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2018/19 Hoops Rumors Contract MVPs: Part I

April 16th, 2019 at 4:59pm CST by ChrisCrouse

Hoops Rumors is breaking down each type of contract in the NBA to find out which players were the most valuable under each type of deal.

The rules are simple: To qualify, a player must have played under that contract during the 2018/19 campaign. Players who see their status change (such as 10-day contracts converted to full-season deals) maintain the same status they began with.

Without further ado, here are our 2018/19 “Contract MVPs”:

Two-Way Contract

Two-way contracts—a mechanism designed to allow a player to split time between a G League team and its parent club— were introduced in the latest CBA and implemented at the start of the 2017/18 league year. House is on track to become the most accomplished player ever on a two-way deal after stepping up during Houston’s unfortunate season filled with injuries (Monte Morris probably has the biggest claim to dislodge House from this the theoretical two-way contract throne; Quinn Cook may also stake a claim. Both players previously saw their two-way deals converted).

The CBA limits players on these deals to just 45 days of NBA action – or fewer if a player signs during the season – and practice days count against that limit. House, who played 24.8 minutes per game and made 39.0% of his 3-pointers during his time spent on the two-way deal this season, hit the limit in mid-January. He began negotiations on a new deal, though Houston smartly attempted to leverage the situation into a three-year contract. House’s camp wanted to hit free agency as soon as possible. Progress toward a new deal stalled for two months.

Two-way players earn a different rate depending on whether they are in the NBA or G League. House earned nearly $4,800 on each of the 45 days he was called up to the NBA. The daily rate when he was in the G League: roughly $550. The bet made on himself in not taking the long-term, guaranteed minimum-salary deal offered by the Rockets didn’t come without opportunity cost.

With House trapped in the G League, the Rockets maintained their winning ways behind James Harden‘s historic scoring streak. From the outside, it created the illusion that House’s contributions could be easily replicated, but the front office knew it had to alleviate Harden’s burden or run the risk of him running out of gas by the time the playoffs arrived.

GM Daryl Morey inked House for the remainder of the season in mid-March. The 25-year-old Houston native will be a restricted free agent at the end of the year and the team will try to bring him back once that deal expires but first, our two-way contract MVP will have a chance to further improve his stock as part of the Rockets’ playoff rotation.

Honorable mentions: Jordan McRae, Alex Caruso, Shake Milton, Allonzo Trier

10-Day Contract

Consistent, yet not near elite, vs. much more impactful (relatively), yet short on sample size. It was the storyline of the 2017 rookie of the year award race between Malcolm Brogdon and Joel Embiid. Neither candidate had a particularly historic campaign for the award and calling it an underwhelming race might be overselling it. Those attributes have resurfaced in the battle for our 10-Day Contract MVP.

Brewer had four 10-day deals split between Philadelphia and Sacramento and he was able to turn his pair with the Kings into a $2MM deal worth more than the minimum. He provided good energy for the Sixers amid their injury woes and roster transitioning, though he proved to be a turnover machine. He coughed up the ball 2.1 times per 36 minutes during his time in Philadelphia, which is on par with higher-usage players such as Darren Collison, Mike Conley, and Kyle Kuzma. After seven games, the team opted not to offer him a contract for the remainder of the season and he eventually landed in California.

Carter-Williams, meanwhile, joined the Magic late in the season and helped engineer a 10-2 run toward the Eastern Conference’s seventh seed. Orlando’s defense was a bright spot all season, but backup point guard was the biggest need after other options behind D.J. Augustin failed to pan out.

MCW was the Parmesan cheese to the Steve Clifford‘s spaghetti and meatballs, a perfect complement to a hard-nosed defensive team needing that last element to make them palatable to a postseason audience. Brewer has seen more action, but his season just feels like empty calories. Unlike the 2017/18 ROY, this award goes to the player with the highest impact.

Honorable mention: Corey Brewer

Non-Taxpayer Mid-Level Exception

Randle’s tale rivals Elle Woods’ in the movie Legally Blonde. The Lakers tossed Randle aside for the idea of a more illustrious catch, an addition that better fit their starry brand. The big man made the decision look foolish.

Randle set career-highs in points, rebounds, and blocks per game while improving his free throw percentage and adding a 3-pointer to his arsenal (he was just six 3-pointers short of averaging one make per contest). He has a player’s option worth slightly under $9.1MM for next season and if he opts to hit the free agent market again, the Lakers’ brass may now realize Randle’s value.

Honorable mentions: P.J. Tucker, Justin Holiday

Taxpayer Mid-Level Exception

It’s almost unfair to give Cousins this award. It took a devastating Achilles tear for him to flirt with the idea of signing this type of deal and he had a franchise preaching patience as he made his way back from the injury.

Are 30 games of star-level basketball more valuable than nearly a whole season of solid contribution, as are the cases with the Nuggets in Monte Morris and Torrey Craig? Does Seth Curry deserve the nod for stepping up and helping Portland maintain a top record in the West? Valid arguments for any of these players exist, though Cousins takes home the award here.

Honorable mentions: Monte Morris, Torrey Craig, Seth Curry

Room Exception

  • Ed Davis (Nets): One year, $4,449,000.

No player signed via the room exception came close to making the impact that Davis did during his season in Brooklyn. To be fair, only six players ended this year under this type of contract, with players such as Ron Baker and Michael Beasley getting waived before completing their deal. Still, Davis’ season compared to his contractual peers was 2015/16 Stephen Curry-level dominant.

The big man suited up in all but one game for the Nets, providing the team with a consistent force in the frontcourt. He ranked third on the team in player efficiency rating and fourth in NBAMath’s TPA Metric. While Davis is only on a one-year deal in Brooklyn, he’s found a potential long-term home after a career of bouncing around the league and underperforming at nearly every stop.

Honorable mention: Alex Len

Bi-Annual Exception

The Lopez signing almost seems unreal. There aren’t many centers who would have fit in as well in a Giannis Antetokounmpo-led attack. With his shooting ability, Lopez is able to help the Bucks maintain floor spacing so that the Antetokounmpo can attack the paint more freely. On the other end, Lopez anchored the best defensive unit in basketball, altering shot after shot in Mike Budenholzer‘s conservative defense.

Honorable mention: Elfrid Payton

Part II coming later this week.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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2019 NBA Offseason Salary Cap Digest: Cleveland Cavaliers

April 16th, 2019 at 3:18pm CST by Luke Adams

After four straight NBA Finals appearances, the 2018/19 season was one of transition for the Cavaliers, who lost their best player (LeBron James), dismissed their head coach (Tyronn Lue), and shifted their focus to the future. While Cleveland may have moved on mentally from those LeBron-led squads, the team’s cap sheet is still catching up — many of the Cavs’ priciest veteran contracts run for one more year.

Here’s where things currently stand for the Cavaliers financially, as we launch our Offseason Salary Cap Digest series for 2019:

Guaranteed Salary

Player Options

  • None

Team Options

  • None

Non-Guaranteed Salary

  • J.R. Smith ($11,810,000) 1
  • Total: $11,810,000

Restricted Free Agents

Unrestricted Free Agents / Other Cap Holds

Projected Salary Cap: $109,000,000
Projected Tax Line: $132,000,000

Offseason Cap Outlook

  • Realistically, there’s no way the Cavaliers will be able to create cap room for 2019/20. Dumping salary to get under the cap would almost certainly mean attaching assets that they’ve accumulated during their rebuild, and since they were willing to take on salary to acquire those assets in the first place, it would be counter-intuitive to switch gears now.
  • In fact, with $123MM+ in guaranteed money already on their books for 2019/20 and the possibility of adding even more salary if they can find a favorable J.R. Smith trade, the Cavs will likely be more concerned with staying below the $132MM luxury tax line than with finding a way to create cap space.

Cap Exceptions Available

  • Trade exception: $2,760,095 (expires 12/9/19)
  • Trade exception: $1,544,951 (expires 2/7/20)
  • Trade exception: $1,512,601 (expires 2/7/20)
  • Mid-level exception: $9,246,000 4
  • Bi-annual exception: $3,619,000 4

Footnotes

  1. Smith’s salary becomes fully guaranteed after June 30.
  2. The salaries for two-way players don’t count against a team’s cap, but their cap holds do during the offseason.
  3. Because Chriss’ fourth-year rookie scale option was declined, the Cavaliers are ineligible to offer him a starting salary greater than his cap hold.
  4. These are projected values. Additionally, the Cavaliers will not be able to use these exceptions if their team salary exceeds the tax apron. In that scenario, they’d instead receive the taxpayer mid-level exception, worth a projected $5,711,000.

Note: Minimum-salary and rookie-scale cap holds are estimates based on salary cap projections and could increase or decrease depending on where the cap lands.

Salary information from Basketball Insiders was used in the creation of this post. Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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Hoops Rumors’ 2019 NBA Award Picks: Coach Of The Year

April 16th, 2019 at 2:09pm CST by Hoops Rumors

While the NBA won’t announce this year’s award winners until June, we’re making our picks for 2019’s major awards over the next two weeks.

The Hoops Rumors writing team has weighed in with our choices below, but we also want to know which players, coaches, and executives you think are most deserving of the hardware this season, so jump into the comment section below to share your thoughts.

We’re keeping things going today with the award for Coach of the Year. Here are our selections:

Austin Kent: Mike Budenholzer (Bucks)
While it certainly doesn’t hurt to have a top-five player evolve into a superstar, the Bucks benefited immensely from the excellent decision to hire Budenholzer, who took a good team propped up by its best player and morphed it into a well-oiled machine.

With Budenholzer at the helm, the Bucks increased their pace from 20th in the league to fifth. More impressively, they did so while also improving their defense. The Bucks were 18th in the league in defensive rating last season and first in 2018/19.

Suddenly, just one season removed from finishing as a 44-win squad and a relatively easy out, the Bucks are a 60-win behemoth and a legitimate title contender. Attribute some of that to the obvious strides Giannis Antetokounmpo took, but attribute the rest to the man that led the transformation from the sidelines.

Chris Crouse: Kenny Atkinson (Nets)
The Spurs were essentially forced to trade away Kawhi Leonard, and Gregg Popovich picked up the pieces and made the postseason. Doc Rivers took a Clippers team whose front office appeared to de-emphasize this campaign (perhaps as part of a plan to pursue Leonard this offseason) and improbably delivered the City of L.A.’s only playoff berth. Mike Budenholzer surveyed the Bucks’ roster and implemented a scheme that led Milwaukee to become the best team in the East.

None may be as impressive as Atkinson. The Atkinson-led Nets found their way to the postseason as a result of the coach’s on-court precision in play-calling and off-court player development. Several coaches deserve to be considered for the COY award, but Atkinson tops the field for his work in Brooklyn.

Arthur Hill: Mike Budenholzer (Bucks)
Budenholzer transformed the Bucks by emphasizing 3-pointers and defense, posting the league’s best record with a team that won 44 games last season. Antetokounmpo has taken a noticeable leap forward under Budenholzer, who has maximized the Greek Freak’s potential by surrounding him with shooters. Michael Malone, Kenny Atkinson, Steve Clifford and Doc Rivers all deserve consideration, but Budenholzer stands out for turning the Bucks into legitimate title contenders.

Luke Adams: Mike Budenholzer (Bucks)
In a crowded field of Coach of the Year candidates for 2018/19, Budenholzer wasn’t necessarily the one who did the most with the least, but he had a major hand in the Bucks‘ breakthrough season. Even those of us that were high on Milwaukee entering the season didn’t expect this — the team’s 60 wins were an NBA high, and its +8.6 net rating was the best mark since the 2016/17 Warriors.

Although much was made of Budenholzer’s ability to unlock the Bucks’ offensive potential by spacing the floor around Antetokounmpo with shooters, his work on the other end of the court impressed me more. Milwaukee ranked 18th in the league in defensive rating in 2017/18, and its offseason additions – including Brook Lopez and Ersan Ilyasova – weren’t exactly All-Defense contenders. The Bucks were nonetheless the hardest team to score on at the rim in 2018/19 despite rarely fouling, and improved their overall defensive rating to a league-best 104.9.

Dana Gauruder: Doc Rivers (Clippers)
Stripped of his title as president of basketball operations a couple years ago, Rivers was able to fully concentrate on what he does best. He did a masterful job of massaging victories out of an ever-changing roster. The Clippers won 48 games despite trading their top scorer (Tobias Harris) at the deadline. They also changed centers and shooting guards in mid-stream and had a rookie point guard running the show. Yet they got better as they went along, going 18-8 after the first week of February.

Who is your pick for Coach of the Year? Share your choices and your thoughts in the comment section below!

Previously:

Still to come:

  • Sixth Man of the Year
  • Most Improved Player
  • Rookie of the Year
  • Defensive Player of the Year
  • Most Valuable Player

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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Poll: Most Appealing NBA Head Coaching Opening

April 16th, 2019 at 12:04pm CST by Luke Adams

As our head coaching search tracker shows, there are currently three NBA head coaching jobs up for grabs. That number looked like it might get as high as five early in the offseason, but the Kings quickly replaced Dave Joerger with Luke Walton, while the Timberwolves appear likely – for now – to retain interim coach Ryan Saunders.

That leaves three teams in the market for a head coach. The most noteworthy club in that group is the Lakers, who are undergoing some upheaval in the front office as well after Magic Johnson‘s abrupt resignation.

Walton was originally hired in Los Angeles to help develop the team’s group of young prospects, and he was doing a decent job of that before the 2018/19 season rolled around. Once LeBron James joined the Lakers, expectations changed for Walton and the team, and like David Blatt in Cleveland, he was no longer viewed as the right man for the job.

Coaching James isn’t an easy job, and the Lakers are in disarray at the moment, but they’re still the Lakers, one of the most storied franchises in any sport. And of the three teams seeking head coaches, they’re the closest to contention, particularly if they’re able to land a second star to pair with LeBron on the trade market or in free agency this summer. That should make the job appealing to veteran coaches, particularly those with previous head coaching experiences.

The Cavaliers, on the other hand, will likely be in the market for a younger, up-and-coming coach who has a strong player-development background and perhaps extensive experience as an assistant as well.

With LeBron no longer around in Cleveland, the Cavaliers are still in the relatively early stages of a full-fledged rebuild, with building blocks like Collin Sexton, Cedi Osman, Larry Nance, and a top-six pick in 2019 making up the future core. Since contention isn’t an immediate priority, the Cavs will want to find their own version of Kenny Atkinson or Lloyd Pierce, who can grow along with the team’s young players.

As for the Grizzlies, they might be somewhere in the middle. As long as Mike Conley is still on the roster, the team won’t be entering a full-fledged rebuild. But there’s no guarantee that the new decision-makers in the front office won’t trade Conley this season, kick-starting a rebuild centered around Jaren Jackson.

None of these jobs necessarily represents a perfect situation for a new head coach. The Lakers haven’t been to the postseason since 2013, their president of basketball operations just quit on the team, and no NBA player has more power than LeBron. The Cavs’ roster isn’t exactly loaded with talent, and Dan Gilbert doesn’t have a reputation as one of the league’s best owners. The Grizzlies just fired head coach J.B. Bickerstaff hours after since-demoted general manager Chris Wallace assured reporters that Bickerstaff would be back for 2019/20.

What do you think? Which of these head coaching openings looks most appealing? And would the Kings have been your pick if they hadn’t filled their vacancy so quickly?

Vote in our poll, then head to the comment section to share your thoughts!

Trade Rumors app users, click here to vote.

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Key 2019 NBA Offseason Dates, Deadlines

April 15th, 2019 at 4:02pm CST by Luke Adams

With the 2018/19 NBA regular season in the books, nearly half of the league’s teams have shifted their focus to the offseason, and others will soon follow suit. With that in mind, it’s time to retire our list of the NBA’s key in-season dates and deadlines for the ’18/19 campaign in favor of an updated offseason calendar of the most important dates facing teams and players in the coming months.

Here’s a breakdown of many of the NBA’s important dates and deadlines for the next few months, right up until training camps open for the 2019/20 season:

April 21

  • Deadline for early entrants to declare for the NBA draft (10:59pm CT).
    • Note: For more information on draft-related dates and deadlines, check out our full breakdown.

May 14

  • NBA draft lottery.

May 15-19

  • NBA draft combine.

May 29

  • Last day for early entrants to withdraw from the NBA draft and retain their NCAA eligibility (10:59pm CT).

June 10

  • Deadline for all early entrants (including international players) to withdraw from the NBA draft (4:00pm CT).

June 16

  • Latest possible end date for the NBA Finals.

June 20

  • NBA draft day.

June 24

  • Last day for potential restricted free agents to exercise player options.
  • NBA awards show.

June 29

  • Last day for decisions on player, team and early termination options, unless individual contracts specify otherwise.
  • Last day for teams to make qualifying offers to players eligible for restricted free agency.
  • Teams can begin contacting players and agents to set up free agent meetings (6:00pm ET).

June 30

June 30 (6:00pm ET):

  • Official start of the 2019/20 NBA league year.
  • July moratorium begins.
  • Free agents can begin reaching verbal agreements with teams.
  • Restricted free agents can sign an offer sheet.
  • Teams can begin signing players to rookie scale contracts, minimum salary contracts, and two-way contracts.

July 6

  • July moratorium ends (11:00am CT)
  • Teams can begin officially signing players, extending players, and completing trades.
  • The two-day period for matching an RFA offer sheet signed during the moratorium begins.

July 13

  • Last day for teams to unilaterally withdraw qualifying offers to restricted free agents.

July 15

  • Last day for teams to issue required tenders to unsigned first-round picks; those players become free agents on July 16 if not tendered.

August 31

  • Last day for teams to waive players and apply the stretch provision to their 2018/19 salaries.

August 31 – September 15

  • FIBA World Cup 2019 in China.

September 5

  • Last day for teams to issue required tenders to unsigned second-round picks; those players become free agents on September 6 if not tendered.

Late September (specific dates TBA)

  • Training camps open.

Larry Coon’s Salary Cap FAQ and NBA.com were used in the creation of this post.

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Hoops Rumors’ 2019 NBA Award Picks: Executive Of The Year

April 15th, 2019 at 2:52pm CST by Hoops Rumors

While the NBA won’t announce this year’s award winners until June, we’re making our picks for 2019’s major awards over the next two weeks.

The Hoops Rumors writing team has weighed in with our choices below, but we also want to know which players, coaches, and executives you think are most deserving of the hardware this season, so jump into the comment section below to share your thoughts.

We’re kicking things off today with the award for Executive of the Year. Here are our selections:

Chris Crouse: Jon Horst (Bucks)
There are many deserving candidates this season, but Horst’s work in putting a full team around Giannis Antetokounmpo is especially deserving of recognition. The Bucks had the best record in the league backed by the best defense in the NBA and a top-5 offense.

Milwaukee’s maneuvers over the past few years began this journey to what could be a 2018/19 Eastern Conference crown and Horst’s transactions since the end of last season took the team from an up-and-coming squad to a legit contender. Signing Brook Lopez with the bi-annual exception, negotiating the pair of trades that netted Nikola Mirotic, and inking Eric Bledsoe to a long-term deal all qualify as wins. Landing Mike Budenholzer to coach the team is also a major accomplishment.

The executive of the year award sometimes rewards team presidents and GMs for the culmination of their work and in other years, it’s based on the moves made within the calendar year. Horst checks off both boxes and should receive this season’s hardware.

Clark Crum: Jon Horst (Bucks)
The Bucks won 60 games when nobody expected them to do so and finished with the franchise’s best regular season record in 38 years. Horst’s best move was clearly hiring head coach Budenholzer this offseason, but let us not forget the other, smaller transactions he oversaw along the way. First, he didn’t overpay Jabari Parker, opting instead to rescind the former No. 2 overall pick’s qualifying offer. He then signed (no, stole) Lopez for only $3.3MM and also traded for both George Hill and Mirotic. The Bucks had a terrific season, and Horst should be recognized as such.

Austin Kent: Brett Brown/Elton Brand (Sixers)
The departure of LeBron James last summer left a gaping hole at the top of the Eastern Conference and there was no shortage of teams eager to make short-term moves and fill it. The front office that best positioned itself to leave a larger impact in 2018/19 than it did last season was Philadelphia.

Brett Brown and Elton Brand helped the Sixers evolve this season from an upstart young team with a hypothetically great young duo into a legitimate championship threat. They could have played it safe and let Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons sharpen their teeth in the playoffs – nobody would have derided them for a loss in the first or second round – but they altered their roster significantly to pad their core with a hardened leader in Jimmy Butler and underrated supplemental star in Tobias Harris.

The fact that they did so while patching together a competent rotation on the fly and not mortgaging their future is an accomplishment worthy of praise.

Dana Gauruder: Jon Horst (Bucks)
We’ve seen other small market teams make missteps while building around a superstar. Horst and the Bucks have mostly made the right moves while heading into the playoffs with the NBA’s best record.

Lopez turned into one of the biggest steals in last season’s free agent market. Horst won the bidding for Mirotic at the trade deadline and the sharp-shooting forward could be a key in the playoffs. Hill’s contract (non-guaranteed $18MM next season) gives the front office some flexibility. Bledsoe’s extension near season’s end was a reasonable price for a starting point guard. All in all, nice work for a young GM.

Luke Adams: Masai Ujiri (Raptors)
The criteria for Executive of the Year isn’t quite as byzantine as the criteria for some of the NBA’s other awards, but it can still be tricky to determine how heavily to weigh the impact of an executive’s current-season moves versus his previous moves coming to fruition. In Ujiri’s case, it’s hard to separate the two, given how obviously they’re connected.

His biggest swing – acquiring Kawhi Leonard and Danny Green for DeMar DeRozan, Jakob Poeltl, and a draft pick – was a direct response to the Raptors’ previous playoff failures and has worked out so far, raising the team’s postseason ceiling. Meanwhile, many of Ujiri’s previous non-lottery draft picks or UDFA signings have either developed into important rotation players – like Fred VanVleet, Norman Powell, and especially Pascal Siakam – or have been key pieces in major trades, as was the case for Poeltl and Delon Wright (dealt in the package for Marc Gasol).

It remains to be seen whether the Raptors can exorcise their playoff demons and make a legitimate title run, but Ujiri has been aggressive and creative in building the most talented roster Toronto has ever had.

Arthur Hill: Jon Horst (Bucks)
The Bucks have seemed destined for greatness ever since drafting Antetokounmpo, but Horst found the right complementary players and the right coach to make it happen. Signing Lopez and Ersan Ilyasova in free agency and then adding Mirotic in a deadline trade gave the Bucks plenty of shooters to surround Antetokounmpo and to maximize Budenholzer’s philosophy that emphasizes the 3-pointer. Horst made all the right decisions to lead Milwaukee to the best record in the league.

Who is your pick for Executive of the Year? Share your choices and your thoughts in the comment section below!

Up next: Coach of the Year.

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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Hoops Rumors Originals: 4/6/19 – 4/13/19

April 13th, 2019 at 4:32pm CST by Luke Adams

Every week, the Hoops Rumors writing team creates original content to complement our news feed. Here are our original segments and features from the past seven days:

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2019 Pre-Lottery NBA Draft Order

April 13th, 2019 at 7:51am CST by Luke Adams

The NBA conducted its draft tiebreakers on Friday evening, further cementing the draft order for 2019. While we’ll have to wait until the May 14 draft lottery to determine the exact order for this year’s event, we now know what most of the 60 selections look like.

Listed below is the pre-lottery 2019 NBA draft order. Each lottery team’s chances of landing the No. 1 overall pick are noted in parentheses. We’ve also included notes for picks whose status remains up in the air — for instance, the Grizzlies‘ first-round pick could still technically end up with either Memphis or the Celtics.

For teams with identical records, Friday’s tiebreakers only determined the first-round order — that order is reversed in the second round. As such, some second-round picks may hinge on next month’s lottery results.

For instance, even though the Cavaliers won the tiebreaker vs. the Suns for the No. 2 spot in the lottery order, Phoenix could still leapfrog Cleveland in the lottery, in which case the Cavs’ second-round pick (owned by the Sixers) would move ahead of the Suns’ second-rounder.

We’ll update this list after the May 14 lottery once the official order is set, but here’s the tentative 2019 NBA draft order:

First Round:

  1. New York Knicks (14.0%)
  2. Cleveland Cavaliers (14.0%)
  3. Phoenix Suns (14.0%)
  4. Chicago Bulls (12.5%)
  5. Atlanta Hawks (10.5%)
  6. Washington Wizards (9.0%)
  7. New Orleans Pelicans (6.0%)
  8. Memphis Grizzlies (6.0%)
    • Note: The Celtics will receive this pick if it falls out of the top eight (42.6% chance).
  9. Atlanta Hawks (from Mavericks) (6.0%)
    • Note: The Mavericks will keep this pick if it moves up into the top four (26.2% chance).
  10. Minnesota Timberwolves (3.0%)
  11. Los Angeles Lakers (2.0%)
  12. Charlotte Hornets (1.0%)
  13. Miami Heat (1.0%)
  14. Boston Celtics (from Kings) (1.0%)
    • Note: The Sixers will receive this pick if it moves up to No. 1 (1.0% chance).
  15. Detroit Pistons
  16. Orlando Magic
  17. Brooklyn Nets
  18. Indiana Pacers
  19. San Antonio Spurs
  20. Boston Celtics (from Clippers)
  21. Oklahoma City Thunder
  22. Boston Celtics
  23. Utah Jazz
  24. Philadelphia 76ers
  25. Portland Trail Blazers
  26. Cleveland Cavaliers (from Rockets)
  27. Brooklyn Nets (from Nuggets)
  28. Golden State Warriors
  29. San Antonio Spurs (from Raptors)
  30. Milwaukee Bucks

Second Round:

  1. Brooklyn Nets (from Knicks)
  2. Phoenix Suns
  3. Philadelphia 76ers (from Cavaliers)
    • Note: Sixers would swap places with Suns if Phoenix gets higher first-round pick than Cleveland via lottery.
  4. Philadelphia 76ers (from Bulls)
  5. Atlanta Hawks
  6. Charlotte Hornets (from Wizards)
  7. Dallas Mavericks
  8. Chicago Bulls (from Grizzlies)
  9. New Orleans Pelicans
    • Note: If Mavericks or Grizzlies move ahead of Pelicans via first-round lottery, their pick(s) would fall behind New Orleans’ in second round.
  10. Sacramento Kings (from Timberwolves)
  11. Atlanta Hawks (from Lakers)
  12. Philadelphia 76ers (from Kings)
  13. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Heat)
  14. Atlanta Hawks (from Hornets)
    • Note: If Kings or Heat move ahead of Hornets via first-round lottery, their pick(s) would fall behind Charlotte’s in second round.
  15. Detroit Pistons
  16. Orlando Magic (from Nets)
  17. Sacramento Kings (from Magic)
  18. Los Angeles Clippers
  19. San Antonio Spurs
  20. Indiana Pacers
  21. Boston Celtics
  22. Charlotte Hornets (from Thunder)
  23. Utah Jazz
  24. Philadelphia 76ers
  25. New York Knicks (from Rockets)
  26. Los Angeles Clippers (from Trail Blazers)
  27. New Orleans Pelicans (from Nuggets)
  28. Golden State Warriors
  29. Toronto Raptors
  30. Sacramento Kings (from Bucks)

Information from NBA.com and Tankathon.com was used in the creation of this post.

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Free Agent Stock Watch 2019: Pacific Division

April 12th, 2019 at 9:00pm CST by Dana Gauruder

Every week, Hoops Rumors takes a closer look at players who will be free agents or could become free agents next offseason. We examine if their stock is rising or falling due to performance and other factors. This week, we turn our attention to the Pacific Division:

Klay Thompson, Warriors, 29, SG (Up) – Signed to a four-year, $69MM deal in 2015
The smart money has Kevin Durant signing elsewhere this summer, which makes it more imperative for Golden State to keep its dynamic backcourt intact. The Warriors would probably have to max out Thompson at $190MM over five years and ownership appears willing to do so. If not, rivals with ample cap space would certainly give him a four-year, $140MM deal, the max they could offer. In any case, Thompson won’t have to take a discount the way the market figures to play out. Even in a somewhat down year by his standards, he still had the sixth-most 3-point makes in the NBA.

Reggie Bullock, Lakers, 28, SG (Down) — Signed to a two-year, $5MM deal in 2017
The cap-strapped Pistons figured they couldn’t re-sign Bullock, so they traded him to the Lakers for a couple of assets. He was Detroit’s most reliable wing player but things didn’t go well for him in L.A. He never got into a shooting rhythm with the Lakers, as the career 39.2% long-range gunner made just 34.3% of his 3-point shots. Bullock’s price tag might have gone down somewhat, though he should still field some multi-year offers. He might even return to Detroit, where he played four seasons, if the Pistons can fit him into their budget.

Rodney McGruder, Clippers, 27, SF (Up) – Signed to a three-year, $3.4MM deal in 2016
McGruder finished his season in the Clippers organization, though he’s ineligible for the playoffs. Miami put him on waivers to get under the luxury tax and the Clippers claimed him. The Clippers gained control of his Early Bird rights and can make him a restricted free agent by extending a $3MM qualifying offer. It seems that McGruder might benefit from Miami’s surprising move, as he could claim a rotation role with his new club depending upon how well they do in free agency. If they choose not to give him a QO, he should be able to secure a contract on the open market befitting a second-unit player.

Jamal Crawford, Suns, 39, SG (Up) – Signed to a one-year, $2.39MM deal in 2018
How crazy is this? Crawford entered the league in 2000, the same year Zion Williamson was born. They could be teammates next season. That’s if Crawford decides re-sign with Phoenix. He wants to play at least another year and why not? This week, Crawford became the oldest player in NBA history to record a 50-point game. Crawford appeared in 64 games with Phoenix after playing a minimum of 79 the previous three years. He’ll be providing offense off the bench somewhere next season, a tribute to his preparation, perseverance and durability.

Willie Cauley-Stein, Kings, 25, C (Down)– Signed to a four-year, $15.35MM deal in 2015
Cauley-Stein said prior to the season he was “ready to get paid” after his walk year. He started all but one game this season for Sacramento but didn’t really enhance his value. He’s not a shot-blocker. He doesn’t rebound particularly well for his size. He can’t shoot free throws, nor does he pose much of an offensive threat. The Kings can make him a restricted free agent by extending a $6.25MM qualifying offer but even that’s not a given. Cauley-Stein will certainly get a raise compared to his rookie deal but it probably won’t be what he expected.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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NBA Player Option Decisions For 2019/20

April 12th, 2019 at 1:58pm CST by Luke Adams

A number of NBA contracts include player options in the final year. Those option years give the player the opportunity to either opt into the final year of his deal, finishing out his contract, or to decline the option and hit the free agent market a year early.

In 2016 and 2017, as the salary cap spiked, only eight of 53 veterans who held player options on their contracts actually exercised those options. Half of those eight players (Tim Duncan, Caron Butler, Mo Williams, and Spencer Hawes) didn’t play a single NBA minute after picking up their options, having either retired or been waived. Another one of the eight (Chris Paul) only opted in because it cleared the way for him to be traded to his preferred destination.

However, the pendulum swung back in the other direction in 2018. With the cap increasing by smaller margins following 2016’s leap, and a number of recently-signed contracts turning into player-friendly – rather than team-friendly – deals, 20 of the 28 veterans who held player options for 2018/19 exercised those options.

That trend figures to continue this year. Although there are some marquee players who will certainly opt out in search of a raise and a longer-term commitment, many of the guys making option decisions are unlikely to do better on the open market than they will if they simply opt in.

This year’s player options are listed below. Option decisions are due by the end of the day on June 29 unless a player’s contract specifically calls for an earlier deadline, so we’ll continue to update this list through to note the latest decisions.

Point Guards

Shooting Guards

Small Forwards

Power Forwards

Centers

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