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Why Many Teams Are Finalizing Roster Cuts On Saturday

December 19th, 2020 at 12:21pm CST by Luke Adams

NBA teams have until Monday night to officially set their rosters for the 2020/21 regular season. However, a majority of NBA teams will likely have their rosters ready to go on Saturday, with more roster cuts expected today than on Sunday or Monday.

Why is that? Well, releasing a player today will allow him to clear waivers on Monday, before the regular season gets underway.

Players who are cut during the season are also paid for each day they spend on waivers, so a player who hits waivers on Sunday and doesn’t clear until the first day of the season on Tuesday would technically earn one day’s worth of pay, even if his salary isn’t guaranteed. A player waived on Monday would spend two regular season days on waivers.

For players with partial or full guarantees, spending the first day or two of the regular season on waivers doesn’t really matter — they’re getting their full 2020/21 salary no matter when they’re released. But if a team waits until Monday to cut a player with a non-guaranteed salary, that team will be on the hook for two days’ worth of dead money for the player.

Two days’ worth of dead money won’t exactly break the bank — it shouldn’t be more than about $22K for a minimum-salary player. But most teams already know which players are in and which are out, so there’s no need to take the decision down to the wire on Monday. They’ll make those cuts today and will avoid adding extra cap charges to their books for ’20/21. Even that small amount of savings could make a difference for teams who are right around the tax line or up against a hard cap.

While many teams will make their cuts today, clubs like the Pistons and Thunder can afford to wait an extra day or two, since they’ll each be waiving a player who has a full or partial guarantee. Waiting until Sunday or Monday to make that move won’t affect their cap outlook at all.

[RELATED: 2020/21 NBA Roster Counts]

Meanwhile, it’s worth keeping an eye on a team like the Knicks, who have 15 players on guaranteed contracts but might want to retain veteran forward Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, whose deal is non-guaranteed. If New York hangs onto Kidd-Gilchrist and doesn’t trim its roster to 15 players on standard deals today, that’ll signal that the team likely plans to waive a player with a guaranteed salary by Monday.

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2020/21 NBA Over/Unders: Southeast Division

December 18th, 2020 at 4:01pm CST by Luke Adams

The 2020/21 NBA regular season will get underway on December 22, so it’s time to get serious about predictions for the upcoming campaign.

With the help of the lines from a handful of sports betting sites, including Bovada and BetOnline, we’re running through the predicted win totals for each of the NBA’s 30 teams, by division. In a series of team-by-team polls, you’ll get the chance to weigh in on whether you think those forecasts are too optimistic or too pessimistic.

Of course, there are plenty of wild cards to take into account this season. For one, teams are scheduled to play 72 games instead of 82, so if you’re picking a team to win 41 games, you’re not just expecting them to be a .500 club — you’re projecting them to finish 10 games above .500. For each team’s over/under below, we’ve noted the record they’d have to achieve to finish “over” their projection, as a reminder.

It’s also worth noting that the coronavirus pandemic could cause some games to be canceled in 2020/21. We don’t want you to have to take possible cancellations into account when making your picks though, so don’t let that stop you from taking the “over.” If a team has a couple games canceled, we’ll adjust their over/under figure downward, so you’re essentially just projecting that team’s winning percentage.

We’ll turn today to the Southeast…

Miami Heat

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Heat poll.

Atlanta Hawks

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Hawks poll.

Washington Wizards

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Wizards poll.

Orlando Magic

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Magic poll.

Charlotte Hornets

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Hornets poll.

Previous voting results:

Atlantic:

  • Boston Celtics (45.5 wins): Over (66.3%)
  • Brooklyn Nets (45.5 wins): Over (58.6%)
  • Philadelphia 76ers (44.5 wins): Over (57.4%)
  • Toronto Raptors (42.5 wins): Over (54.7%)
  • New York Knicks (22.5 wins): Under (59.5%)

Northwest:

  • Denver Nuggets (44.5 wins): Over (69.7%)
  • Utah Jazz (42.5 wins): Over (59.9%)
  • Portland Trail Blazers (41.5 wins): Over (70.1%)
  • Minnesota Timberwolves (29.5 wins): Under (50.3%)
  • Oklahoma City Thunder (22.5 wins): Under (64.4%)

Central:

  • Milwaukee Bucks (51.5 wins): Over (73.7%)
  • Indiana Pacers (39.5 wins): Over (57.9%)
  • Chicago Bulls (29.5 wins): Under (61.6%)
  • Cleveland Cavaliers (23.5 wins): Under (68.5%)
  • Detroit Pistons (22.5 wins): Over (53.9%)

Pacific:

  • Los Angeles Lakers (48.5 wins): Over (79.1%)
  • Los Angeles Clippers (47.5 wins): Under (50.4%)
  • Phoenix Suns (40.5 wins): Over (51.0%)
  • Golden State Warriors (38.5 wins): Over (60.3%)
  • Sacramento Kings (29.5 wins): Under (60.7%)
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2020/21 NBA Over/Unders: Pacific Division

December 17th, 2020 at 3:54pm CST by Luke Adams

The 2020/21 NBA regular season will get underway on December 22, so we’re getting serious about predictions for the upcoming campaign.

With the help of the lines from a handful of sports betting sites, including Bovada and BetOnline, we’re running through the predicted win totals for each of the NBA’s 30 teams, by division. In a series of team-by-team polls, you’ll get the chance to weigh in on whether you think those forecasts are too optimistic or too pessimistic.

Of course, there are plenty of wild cards to take into account this season. For one, teams are scheduled to play 72 games instead of 82, so if you’re picking a team to win 41 games, you’re not just expecting them to be a .500 club — you’re projecting them to finish 10 games above .500. For each team’s over/under below, we’ve noted the record they’d have to achieve to finish “over” their projection, as a reminder.

It’s also worth noting that the coronavirus pandemic could cause some games to be canceled in 2020/21. We don’t want you to have to take possible cancellations into account when making your picks though, so don’t let that stop you from taking the “over.” If a team has a couple games canceled, we’ll adjust their over/under figure downward, so you’re essentially just projecting that team’s winning percentage.

We’ll turn today to the Pacific…

Los Angeles Lakers

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Lakers poll.

Los Angeles Clippers

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Clippers poll.

Phoenix Suns

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Suns poll.

Golden State Warriors

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Warriors poll.

Sacramento Kings

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Kings poll.

Previous voting results:

Atlantic:

  • Boston Celtics (45.5 wins): Over (66.3%)
  • Brooklyn Nets (45.5 wins): Over (58.6%)
  • Philadelphia 76ers (44.5 wins): Over (57.4%)
  • Toronto Raptors (42.5 wins): Over (54.7%)
  • New York Knicks (22.5 wins): Under (59.5%)

Northwest:

  • Denver Nuggets (44.5 wins): Over (69.7%)
  • Utah Jazz (42.5 wins): Over (59.9%)
  • Portland Trail Blazers (41.5 wins): Over (70.1%)
  • Minnesota Timberwolves (29.5 wins): Under (50.3%)
  • Oklahoma City Thunder (22.5 wins): Under (64.4%)

Central:

  • Milwaukee Bucks (51.5 wins): Over (73.7%)
  • Indiana Pacers (39.5 wins): Over (57.9%)
  • Chicago Bulls (29.5 wins): Under (61.6%)
  • Cleveland Cavaliers (23.5 wins): Under (68.5%)
  • Detroit Pistons (22.5 wins): Over (53.9%)
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2020/21 NBA Over/Unders: Central Division

December 16th, 2020 at 4:00pm CST by Luke Adams

The 2020/21 NBA regular season will get underway on December 22, so it’s time to start getting serious about predictions for the upcoming campaign.

With the help of the lines from a handful of sports betting sites, including Bovada and BetOnline, we’re running through the predicted win totals for each of the NBA’s 30 teams, by division. In a series of team-by-team polls, you’ll get the chance to weigh in on whether you think those forecasts are too optimistic or too pessimistic.

Of course, there are plenty of wild cards to take into account this season. For one, teams are scheduled to play 72 games instead of 82, so if you’re picking a team to win 41 games, you’re not just expecting them to be a .500 club — you’re projecting them to finish 10 games above .500. For each team’s over/under below, we’ve noted the record they’d have to achieve to finish “over” their projection, as a reminder.

It’s also worth noting that the coronavirus pandemic could cause some games to be canceled in 2020/21. We don’t want you to have to take possible cancellations into account when making your picks though, so don’t let that stop you from taking the “over.” If a team has a couple games canceled, we’ll adjust their over/under figure downward, so you’re essentially just projecting that team’s winning percentage.

We’ll turn today to the Central…

Milwaukee Bucks

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Bucks poll.

Indiana Pacers

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Pacers poll.

Chicago Bulls

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Bulls poll.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Cavaliers poll.

Detroit Pistons

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Pistons poll.

Previous voting results:

Atlantic:

  • Boston Celtics (45.5 wins): Over (66.3%)
  • Brooklyn Nets (45.5 wins): Over (58.6%)
  • Philadelphia 76ers (44.5 wins): Over (57.4%)
  • Toronto Raptors (42.5 wins): Over (54.7%)
  • New York Knicks (22.5 wins): Under (59.5%)

Northwest:

  • Denver Nuggets (44.5 wins): Over (69.7%)
  • Utah Jazz (42.5 wins): Over (59.9%)
  • Portland Trail Blazers (41.5 wins): Over (70.1%)
  • Minnesota Timberwolves (29.5 wins): Under (50.3%)
  • Oklahoma City Thunder (22.5 wins): Under (64.4%)
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2020/21 NBA Over/Unders: Northwest Division

December 15th, 2020 at 4:01pm CST by Luke Adams

The 2020/21 NBA regular season will get underway on December 22, so it’s time to start getting serious about predictions for the upcoming campaign.

With the help of the lines from a handful of sports betting sites, including Bovada and BetOnline, we’re running through the predicted win totals for each of the NBA’s 30 teams, by division. In a series of team-by-team polls, you’ll get the chance to weigh in on whether you think those forecasts are too optimistic or too pessimistic.

Of course, there are plenty of wild cards to take into account this season. For one, teams are scheduled to play 72 games instead of 82, so if you’re picking a team to win 41 games, you’re not just expecting them to be a .500 club — you’re projecting them to finish 10 games above .500. For each team’s over/under below, we’ve noted the record they’d have to achieve to finish “over” their projection, as a reminder.

It’s also worth noting that the coronavirus pandemic could cause some games to be canceled in 2020/21. We don’t want you to have to take possible cancellations into account when making your picks though, so don’t let that stop you from taking the “over.” If a team has a couple games canceled, we’ll adjust their over/under figure downward, so you’re essentially just projecting that team’s winning percentage.

We’ll turn today to the Northwest…

Denver Nuggets

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Nuggets poll.

Utah Jazz

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Jazz poll.

Portland Trail Blazers

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Trail Blazers poll.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Timberwolves poll.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Thunder poll.

Previous voting results:

Atlantic:

  • Boston Celtics (45.5 wins): Over (66.3%)
  • Brooklyn Nets (45.5 wins): Over (58.6%)
  • Philadelphia 76ers (44.5 wins): Over (57.4%)
  • Toronto Raptors (42.5 wins): Over (54.7%)
  • New York Knicks (22.5 wins): Under (59.5%)
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Grizzlies, Pistons, Thunder Carrying More Than 15 Guaranteed Salaries

December 15th, 2020 at 11:05am CST by Luke Adams

While NBA teams can carry 20 players on their rosters for the time being, that limit will shrink by opening night next Tuesday. Before the regular season gets underway, clubs will be required to have no more than 17 players on their roster — 15 on guaranteed contracts and two on two-way deals.

For most teams, that won’t be a problem. Six NBA clubs are currently carrying exactly 15 players with fully guaranteed salaries, while 21 more have between 10 and 14 guaranteed contracts on their books for 2020/21. For most of those 27 clubs, setting their roster will simply be a matter of cutting a few players with non-guaranteed salaries, and won’t require eating any dead money.

However, there are three clubs that currently have more than 15 players on guaranteed contracts on their rosters and will have to either trade or release one or more of those players before opening night. Here’s a look at those three clubs:

Memphis Grizzlies

Let’s start with the simplest situation of the three. At one point, the Grizzlies were carrying 17 players with guaranteed salaries, but they quickly tipped their hand on which two would be the odd man out by not bringing Mario Hezonja and Marko Guduric to training camp.

Hezonja has since been waived. Barring a major surprise, Guduric, who is on an expiring contract, figures to be released in the coming days as well.

Detroit Pistons

The Pistons have 16 players with fully guaranteed salaries. However, despite the fact that the team is in the midst of a retooling period, not many of those players look like candidates to be cut. Many of them were either specifically targeted by new GM Troy Weaver this offseason, or – in the case of incumbents like Blake Griffin, Derrick Rose, and Sekou Doumbouya – have too much value to be simply released.

While Dzanan Musa and Wayne Ellington may be on the fringe of the roster, Rodney McGruder looks to me like the probable odd man out. There were rumors last month that he might be waived and stretched to allow the Pistons to complete their series of offseason moves, and while that wasn’t necessary at the time, the fact that it was under consideration suggests that he’s probably not part of the team’s long-term plan.

McGruder’s $5MM salary for 2021/22 is non-guaranteed, so Detroit wouldn’t be on the hook for any dead money beyond this season if he’s released.

Oklahoma City Thunder

After having arguably the most eventful offseason of any NBA team, the Thunder are also the trickiest club to figure out heading into the regular season. They have 17 players on guaranteed contracts, so at least two cuts will be required.

Many of Oklahoma City’s newcomers were acquired in trades in which another asset (a draft pick or a player) was clearly the primary motivator for the deal, meaning it’s hard to say exactly what the team thinks of those players.

Kenrich Williams, Admiral Schofield, Darius Miller, and T.J. Leaf all fit this bill, and I’d expect the two cuts to come from that group. Isaiah Roby could also be a release candidate, though he started the team’s first preseason game and played pretty well, with seven points and 11 rebounds. None of Miller, Williams, Schofield, Leaf, or Roby have fully guaranteed salaries beyond 2020/21.

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Notable Veterans Still Available In Free Agency

December 15th, 2020 at 8:21am CST by Luke Adams

The 50 players on our list of 2020’s top free agents came off the board relatively quickly last month, but there are still a number of intriguing veteran free agents who have yet to sign a new deal or who have reached the open market since we compiled that list.

There aren’t many roster spots available around the NBA — with just a week to go until opening night, most teams have a pretty good idea of what their 14- or 15-man squads will look like to open the season. That means there are far fewer viable landing spots for veteran free agents than there were earlier in the offseason.

Still, whether it happens before or after opening night, there are plenty of unsigned players who seem like realistic candidates to eventually join an NBA team. Injuries, positive coronavirus tests, and trades could all open up roster spots for those players to fill.

With that in mind, here’s a brief recap of some of the more notable players who are still available to be signed:

Point Guards

Shabazz Napier is among the most productive point guards still on the market. He was playing some of the best basketball of his career with the Wizards during a 20-game stint to finish the 2019/20 season, averaging 11.6 PPG and 3.8 APG on .428/.358/.831 shooting in 24.4 minutes per contest.

Another former Wizards point guard, Isaiah Thomas, recorded 12.2 PPG, 3.7 APG, and a .413 3PT% in 40 games (23.1 MPG) for the team last season, but lost his job due to his play on defense. He has repeatedly insisted that he’s feeling even better now following his most recent hip procedure, but no team has been willing to take a shot on him so far.

If the Mavericks weren’t willing to keep J.J. Barea around, it’s not clear how much he has left in the tank, but he could be an option for a team looking for a third point guard who would be an asset in the locker room.

A team seeking a player with some upside may prefer to turn to Emmanuel Mudiay, a former lottery pick who is still just 24 years old, or Jordan McLaughlin, though he’s still a restricted free agent and may be hard to pry away from the Timberwolves.

Yogi Ferrell, Jeremy Lin, Brandon Knight, Gary Payton II, Ky Bowman (once he clears waivers), and reigning G League MVP Frank Mason are among the other unsigned point guards.

Wings

A team in need of shooting off the bench should have a few options in free agency, including Kyle Korver (a career 42.9% three-point shooter), Troy Daniels (39.5%), Allen Crabbe (38.7%), and – once he clears waivers – Ryan Broekhoff (40.3%).

The market also features microwave scorers young and old, including Jamal Crawford (41 in March) and Allonzo Trier (25 in January). Two members of the Lakers’ 2020 championship squad remain unsigned too, in J.R. Smith and Dion Waiters.

The health histories of certain players – including Zhaire Smith, Andre Roberson, and Luc Mbah a Moute – may scare teams away. Age, meanwhile, may be a bit of a concern for clubs eyeing veterans like Thabo Sefolosha (36) and DeMarre Carroll (34).

Jordan McRae, Iman Shumpert, and Mario Hezonja are a few of the other options that could intrigue certain teams, depending on what sort of skill set they’re seeking.

Bigs

Ersan Ilyasova and Anthony Tolliver are the headliners among the veteran stretch fours on the open market. Ilyasova saw his role decline in Milwaukee over the last two seasons, but was still his usual self from beyond the arc — last season’s .365 3PT% was exactly in line with his career average. Tolliver, meanwhile, played on three teams in 2019/20, but was effective for Memphis down the stretch, making 41.5% of his threes in 13 games.

Teams seeking a tough veteran up front could turn to Taj Gibson, Kyle O’Quinn, Ian Mahinmi, or Lance Thomas. Tyson Chandler and Pau Gasol could also be options, though each of them could just as easily retire.

I’ll be interested to see if Dewayne Dedmon can bounce back after a down year in Sacramento and Atlanta. It’s hard to believe it now, but he was referred to by ESPN’s Zach Lowe as “sneakily the most coveted under-the-radar free agent in the league” during the 2019 offseason. A year-and-a-half later, he should be able to find a minimum-salary deal.

Skal Labissiere, Noah Vonleh, Jordan Bell, and John Henson are some of the other free agents available for teams seeking interested in another frontcourt piece.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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Community Shootaround: Warriors Revival?

December 14th, 2020 at 9:53pm CST by Dana Gauruder

Despite another devastating injury to Klay Thompson, the Warriors seem intent on regaining their status as an elite team.

Last year was essentially a throwaway season. An injured Kevin Durant bolted for the East Coast, Thompson was out for the season with a knee injury and Stephen Curry busted his thumb in the early weeks of the season.

The reward for an otherwise wasted campaign was the second pick in the draft. They used it on the highest-rated big man in James Wiseman, who practiced for the first time on Monday and made a swift impression.

“I thought James was all over the place today, which was great to see,” Draymond Green said.

Green and Wiseman will form the frontcourt duo, Curry will run the show and Andrew Wiggins and Kelly Oubre Jr. will man the wings. The Warriors also possess some good depth, particularly in the frontcourt with the likes of Eric Paschall, Marquese Chriss and Kevon Looney.

Oubre was acquired even though his salary added to an already enormous luxury tax bill. The Warriors certainly aren’t tanking this season, but in the loaded Western Conference, it’s fair to say they’re no longer going to overwhelm the opposition.

Still, Green wants the bar set high.

“When I don’t win a title, that’s unsuccessful,” Green said. “There’s no moral victories.”

That brings us to our question of the day: Will the revamped Warriors return to the playoffs this season?

Please take to the comments section to weigh in on this topic. We look forward to your input.

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2020/21 NBA Over/Unders: Atlantic Division

December 14th, 2020 at 3:55pm CST by Luke Adams

The 2020/21 NBA regular season will get underway on December 22, so it’s time to start getting serious about predictions for the upcoming campaign.

With the help of the lines from a handful of sports betting sites, including Bovada and BetOnline, we’re running through the predicted win totals for each of the NBA’s 30 teams, by division. In a series of team-by-team polls, you’ll get the chance to weigh in on whether you think those forecasts are too optimistic or too pessimistic.

Of course, there are plenty of wild cards to take into account this season. For one, teams are scheduled to play 72 games instead of 82, so if you’re picking a team to win 41 games, you’re not just expecting them to be a .500 club — you’re projecting them to finish 10 games above .500. For each team’s over/under below, we’ve noted the record they’d have to achieve to finish “over” their projection, as a reminder.

It’s also worth noting that the coronavirus pandemic could cause some games to be canceled in 2020/21. We don’t want you to have to take possible cancellations into account when making your picks though, so don’t let that stop you from taking the “over.” If a team has a couple games canceled, we’ll adjust their over/under figure downward, so you’re essentially just projecting that team’s winning percentage.

We’ll kick things off today with the Atlantic division…

Boston Celtics

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Celtics poll.

Brooklyn Nets

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Nets poll.

Philadelphia 76ers

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Sixers poll.

Toronto Raptors

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Raptors poll.

New York Knicks

Trade Rumors app users, click here for Knicks poll.

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Oldest, Youngest Players On NBA Rosters For 2020/21

December 14th, 2020 at 11:32am CST by Luke Adams

When Vince Carter officially called it a career and announced his retirement earlier his year, it meant the NBA had a new elder statesman. Having re-signed with the Heat for the coming season, 40-year-old big man Udonis Haslem currently holds the title of oldest active player on a roster for 2020/21.

While Haslem is back in action for another year, many of the NBA’s other oldest players haven’t found new homes after being on rosters last season. Jamal Crawford, Pau Gasol, Kyle Korver, Tyson Chandler, Thabo Sefolosha, J.J. Barea, Anthony Tolliver, and Taj Gibson are among the players currently on the free agent market who would be among the 10 oldest players in the league if they were to sign a new contract.

I expect we’ll see a few of those guys playing in the NBA this season, but for the time being, here’s the full list of the 10 oldest players on NBA rosters, led by Haslem:

  1. Udonis Haslem, Heat (born 6/9/1980)
  2. Andre Iguodala, Heat (born 1/28/1984)
  3. Carmelo Anthony, Trail Blazers (born 5/29/1984)
  4. J.J. Redick, Pelicans (born 6/24/1984)
  5. LeBron James, Lakers (born 12/30/1984)
  6. Marc Gasol, Lakers (born 1/29/1985)
  7. Paul Millsap, Nuggets (born 2/10/1985)
  8. P.J. Tucker, Rockets (born 5/5/1985)
  9. Chris Paul, Suns (born 5/6/1985)
  10. Trevor Ariza, Thunder (born 6/30/1985)

On the other end of the spectrum, the NBA’s top 10 youngest active players were all selected in the 2020 draft, with eight coming off the board in the top 20 picks.

A number of young undrafted free agents have gone right from college to an NBA roster within the last month, but the youngest of 2020’s rookies are the ones who declared for the draft in their first year of eligibility — and many of the earliest of this year’s early entrants were strong enough prospects to be drafted.

A year ago, Pistons rookie Sekou Doumbouya – born on December, 23, 2000 – was the NBA’s youngest player. This year, the top 10 all have 2001 birth dates.

Here are the 10 youngest players currently on NBA rosters:

  1. Aleksej Pokusevski, Thunder (born 12/26/2001)
  2. Patrick Williams, Bulls (born 8/26/2001)
  3. LaMelo Ball, Hornets (born 8/22/2001)
  4. Anthony Edwards, Timberwolves (born 8/5/2001)
  5. Killian Hayes, Pistons (born 7/27/2001)
  6. Theo Maledon, Thunder (born 6/12/2001)
  7. Jahmi’us Ramsey, Kings (born 6/9/2001)
  8. Isaiah Stewart, Pistons (born 5/22/2001)
  9. Kira Lewis Jr., Pelicans (born 4/6/2001)
  10. James Wiseman, Warriors (born 3/31/2001)

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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