Hoops Rumors Originals

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Community Shootaround: Time To Rebuild The Clippers?

The scramble for Western Conference playoff spots got a little smaller today as the Clippers were officially eliminated with a 19-point loss to the Nuggets. It marks the end of a six-year playoff run for the franchise and may signal the start of a rebuilding project in L.A.

There’s an argument to be made that the process is already under way. It may have begun when Chris Paul demanded a trade to Houston last June, then was accelerated when Blake Griffin was shipped to Detroit. Paul and Griffin were the foundation for the greatest years the formerly downtrodden Clippers have ever experienced, and it feels like the team has already entered a new era.

The most consequential decision facing the Clippers this summer is out of their hands. DeAndre Jordan can opt out of a $24.12MM salary for next season and become an unrestricted free agent. Jordan, who has been with the franchise throughout his 10-year career, remains the cornerstone of the defense and one of the league’s best rebounders. Taking his salary off the books would open a ton of cap room, but there’s not an obvious replacement on the roster.

Also facing opt-out decisions are Austin Rivers ($12.65MM), Milos Teodosic ($6.3MM) and Wesley Johnson ($6.13MM). Rivers seems likely to stay as long as his father is the head coach, but that’s another area where change could be coming.

Doc Rivers has one year left on his contract, and a mutual parting could be in the works. Rivers lost influence in the organization when he was squeezed out of a front office job last offseason and may prefer to go someplace where he’ll have a say about personnel matters. Rivers once said he didn’t want to stay in Boston for a rebuilding project, and he probably has the same attitude toward Los Angeles.

Barring trades, the only sure things for the Clippers’ roster next season are Danilo Gallinari, Tobias Harris, Boban Marjanovic, Lou Williams, Sam Dekker, Jawun Evans and Sindarius Thornwell. Patrick Beverley, who missed almost the entire season with a knee injury, has a nonguaranteed $5MM salary.

The news isn’t all bad for the Clippers, who will have their own lottery pick, along with the Pistons’ if it falls outside the top four. Detroit is 12th in our latest Reverse Standings and would need a lot of luck to hold onto the pick.

What would you do if you were running the Clippers? Would you re-sign Jordan if he opts out and try to start a new playoff streak, or is it time to start selling off the veterans and start over? Jump into the comments section below and give us your thoughts.

Hoops Rumors Originals: 3/31/18 – 4/7/18

Every week, we here at Hoops Rumors strive to create interesting original content to complement our news feed. Here are the original segments and features from the past seven days:

  • Generally, NBA teams fill up their 15 roster spots by the end of the regular season, so we identified the seven teams that still have openings on their squads.
  • In the latest installment of his Free Agent Stock Watch series, Austin Kent took a closer look at the Nets‘ 2018 free agents, including Joe Harris and former third overall pick Jahlil Okafor.
  • Due to the protections on them, it’s still not clear where a handful of this year’s traded draft picks will land. We looked at five protected traded draft picks for 2018 that are worth watching closely down the stretch.
  • When 2018’s window for 10-day contract signings ended, I broke down some numbers on this year’s 10-day deals — in total, 61 of those contracts were signed by 20 NBA teams, including eight by the Pelicans.
  • Arthur Hill answered questions about the Knicks‘ point guard situation, the Nets‘ 2018 first-round pick, and tanking in this week’s mailbag.
  • Our polls this week focused on the upcoming playoffs — we asked which two Western Conference contenders would miss out on the postseason and gauged your thoughts on how far the Celtics will advance in the playoffs after Kyrie Irving‘s season-ending surgery.
  • Our lone Community Shootaround discussion this week revolved around 2018’s Basketball Hall of Fame class. Which of the new inductees had the most impressive career?

NBA Teams That Still Have Open Roster Spots

Unless an NBA team is ravaged by injuries, it likely won’t use the 15th man on its roster very often. Many teams dedicate that spot to a prospect who spends much of his time in the G League rather than with the NBA squad. Other teams don’t even bother carrying a full 15-man roster, creating modest savings by not having to pay a player in that final slot.

Still, by the end of the regular season, most teams have filled their 15 roster spots in one way or another. If a club signs a player with one or two days left in the season, the money owed to that player for the current year is extremely minimal. Additionally, those deals often include non-guaranteed salaries for the following season, allowing a team to take an extended look at the player during the summer.

With six days left in the 2017/18 season, several teams still have open roster spots, but there’s a good chance that most – or all – of these clubs will fill those slots with free agents by next Wednesday.

Here are the teams that still have an open roster slot and are worth watching in the coming days:

  • Charlotte Hornets
  • Cleveland Cavaliers
    • Note: The Cavs have two open roster spots and will need to sign at least one player before the regular season ends.
  • Los Angeles Clippers
  • Los Angeles Lakers
  • Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Toronto Raptors
  • Washington Wizards

2017/18’s 10-Day Contract Window Ends

Wednesday, April 11 represents the last day of the 2017/18 NBA regular season, which means there are just nine days left in this season. As such, we won’t see another 10-day contract signed this season, since a simple rest-of-season deal would run through the final nine days of the year.

With no more 10-day contracts on the way for 2017/18, we’ll make use of our 10-day tracker to break down a few details on this year’s 10-day signings. Let’s dive in…

Total number of 10-day contracts signed:

  • Signed one 10-day contract: 19
  • Signed one 10-day contract, then signed for rest of season: 3
  • Signed two 10-day contracts: 8
  • Signed two 10-day contracts, then signed for rest of season: 12
  • Total 10-day contracts signed: 61

While the number of 10-day contracts signed this season will stay at 61, the number of players who signed rest-of-season contracts after inking a 10-day deal or two could still increase. Larry Drew II (Pelicans), MarShon Brooks (Grizzlies), David Stockton (Jazz), Xavier Silas (Celtics), Jeremy Evans (Hawks) have active 10-day contracts. Those players could be re-signed when their current contracts expire.

Teams that completed the most 10-day signings:

  • New Orleans Pelicans: 8 (four players)
  • Atlanta Hawks: 7 (four players)
  • Dallas Mavericks: 5 (four players)
  • Memphis Grizzlies: 5 (four players)
  • Los Angeles Lakers: 4 (three players)
  • Orlando Magic: 4 (two players)
  • Phoenix Suns: 4 (two players)
  • Utah Jazz: 4 (two players)

No NBA team signed more than four different players to 10-day contracts this season. Of those teams that signed four players to 10-day deals, the Pelicans were the most inclined to extend a player’s audition — they re-signed all four of their 10-day players to a second 10-day deal, and ultimately locked up both Emeka Okafor and DeAndre Liggins for the season.

On the opposite end of the spectrum, the Grizzlies hadn’t re-signed any of their 10-day contract recipients to second deals until they locked up Marquis Teague for the rest of the season today.

Teams that didn’t complete any 10-day signings:

  • Brooklyn Nets
  • Charlotte Hornets
  • Denver Nuggets
  • Detroit Pistons
  • Golden State Warriors
  • Miami Heat
  • Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Sacramento Kings
  • San Antonio Spurs

For many of the teams on this list, roster limits prevented a 10-day signing — with full 15-man rosters, they would have needed to waive a player on a guaranteed contract in order to sign a player to a 10-day contract. However, that wasn’t the case for every club on this list.

The Hornets, for instance, have carried an open roster spot for most of the season — they’ve perhaps been more concerned with finding a new general manager than with auditioning a 15th man. Charlotte probably also doesn’t have much interest in further increasing its $117MM+ team salary for a lottery-bound squad.

The Timberwolves are another team that has been carrying 14 players, giving them the ability to sign players to 10-day contracts without making a corresponding roster move. Of course, considering how averse Tom Thibodeau is to using even the ninth or 10th man on his bench, adding a player to that 15th spot was probably deemed unnecessary.

10-day MVPs:

While no players have really parlayed 10-day contracts into true breakout years this season, there are a handful of guys who turned 10-day auditions into regular rotation roles and have been solid contributors for their respective clubs. Emeka Okafor (Pelicans) headlines that list — he assumed the starting center role after DeMarcus Cousins went down, and has played well, with 4.7 PPG, 4.9 RPG, and 1.1 BPG in 23 games (14.7 MPG).

Honorable mention:

  • Troy Williams (Knicks): 7.5 PPG, 3.5 RPG, .490 FG% in 17 games (17.1 MPG).
  • Damion Lee (Hawks): 9.8 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 1.3 SPG in 10 games (26.0 MPG).
  • Ramon Sessions (Wizards): 6.5 PPG, 3.7 APG, .400 3PT% in 13 games (16.9 MPG).
  • Travis Wear (Lakers): 5.2 PPG, 2.3 RPG, .390 3PT% in 13 games (13.2 MPG)
  • MarShon Brooks (Grizzlies): 22.5 PPG, .600/.857/1.000 shooting in two games (20.0 MPG).

Five Traded 2018 Draft Picks With Protections To Watch

A ton of 2018’s first- and second-round picks have been included in trades already, and many of those traded picks have protections on them. In those instances, the pick only changes hands if the protection conditions are met — for example, the Hawks traded their second-round pick to the Clippers, but included top-55 protection on it, meaning L.A. would only receive it if it falls between 56 and 60. Given Atlanta’s record, that obviously won’t happen.

For many of this year’s traded picks, there’s not much drama left related to those protections. Either they definitely won’t change hands, like that Hawks second-rounder, or they definitely will — like the Rockets‘ first-round pick, which is headed to Atlanta with top-three protections on it.

However, there are a handful of traded draft picks whose status remains up in the air. The season’s final few games will determine which teams end up with those picks, or whether they change hands at all.

Let’s dive in and take a closer look at five of those protected picks worth watching down the stretch…

  1. Pistons‘ first-round pick (to Clippers; top-4 protection)
    • The Pistons are likely to finish the season 12th in the lottery standings, so this pick is extremely likely to end up with the Clippers. But that could change if Detroit lucks out in the lottery — at No. 12, the Pistons would have a 2.5% chance of jumping into the top three and keeping their pick.
  2. Bucks‘ first-round pick (to Suns; top-10 protection and 17-30 protection)
    • As of today, the Bucks’ 41-36 record has them tied with the Heat for the 15th or 16th pick in the draft. That would mean the Suns receive Milwaukee’s selection. That could change though, if the Bucks get hot to finish the season, pushing the pick back to 17th or 18th overall. Milwaukee has games left against Boston, Philadelphia, and three lottery teams, so that scenario is in play. If it happens, Milwaukee would keep its 2018 first-rounder and owe the Suns a protected first-rounder (protected for 1-3 and 17-30) in 2019.
  3. Timberwolves‘ first-round pick (to Hawks; top-14 protection)
    • At 44-34, the Timberwolves are up one game in the loss column on the ninth-seeded Nuggets, and two on the tenth-seeded Clippers. The Wolves’ remaining two games against Denver will be crucial for determining whether they make the playoffs and lose their pick or miss the playoffs and keep it (they’d owe their 2019 lottery-protected first-rounder to Atlanta in that case).
  4. Thunder‘s first-round pick (to Timberwolves; top-14 protection)
    • The 45-33 Thunder are slightly better positioned than Minnesota to clinch a playoff spot, but that could change quickly — Oklahoma City has games against Golden State, Houston, and Miami on tap, and doesn’t hold a tiebreaker edge over most of the other Western Conference playoff contenders. I expect the Thunder to hang onto a playoff spot, but if they don’t, they’ll keep their 2018 first-rounder and owe their 2019 lottery-protected first-rounder to Minnesota. Interestingly, if the final playoff spot comes down to the Thunder and Wolves, Minnesota could end up with two first-round picks for 2018 or none.
  5. Bucks‘ second-round pick (to Nets if in 31-47 range; to Suns if in 48-60 range)
    • As is the case with their first-round pick, the Bucks’ second-round selection is right on the edge here, currently projected to be 45th or 46th. A strong finish for the Bucks could mean that second-rounder lands with Phoenix, but for now it seems more likely to head to Brooklyn.

Free Agent Stock Watch 2018: Brooklyn Nets

With little other options available, Nets general manager Sean Marks has made the most out of his biggest asset: cap space. For that reason, the Nets will likely be diligent as to how they handle free agency in 2018.

While Brooklyn will have its first-round pick in 2019 and doesn’t necessarily have to use its payroll as a landfill for unwanted player contracts just to add assets, the club may continue to leverage its cap space during what continues to be the early stages of a rebuild.

With no set core in place, the Nets won’t feel much pressure to make deals this summer, which is actually kind of a luxury. Don’t expect the franchise to stretch itself thin to bring back any of its free agents if doing so will put them in a bad position.

Jahlil Okafor, C, 22 (Down) – Signed to a three-year, $14MM deal in 2015Jahlil Okafor of the Brooklyn Nets vertical
Is there another player in NBA history who, despite a solid first-year campaign and reasonable health throughout, saw his value plummet more over the course of a rookie contract? It’s hard to imagine that Okafor’s decline is solely a product of his old-school game — he’s also had the misfortune of being employed by two franchises that couldn’t seem to care less about legitimately developing him as an asset. There will be at least one team willing to give Okafor another shot. It could even be the Nets, considering they’d get for an entire offseason and training camp this time. In any case, Okafor will probably have to sign a short-term, prove-it deal before he gets another significant NBA contract.

Quincy Acy, PF, 27 (Up) – Signed to a two-year, $4MM deal in 2017
Acy is an affordable role player who has served well in two stints with the Nets. Since he comes with a cheap price tag, appears to be content with a minor role, and is a serviceable veteran who contributes when called upon, it’s hard to imagine Brooklyn wouldn’t welcome him back. Acy may get a longer-term commitment from the Nets this time around, but he isn’t likely to draw much more than a modest raise above the league minimum from Brooklyn or anybody else.

Dante Cunningham, SF, 31 (Down) – Signed to a one-year, $2MM deal in 2017
The Nets absorbed Cunningham’s contract in a midseason deal, so there’s no guarantee that either party would be interested in a commitment beyond 2017/18. Cunningham is a utility forward seemingly intent on contributing to a reasonably competitive team so maybe their timelines just don’t match. In any event, the eight-year veteran isn’t likely to top the $2MM-$3MM threshold he’s flirted with for the majority of his career.

Joe Harris, SG, 26 (Up) – Signed to a two-year, $3MM deal in 2016
The return on investment for Harris has been great, but the Nets may want to pump the brakes when it comes to re-signing him in the offseason. While Harris has been an excellent example of how the Nets franchise has developed youngsters, overpaying for a niche player without a set core in place isn’t the wisest course of action. If it looks like Harris might get poached by a more competitive team looking to add a solid depth piece, the Nets shouldn’t reach to retain him — not with so many other holes to fill first.

Nik Stauskas, SG, 24 (Down) – Signed to a four-year, $12MM deal in 2014
The Nets have given Stauskas something of a tryout to prove that he could possibly live up to his eighth overall selection back in 2014, but he hasn’t done enough to warrant a raise from his rookie deal. While Stauskas may get another chance to prove himself next season, it’ll have to come cheap and potentially non-guaranteed.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Weekly Mailbag: 3/26/18 – 4/1/18

We have an opportunity for you to hit us up with your questions in this, our weekly mailbag feature. Have a question regarding player movement, the salary cap or the NBA draft? Drop us a line at HoopsRumorsMailbag@Gmail.com.

What kind of return could the Knicks get for Trey Burke?  With a glut of younger point guards who need developing (Frank Ntilikina and Emmanuel Mudiay), the ability to draft another one (Trae Young? Collin Sexton?), the likelihood that they’ll go after Kyrie Irving in 2019, and Burke’s age (25 turning 26), Burke seems like he won’t be in their future plans despite his success with the team this year. — Alek Miletic

Sorting out the point guard situation will be among the Knicks’ many priorities this offseason. Burke has a nonguaranteed minimum deal for next season that could make him an attractive piece in any trade. However, counting on signing Irving a year from now is a risky strategy, so New York needs to determine which of its current guards has the brightest future or if they need to address the position in the draft. With Burke having a small contract, Ntilikina on a rookie deal and Mudiay (nearly $4.3MM next season) unlikely to be in demand, expect all three of them to be back for another season of sorting things out.

Whom do you think will the Cavaliers will take in the draft using Brooklyn’s pick? — Greg Dizon

The Nets have moved into a tie for seventh in our latest Reverse Standings, which might cost Cleveland a shot at one of the sure-fire big men at the top of the draft. There are too many variables to pick out one player for the Cavs because the direction of the franchise is going to depend on what LeBron James decides to do in July. Point guard could be a position of need with George Hill only one season away from his option year, but Cleveland will probably disregard position concerns and take the highest player on their board, just in case he’s the first step in rebuilding.

It seems draft pick forfeiture is extreme to prevent tanking. What if a team’s record in the final standings directly affected its national television exposure for the following season? Best records in the league get the most games. Worst records get the least. And somehow alter revenue sharing to where the Grizzlies would not benefit from the TV games the Warriors are on, for example. Seems that the less exposure one gets … the less merchandise you will sell, the less tickets you will sell, and the less appealing it would be for a free agent to choose the team as a destination. — Beauen Bogner
Won-loss records already play a big part in determining who gets the network games, which is why you don’t see the Suns, Hawks or Magic play very often. Revenue sharing won’t change unless it’s negotiated in the collective bargaining agreement, and the small-market owners would never agree to such a system. The league’s problem with tanking comes from years of refusing to call out teams that are obviously losing on purpose. Is it tanking for a non-contender to give extra rest to a star player with a minor injury? Or to allocate more minutes to younger players when the postseason is already out of reach? There are probably eight teams this season with no incentive to win, but despite talking tough and handing out fines, the NBA has never provided a clear definition of what constitutes tanking.

Community Shootaround: Best New Hall Of Famer

The Naismith Memorial Basketball Hall of Fame announced its Class of 2018 today with 13 new inductees from across the basketball spectrum. Most prominent for NBA fans are five perimeter players who established themselves as among the best ever at their positions: Grant Hill, Jason Kidd, Steve Nash, Ray Allen and Maurice Cheeks.

All five posted strong Hall of Fame credentials, but part of the fun of sports is arguing about who was the best:

  • Before an injury derailed his career in the late 1990s, Hill was putting up MVP-type numbers each year, finishing third in the voting in 1997. A seven-time All-Star, he popularized the concept of a “point forward” and averaged 7.3 assists per game during the 1996/97 season. A bad ankle limited him to a total of 47 games in what should have been four of his prime seasons, but he recovered and was able to stay in the league until age 40.
  • Kidd was a triple-double machine who led the Nets to the finals twice, then won a title late in his career with the Mavericks. A 10-time All-Star, he led the NBA in assists five times in a six-year period and finished second in the 2002 MVP voting. Kidd is second in career assists and steals and ranks ninth in made 3-pointers.
  • Nash won back-to-back MVP awards in 2005 and 2006 and finished second in the voting in 2007. An eight-time All-Star, he is best known as the creative force behind the high-scoring Suns team from last decade. One of the game’s most accurate shooters, Nash posted four seasons in the 50/40/90 club.
  • Allen holds the record for most 3-pointers with 2,973 and was a 40% career shooter from long distance. He was a huge scorer for Milwaukee and Seattle, and later became a 3-point threat for championship teams in Boston and Miami. A 10-time All-Star, Allen was one of the most feared shooters in the league for 18 seasons.
  • Cheeks was a talented two-way point guard for Sixers teams that were among the league’s best throughout the 1980s. Though he was often overshadowed by more famous teammates, Cheeks was an important contributor, making four All-Star teams and four All-Defensive first teams. He ranks fifth in career steals and 11th in assists.

We want your opinion on these new Hall of Famers. If you could take one of them in his prime to build a team around, which one would you choose? Jump into the comments section below and give us your pick.

Hoops Rumors Originals: 3/24/18 – 3/31/18

Every week, we here at Hoops Rumors strive to create interesting original content to complement our news feed. Here are the original segments and features from the past seven days: