forward to showing teams how mature his game is for his age. “I have my own game that takes from many different players and positions. Some players that I think I can learn a lot from are Mikal Bridges, Bam Adebayo, Draymond Green, Jaylen Brown, Aaron Gordon, Boris Diaw, just to name a few.”

Sochan is the third Baylor prospect to declare for this year’s draft, joining teammates Kendall Brown and James Akinjo.

Alabama’s JD Davison To Enter Draft

Alabama point guard JD Davison has declared for the NBA draft, tweets Jonathan Givony of ESPN. The freshman hasn’t made an official announcement yet, but he’s apparently committed to staying in the draft, telling Givony that he’s “done with college” (Twitter link).

A five-star recruit, Davison started just five of the 33 games he played this season for the Crimson Tide. He averaged 8.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 4.3 assists in 25.8 minutes per night and earned a spot on the SEC’s All-Freshman Team.

Davison is ranked 38th on ESPN’s big board and is seventh among point guards. He’s known as an explosive dunker, but not a refined ball-handler or consistent outside shooter. He committed 2.9 turnovers per game in college and will have to show improvement in his play-making skills to work his way into the first round.

Bennedict Mathurin Enters NBA Draft

Projected lottery pick Bennedict Mathurin has announced on Twitter that he will leave Arizona and declare for the NBA draft.

The 19-year-old sophomore earned Pac 12 Player of the Year honors and was a second team all-American selection this season. He averaged 17.7 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2.5 assists in 37 games and helped lead the Wildcats to a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament.

Mathurin is ranked 11th overall and is the second-best small forward on ESPN’s big board. He developed into an explosive scorer and a floor spacer during his second collegiate season, shooting 47.1% from the field and 41.8% from three-point range.

“I would like to thank my family and friends for supporting me through my career at Arizona,” Mathurin wrote in his announcement. “The city of Tucson has been great to me and the best fan base in the world has welcomed me with open arms. … It has always been a dream of mine to play in the NBA and I am ready to take that step forward.”

Marquette’s Justin Lewis Among Draft’s Latest Early Entrants

Marquette sophomore forward Justin Lewis has decided to declare for the 2022 NBA draft, he announced on Twitter. Lewis said he’ll sign with an agent but will maintain his college eligibility, which suggests he’ll be advised by an NCAA-certified agent, giving him the option of withdrawing and returning to school.

Lewis entered Marquette’s starting lineup in his second college season and enjoyed a breakout year, averaging 16.8 PPG and 7.9 RPG with a .440/.349/.761 shooting line in 32 games (32.2 MPG). Lewis, who earned All-Big East honors and was named the conference’s Most Improved Player, currently ranks 37th overall on ESPN’s board of 2022 prospects, making him a strong candidate to be drafted if he keeps his name in this year’s pool.

Here are a few more draft-related updates:

  • It’s not official yet, but sources tell Travis Branham of 247Sports.com that Kentucky’s Shaedon Sharpe is expected to announce soon that he’ll enter the 2022 draft while maintaining his NCAA eligibility. Sharpe has yet to play for the Wildcats, but is eligible to enter the 2022 draft and could be a top-10 pick if he does so. He currently ranks No. 6 overall on ESPN’s big board.
  • Zvonimir Ivisic, a 7’2″ Croatian big man, has declared for the 2022 draft, agent Misko Raznatovic tells Jonathan Givony of ESPN (Twitter link). The 18-year-old, who is the No. 77 prospect on ESPN’s top-100 list, has been playing in Montenegro with SC Derby this season.
  • San Francisco senior guard Khalil Shabazz has announced he intends to test the NBA draft waters while maintaining his final year of college eligibility (Twitter link). Shabazz averaged 13.7 PPG on .383/.345/.845 shooting in 34 games (30.0 MPG) in 2021/22.
  • UAB senior guard Jordan Walker will enter the draft while maintaining his last year of eligibility, he announced on Twitter. Walker led the Blazers with 20.3 PPG and 4.9 APG in 34 games (31.8 MPG) this season, and made 39.6% of 8.6 three-pointers per game.

Terquavion Smith Among Latest Early Entrants Declaring For Draft

NC State freshman guard Terquavion Smith is entering the 2022 NBA draft while maintaining his college eligibility, he tells Jonathan Givony of ESPN. Smith, who currently ranks No. 39 on ESPN’s big board of 2022 prospects, said he’ll make a final decision after getting feedback on his draft stock.

“I will be working out for teams and seeing how high I can get in the draft,” Smith told ESPN. “I’m signing with a NCAA certified agent to maintain my eligibility. I want to be taken with a high pick — top 20. I want to be able to contribute effectively to an NBA team.”

In his first college season, Smith started 25 of 32 games and averaged 16.3 PPG, 4.1 RPG, and 2.1 APG. The 19-year-old, who made 36.9% of 8.1 three-pointers per game as a freshman, told Givony he models his game after NBA players like Jordan Poole, De’Aaron Fox, and Anfernee Simons“guys who are electric off the bounce, who can create their own shot and shoot the ball.”

Here are several more updates on the 2022 draft pool:

  • UCLA freshman wing Peyton Watson is entering the draft and forgoing his remaining college eligibility, he announced on Twitter. Watson didn’t play much for the Bruins, logging just 12.7 MPG in 32 appearances off the bench, but he’s the No. 61 prospect on ESPN’s board.
  • German point guard Justus Hollatz, who tested the draft waters a year ago, will enter the draft pool again this year, according to agent Misko Raznatovic (Twitter link). Hollatz is currently a member of the Hamburg Towers in Germany.
  • Kentucky junior forward Jacob Toppin is testing the draft waters, according to an announcement from the school. Toppin averaged a modest 6.2 PPG and 3.2 RPG in 29 games (17.7 MPG) for the Wildcats in 2021/22.
  • Providence senior shooting guard A.J. Reeves is entering the 2022 draft and going pro, he announced on his Instagram account. Reeves has played in 107 games (88 starts) for the Friars over the course of his four years in the program.
  • After initially declaring for the 2022 draft last month, Saint Louis sophomore guard Jordan Nesbitt will withdraw and transfer, he tells Jon Rothstein of CBS Sports (Twitter link).