Hoops Rumors Originals

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2018 Free Agents Who Have Boosted Their Value In Postseason

While a player’s regular season résumé generally plays a larger role in dictating what sort of contract he receives as a free agent, a strong postseason can increase both the floor and the ceiling of that contract.

Two years ago, for instance, Bismack Biyombo entered free agency well positioned for a raise after a solid season in which he posted 5.5 PPG and 8.0 RPG as the Raptors’ backup center. In a summer that saw Timofey Mozgov and Ian Mahinmi land $64MM contracts, Biyombo would’ve done well regardless of how he played in the postseason, but it was his play in those three series that cemented his place as a coveted free agent.

He appeared in 20 games for the Raptors during those playoffs, starting 10 games due to a Jonas Valanciunas injury. Biyombo’s 6.2 PPG and 9.4 RPG in those 20 contests would’ve both been career highs, and he was at the center of several key plays and moments during Toronto’s postseason run. His playoff showing ultimately helped him secure a $68MM deal from the Magic.

Free agent spending in 2018 isn’t expected to be as extravagant as it was in 2016, but there are several players across the NBA who are building cases for bigger paydays as a result of their postseason play. Here are seven of them:

  1. Clint Capela, C (Rockets): Capela has been the breakout star of this year’s playoffs so far, as more and more observers realize he’s a legit third member of the Rockets’ Big Three alongside James Harden and Chris Paul. After leading the NBA in field-goal percentage and posting a double-double in the regular season, Capela has been even better in the postseason, increasing his averages in PPG (15.4), RPG (13.0), and BPG (2.6). So far against the Jazz, he has outplayed Rudy Gobert, arguably the league’s best defensive big man.
  2. Rajon Rondo, PG (Pelicans): He may not love the “Playoff Rondo” nickname, but Rondo has looked like a different player in the postseason. Besides posting an NBA-best 12.9 APG (including 14.8 APG in Pelicans wins), Rondo is also scoring more (10.8 PPG), grabbing more rebounds (8.3 RPG), and shooting better (.412 3PT%) than he did in the regular season. A year ago, Rondo’s impressive postseason was cut short by an injury and didn’t do much for his free agent stock, but it should earn him a raise this time around.
  3. Derrick Rose, PG (Timberwolves): When Rose was traded by the Cavs and then cut by the Jazz in February, it was unclear whether he’d even land another NBA job this season. The Timberwolves’ decision to sign him was second-guessed, and Rose didn’t do much during his nine regular season games to justify that decision. However, his postseason performance was impressive, and should quiet any speculation that he needs to call it a career. His .700 3PT% in those five playoff games was an aberration, but Rose looked revitalized against the Rockets.
  4. Jerami Grant, F (Thunder): While Grant’s modest playoff numbers don’t jump off the page, there’s one stat that does: his on/off-court ratings. In their six playoff games, the Thunder had a +8.9 net rating when Grant was playing, and a staggering -17.1 rating when he was on the bench. Grant will be an unrestricted free agent, but that first-round series was exhibit A for why OKC would almost certainly rather have him back than Carmelo Anthony and his $28M player option.
  5. Kevon Looney, F/C (Warriors): Coming into the 2017/18 season, Looney had logged fewer than 500 total NBA minutes, so it was no surprise that the Warriors declined the fourth-year option on his rookie contract for 2018/19. The team likely regrets that decision now. After developing into a rotation piece during the season, Looney has taken on a larger role in the playoffs, and has delivered with 5.1 PPG and 4.6 RPG in 21.0 minutes per contest. There probably won’t be a bidding war for his services this summer, but he’ll be on a few more teams’ radars due to his newfound role for the defending champs.
  6. Aron Baynes, C (Celtics): Coming into the 2018 playoffs, Baynes had made four three-point shots in his six-year NBA career. In 10 postseason games this year, he has gone 6-for-11 from long range, making at least one three-pointer in every game vs. the Sixers. Baynes isn’t about to start hoisting up five or six threes per game next season, but if his outside shot is falling enough to be a threat, it can have a huge impact on his team’s spacing, pulling the opposing center out from the paint. That makes him a much more intriguing piece in the middle.
  7. Ian Clark, G (Pelicans): Clark was solid but unspectacular off the bench for the Pelicans during the regular season. After shooting 36.4% on three-pointers coming into the 2017/18 campaign, Clark made just 31.8% for New Orleans, which was a worrying trend. His stroke has returned in the playoffs — his 36.0% conversion rate is back near his previous career mark, and his 3.1 attempts per game would be a career high.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

2018 NBA Offseason Salary Cap Digest: Detroit Pistons

A midseason blockbuster for Blake Griffin didn’t lead to immediate results for the Pistons, but the team will look to the Pelicans as a reason for hope going forward — New Orleans’ trade-deadline acquisition of DeMarcus Cousins didn’t really pay dividends until year two. With a nucleus of Griffin, Andre Drummond, and Reggie Jackson, there’s some reason for optimism in Detroit heading into 2018/19 — as long as those stars can stay healthy.

Here’s where things currently stand for the Pistons financially, as we continue our Offseason Salary Cap Digest series for 2018:

Guaranteed Salary

Player Options

  • None

Team Options

  • None

Non-Guaranteed Salary

Restricted Free Agents

  • None

Unrestricted Free Agents / Other Cap Holds

Projected Salary Cap: $101,000,000

Projected Cap Room: None

  • With or without Griffin’s mammoth salary on their cap, the Pistons wouldn’t have had any space this summer, since the contracts for Tobias Harris and Boban Marjanovic run through 2018/19. With Griffin on the books though, Detroit projects to be way over the cap, with a total team salary starting at $114,468,178 — that accounts for the Pistons’ nine guaranteed contracts, plus cap charges for three empty roster spots.

Footnotes:

  1. Bullock’s salary becomes fully guaranteed after July 15.
  2. Moreland’s salary becomes guaranteed for $750K after July 8. There are additional partial guarantees of $250K apiece after September 1 and after the first game of the regular season.
  3. Buycks’ salary becomes fully guaranteed after September 1.

Salary information from Basketball Insiders was used in the creation of this post. Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Weekly Mailbag: 4/30/18 – 5/6/18

We have an opportunity for you to hit us up with your questions in this, our weekly mailbag feature. Have a question regarding player movement, the salary cap or the NBA draft? Drop us a line at HoopsRumorsMailbag@Gmail.com.

Will my Wizards target DeAndre Jordan to bolster our frontcourt to give us the athletic big we need to compete in the East? — Jermaine, via Twitter

If Jordan opts out of his $24.1MM salary for next season and becomes a free agent, the Wizards won’t have a chance. They are already over the cap for next year and have no realistic way of opening up enough space to make a near-max offer. However, if Jordan opts in and the Clippers want to shake up their roster, the Wizards might be in the running. Kelly Oubre and Tomas Satoransky both have bright futures, but they will be due for extensions soon and Washington has to be careful about adding any expensive long-term contracts to John Wall, Bradley Beal and Otto Porter. The Wizards could match salaries by offering both players and Ian Mahinmi, who is owed nearly $31.5MM over the next two seasons. When Marcin Gortat‘s deal expires next summer, they would be in position to re-sign Jordan.

Would there be any chance the Pacers make a big grab in the offseason? — Adam Harris, via Twitter

Not only has Indiana assembled one of the NBA’s best young rosters, there aren’t any bad contracts to restrict the team from being aggressive in free agency. The Pacers won’t know how much cap room they have until Thaddeus Young [$13,764,045] and Cory Joseph [$7,945,000] decide on their player options for next season, and choices have to be made on non-guaranteed contracts for Bojan Bogdanovic [$10.5MM], Darren Collison and Al Jefferson [$10MM each]. Indiana could be in position to upgrade its front court with a nice offer to a restricted free agent like Aaron Gordon or Julius Randle.

With the hiring of David Fizdale, do you agree this is the Knicks’ best coaching hire in quite some time? Because I do! — Deven Parikh

It’s not an especially high bar to clear, considering that the franchise has been through 11 coaches in 14 seasons, but Fizdale feels like the next step in a new era in New York. There’s a reason he was on the interview list for nearly every head coaching slot that opened. Fizdale was a highly respected assistant for years, he has a rapport with many star players and there was a feeling that he got a raw deal in Memphis. He was due to get another chance soon and he seems like the right man to lead the Knicks back to the playoffs, if team president Steve Mills and GM Scott Perry can stick to their pledge to remain patient.

Community Shootaround: Toronto Raptors

A few days ago, the Raptors were being praised for keeping the core of their team together and not firing coach Dwane Casey after a string of playoff disappointments. Those decisions led to a 59-win season and the top seed in the Eastern Conference.

Then came an overtime loss to the Cavaliers in Game 1 of the conference semifinals, followed by an embarrassing performance in Game 2 and tonight’s heartbreaker that left them in an 0-3 hole. With another potential early postseason exit looming, sounds of discord are emerging from across the border.

A second-round ouster may be enough to cause a shakeup in Toronto, but as with most contending teams, major change won’t come easily. The Raptors gave new three-year contracts to Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka last summer, adding to the expensive one already owned by DeMar DeRozan. As a result, Toronto is already above the projected tax line for next season with a potential payroll of $133MM, a figure that could go even higher in 2019/20.

No help will be coming from the draft because the Raptors sent both of this year’s picks to the Nets last summer as the price for taking on DeMarre Carroll‘s contract. That also limits flexibility in pre-draft trades as the team can’t deal another first-rounder until 2020.

Over the next two years, Toronto owes more than $64MM to Lowry and nearly $45MM to Ibaka. DeRozan will make more than $27.7MM in each of the next two seasons, with a player option for the same amount in 2020/21. An extension for Norman Powell kicks in for next season, paying him about $42MM over four years.

Rather than upending the roster, the Raptors may opt for a coaching change. Casey, with one year left on his contract, has won 320 games in seven seasons in Toronto, but has been under fire for his lack of success in the playoffs. Assistant Nick Nurse and G League coach Jerry Stackhouse have both been candidates for head coaching jobs this summer, and the Raptors may decide to promote one of them before they leave.

We want to get your input. How would you fix the Raptors if they flame out in the playoffs again? Give us your feedback in the comments section below.

Hoops Rumors Originals: 4/28/18 – 5/5/18

Every week, we here at Hoops Rumors strive to create interesting original content to complement our news feed. Here are the original segments and features from the past seven days:

Free Agent Stock Watch 2018: San Antonio Spurs

The fate of the Spurs is in the hands of Kawhi Leonard and it’s hard to get a clear read on his current relationship with the franchise. With Leonard, a savvy veteran core, and a world-class coaching staff, the Spurs are capable of competing in the West. Without him, however, the forecast in San Antonio is considerably more bleak, and that impacts everything, including the club’s pending free agency decisions.

Given the franchise’s track record of stability, I’d posit that Leonard returns at full health next season and this entire debacle gets chalked up to a superstar-level player lacking faith in an organization’s medical staff mandated to prod him back into action as soon as reasonably possible.

While much of the disappointment around the team this year can be traced back to this one isolated case of melodrama, that shouldn’t veil the fact that the Spurs – who’ve been ancient for over a decade now – are looking older than ever. Is a major shakeup right around the bend? That may be the case with or without Leonard eventually, but in 2018/19 at least, we can expect something along the lines of the status quo.

Kyle Anderson, SF, 24 (Up) – Signed to a four-year, $6MM deal in 2014
Like any good Spurs prospect, Anderson slowly marinated in winning culture for three years before taking a leap in the final year of his rookie contract. The versatile forward thrived in the minutes made available by the injury to Leonard and could draw interest as a capable, multifaceted young asset on the open market this summer. San Antonio has some flexibility to match a raise if Anderson’s camp goes out and gets one — the Spurs may have no other choice if they end up needing to consider a full roster reboot anyway.

Davis Bertans, PF, 25 (Up) – Signed to a two-year, $2MM deal in 2016
Although he didn’t play major minutes on a consistent basis for the Spurs in 2017/18, Bertans established himself as a player who could contribute when given an opportunity. The stretch four isn’t likely to command a significant price tag as a restricted free agent, so San Antonio could probably lock him in as an affordable, yet capable rotation piece in an effort to add depth to an aging frontcourt.

Bryn Forbes, SG, 24 (Up) – Signed to a two-year, $2MM deal in 2016
With much of San Antonio’s rotation planted firmly in their late-30s, competent young players that can be locked in to affordable deals are a special commodity. In Forbes, the club has a combo guard capable of instant offense off the bench. The MSU product could generate interest from other teams looking to add fresh legs and a potent long ball, but the Spurs should have enough financial flexibility to match anything within reason.

Rudy Gay, PF, 31 (Up) – Signed to a two-year, $17MM deal in 2017
An Achilles injury forced Gay into signing a short-term “prove-it” deal with the Spurs last summer and the combo forward appears to have done just that. Still, while Gay performed admirably in a reduced role with his new franchise, it’s hard to imagine he’d garner much interest on the open market given his age and relatively underwhelming portfolio as a big investment. Gay looked solid as a supplementary player for the Spurs in 2017/18 and seems to be content. Given that there won’t be a long line of teams interested in overpaying for the 31-year-old in 2018, accepting the $9MM player option for next season may be Gay’s best bet.

Danny Green, SG, 31 (Down) – Signed to a four-year, $40MM deal in 2015
While Green’s calling card has become ever more important in today’s NBA, there’s no denying that the three-point specialist benefited from perfect timing the last time he hit free agency. Green could conceivably turn down his 2018/19 player option worth $10MM next season in the hopes of landing a modest raise on a lucrative short-term deal like J.J. Redick did last summer, but the former bit player could also play things safe and continue to enjoy his last haul.

Joffrey Lauvergne, C, 26 (Down) – Signed to a two-year, $3MM deal in 2017
Lauvergne has seen his role decrease as he’s bounced from destination to destination over the last three seasons, but he remains a vaguely intriguing reserve asset despite the fact that he’ll turn 27 before next season. This summer, the big man’s best option to stick around in the league long-term might be to accept his 2018/19 player option and battle his way into a bigger role in San Antonio’s frontcourt. If he does that, he could open more opportunities for himself.

Tony Parker, PG, 36 (Down) – Signed to a four-year, $56MM deal in 2014
The Spurs have consistently paid their veteran point guard eight-digit salaries for the past decade and while his place in the upper echelon of franchise history is secure, the organization doesn’t face any pressure to sign him to a bloated lifetime achievement contract as he enters the twilight of his career. Parker handled a demotion to the second unit professionally this year and has previously said that he’d like to play 20 seasons. That said, if indications that the team’s culture is going south are true, there may not be much of a point to keeping the band together.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

2018 NBA Offseason Salary Cap Digest: Charlotte Hornets

After yo-yoing back and forth between the postseason and the lottery during Steve Clifford‘s first four years with the club, the Hornets failed to bounce back in Clifford’s fifth year, enduring a second straight 36-46 season. That disappointing outcome resulted in the ouster of both Clifford and GM Rich Cho, so Charlotte will head into the 2018/19 league year with a new management team and head coach in place as the club mulls its next moves.

Here’s where things currently stand for the Hornets financially, as we continue our Offseason Salary Cap Digest series for 2018:

Guaranteed Salary

Player Options

  • None

Team Options

  • None

Non-Guaranteed Salary

Restricted Free Agents

Unrestricted Free Agents / Other Cap Holds

Projected Salary Cap: $101,000,000

Projected Cap Room: None

  • With 11 of their 14 current players still on guaranteed contracts next year, the Hornets don’t have a whole lot of flexibility. Adding those 11 salaries to the team’s cap hold for its lottery pick works out to a total team salary of $121,268,720, which is well above the cap and may be right around the tax line. While new GM Mitch Kupchak will almost certainly look to reduce that figure this summer, creating any short-term cap room is unlikely.

Footnotes:

  1. Stone’s salary becomes fully guaranteed after August 1.
  2. The Hornets are 11th in the draft lottery standings. They’ll likely have the No. 11 selection, but could end up picking as high as No. 1 ($8,095,595) and as low as No. 14 ($2,869,353).

Note: Rookie scale cap holds are estimates based on salary cap projections and could increase or decrease depending on where the cap lands.

Salary information from Basketball Insiders was used in the creation of this post. Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Hoops Rumors’ 2018 NBA Award Picks: Most Improved Player

While the NBA won’t announce this year’s award winners until late in June, we’re making our picks for the year’s major awards over the next two weeks.

The Hoops Rumors writing team has weighed in with our choices below, but we also want to know which players, coaches, and executives you think are most deserving of the hardware this season, so jump into the comments section below to share your thoughts.

We’re keeping things going today with the award for Most Improved Player. Here are our selections:

Clark Crum: Victor Oladipo (Pacers)
This one is pretty easy for me. As I noted within my Executive of the Year pick, Oladipo had largely underperformed as a former No. 2 overall selection in the forgettable 2013 draft before this season. Almost everyone panned the Pacers’ trade for him. Yet, Oladipo came out this year and averaged career-highs in PPG (23.1), RPG (5.2), APG (4.3), FG% (.477), 3P% (.371), and SPG (2.4), a category in which he led the NBA. He may very well be named to both an All-NBA and NBA All-Defensive Team.

I also gave strong consideration to Clint Capela and Terry Rozier, while Montrezl Harrell and Spencer Dinwiddie improved mightily as well, but I ultimately couldn’t see anyone but Oladipo winning this award.

Chris Crouse: Victor Oladipo (Pacers)
With Paul George no longer on the team, the Pacers headed into the season with low expectations, viewed by many as more likely to land a topfive pick than make the playoffs. However, Oladipo’s unprecedented improvement, going from fringe starter to All-NBA candidate, gave Indiana life. He carried the Pacers all season and his development makes him more worthy of this award than past recipients.

Arthur Hill: Victor Oladipo (Pacers)
Even before he went head-to-head with LeBron James in the playoffs, Oladipo clearly established himself as the NBA’s Most Improved Player. Oladipo’s qualifications go beyond the impressive numbers, including a 7.2 PPG increase in his scoring average. He provided the Pacers with an All-Star level performer to take the place of Paul George and enabled the franchise to claim the fifth seed when many thought it would collapse. Not bad for a guy who has been traded the past two summers.

Dana Gauruder: Victor Oladipo (Pacers)
The Magic traded away the second pick of the 2013 draft after three ho-hum seasons. The Thunder dealt him after one year to get Paul George, which could very well turn into a one-season rental. Given a lead dog role, Oladipo blossomed in Indiana, not only scoring 23.1 PPG but improving his shooting percentages in the process. Defensively, he doubled his steals rate. The Pacers have a star they can build around, one who doesn’t openly pine to play in Los Angeles.

Austin Kent: Victor Oladipo (Pacers)
There are a number of players who made notable improvements this season but Oladipo is the clearcut top choice for the award. He didn’t simply continue an upward trend that he’d been on for years — he completely changed his perception in the league.

There’s no denying that the former No. 2 overall pick’s value was throttled during his one year in Oklahoma City, but his first year as a Pacer exceeded even the most ambitious outlook one could have had for him out of the draft back in 2013.

Luke Adams: Victor Oladipo (Pacers)
While the qualifications for Most Improved Player can be confusing, Oladipo could very well be a unanimous pick this year for the reasons outlined above. So rather than restating his case, I’ll mention a few players whose improvement in 2017/18 also deserves recognition.

Jrue Holiday and Steven Adams elevated their games to another level this season, silencing doubts about their massive contracts. Fourth-year bigs Clint Capela and Aaron Gordon improved all around as they near restricted free agency, while Fred VanVleet, Jamal Murray, Jaylen Brown, and Domantas Sabonis are among the players who made impressive second-year leaps. E’Twaun Moore and Joe Ingles also deserve credit for becoming key starters after multiple seasons as solid bench players.

Who is your pick for Most Improved Player? Share your choices and your thoughts in the comment section below!

Previously:

Still to come next week:

  • Sixth Man of the Year
  • Rookie of the Year
  • Defensive Player of the Year
  • Most Valuable Player

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

2018 NBA Offseason Salary Cap Digest: Los Angeles Lakers

Since Magic Johnson and Rob Pelinka assumed control of the Lakers’ front office early in 2017, they’ve been hoarding cap room for the summer of 2018, signing free agents to one-year contracts last offseason and acquiring players on expiring deals at the trade deadline. It’s not a lock that the Lakers use all that cap room on long-term signings this summer, but that will be one of several scenarios on the table for the franchise as it resumes its pursuit of star players.

Here’s where things currently stand for the Lakers financially, as we continue our Offseason Salary Cap Digest series for 2018:

Guaranteed Salary

Player Options

  • None

Team Options

  • None

Non-Guaranteed Salary

Restricted Free Agents

Unrestricted Free Agents / Other Cap Holds

Projected Salary Cap: $101,000,000

Projected Cap Room: $48,084,682

  • A handful of wild cards will impact how much cap room the Lakers have – or need – this summer. Will they waive and stretch Deng? Will they re-sign Randle or any other free agents? Will they bring back players on non-guaranteed contracts? For our projection, we’ve assumed they keep all five players on guaranteed contracts along with cap holds for Randle, their first-round pick, and five empty roster spots. That results in a total team salary of $52,915,318.
  • If landing two star free agents looks like a realistic possibility, Los Angeles could create the room necessary for a pair of max contracts. For instance, by waiving and stretching Deng, renouncing Randle, and trading their first-round pick, the Lakers could create $70,423,432 in space. Ultimately, their approach to the offseason may be dictated by how their conversations with those top free agents go.

Footnotes:

  1. Ennis’ salary becomes fully guaranteed after July 5.
  2. Zubac’s salary becomes fully guaranteed after June 30.
  3. Bryant’s salary becomes fully guaranteed after July 5.

Note: Rookie scale cap holds are estimates based on salary cap projections and could increase or decrease depending on where the cap lands.

Salary information from Basketball Insiders was used in the creation of this post. Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.