Hoops Rumors Originals

Teams With 13 Standard Contracts; Logical Fits To Fill Out Rosters

September 9th, 2023 at 12:13pm CST by Tristan Tucker

Teams are inching toward the start of training camp at the end of September and, as we noted, there are several teams with full offseason rosters of 21 players. However, on the other side of things, there are three teams with only 13 players on standard contracts.

CBA rules state that teams cannot have fewer than 14 players on a standard roster for more than 28 total days during the course of the entire season, or for two consecutive weeks. That means teams can dip to 13 or fewer players on standard deals temporarily, but are mandated to keep at least 14 players for the majority of the season.

Based on those guidelines, these teams are likely to make moves before the start of the season to get up to at least 14 players on standard deals.

It is important to note that there are other teams could dip below 14 players on the standard roster before the season begins. For example, the Celtics currently have 14 players signed to standard deals but three, including the recently signed Svi Mykhailiuk, are owed little to no guaranteed money. The Heat and Rockets are among the other teams who could have standard roster openings in the future, as both clubs have several players signed to Exhibit 10 deals ahead of training camp.

Let’s take a look at the three teams who have two or more openings on their 15-man roster and who could logically fill those spots.

Cavaliers

The Cavaliers have 16 total players signed to deals — 13 on standard deals and three on two-way contracts. Sam Merrill, one of their 13 players, is signed to a deal that is fully non-guaranteed. The Cavs are a bit difficult to predict, though they had rumored interest in signing P.J. Washington before he re-signed with Charlotte.

The Cavs could either convert a player to a standard contract, such as Isaiah Mobley, or could be looking for veteran scoring off the bench. If the latter is the case, Kelly Oubre could be a natural fit in a bench role on a one-year prove-it deal. Rudy Gay is another name who may hold appeal as a veteran presence off the bench. Javonte Green or T.J. Warren also make some sense as bench options.

Trail Blazers

The Trail Blazers are almost certainly waiting on clarity from Damian Lillard‘s trade request before proceeding with their roster. The Blazers have 13 players signed to standard deals, though Moses Brown is guaranteed for only $250K, so it’s feasible they end up having to fill out more of their roster. It makes sense for Portland to maintain this flexibility, as they’d almost certainly have to take in more players than they send out in any deal involving Lillard.

If a Lillard trade doesn’t happen before the season, the Blazers could look to sign younger pieces who fit their timeline. Portland could also consider bringing back some players who had flashes over the past two seasons, such as Justise Winslow or Skylar Mays, the latter of whom impressed on a 10-day deal with the Blazers last year.

Warriors

The Warriors have two open standard roster spots and a pair of two-way openings. It’s no secret that Golden State is seeking size, and they were reportedly in on bringing JaVale McGee back before he signed with Sacramento.

Golden State invited a handful of players to work out last month, including now-Brooklyn Net Harry Giles. Juan Toscano-Anderson was a participant at that workout, and could provide depth in the power rotation. Bismack Biyombo is one option at center. The Warriors could opt to bring back JaMychal Green. Outside of that, converting Lester Quinones from his two-way deal is anotehr potential path for Golden State.

Community Shootaround: Nuggets’ Offseason

September 8th, 2023 at 9:17pm CST by Rory Maher

The Nuggets had a dominant playoff run in 2022/23, going 16-4 to claim their first NBA championship. Led by the brilliance of two-time MVP and reigning Finals MVP Nikola Jokic, who averaged a remarkable 30.0 points, 13.5 rebounds, 9.5 assists, 1.1 steals and 1.0 block on .548/.461/.799 shooting over 20 postseason games, Denver will look to defend its title in ’23/24.

A hallmark of the Nuggets’ success last season was strong team chemistry on both ends of the court, with role players sacrificing individual numbers for the betterment of the team. But Denver used an eight-man rotation during the playoffs, and two of those players — Bruce Brown and Jeff Green — joined new teams in free agency, signing with the Pacers and Rockets, respectively.

That’s why I was a little bit surprised to see an ESPN panel predict the Nuggets to be pretty heavy favorites to go back-to-back in ’23/24.

As the team’s sixth man, Brown played a major role for the Nuggets, with his two-way versatility coming through in key moments. The 27-year-old received far more money from Indiana than the Nuggets could have given him because they only had his Non-Bird rights, so it’s not like they did something wrong. He just got (handsomely) rewarded for his strong play.

Green was a key voice in the locker room and averaged 17.2 minutes per night in the playoffs, but he’s 37 years old and will carry a $9.6MM cap hit for the Rockets this season. That’s a pretty penny for someone at the tail end of their career. Again, understandable why he wasn’t retained, even if he will be missed.

The Nuggets didn’t re-sign veteran guard Ish Smith, who remains a free agent, while Thomas Bryant signed with the Heat. And unfortunately, forward Vlatko Cancar tore his ACL playing for Slovenia at the World Cup, so he’s likely out for the season.

Still, the incredibly effective starting lineup of Jokic, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Michael Porter Jr. remains intact. The Nuggets will also have youngsters Christian Braun, Peyton Watson and Zeke Nnaji back, assuming the roster stays as is. Braun, who was a rookie last season, was the eighth man in the playoff rotation, and will almost certainly have a bigger role in ’23/24.

Denver opted to re-sign veterans Reggie Jackson (two years, $10.25MM) and DeAndre Jordan (one year, veteran’s minimum) to guaranteed contracts. I didn’t love the fact that the Nuggets used their taxpayer mid-level exception on Jackson, but apparently they think he’s capable of more than he showed in ’22/23.

In other offseason moves, Denver signed veteran wing Justin Holiday, and drafted a trio of players — Julian Strawther, Jalen Pickett and Hunter Tyson — to round out the roster. Interestingly, while Strawther was the team’s lone first-round pick, both Pickett and Summer League standout Tyson have more guaranteed years (three) on their deals than the former Gonzaga wing does (two).

Denver’s offseason roster is full at the moment, with the aforementioned 15 players on guaranteed standard contracts, as well as three players on Exhibit 10 deals. All three two-way slots are filled (by Collin Gillespie, Jay Huff and Braxton Key).

With limited financial flexibility, the Nuggets chose to prioritize continuity, player development and experienced college players just as much as NBA veterans. Will it pay off with another championship? Time will tell.

What did you think of Denver’s offseason? Does the team have enough depth to win another title in ’23/24? Head to the comments to share your thoughts.

Poll: Which Teams Will Win World Cup Medals?

September 8th, 2023 at 2:47pm CST by Luke Adams

A pair of World Cup games on Sunday will determine which nations leave the Philippines with medals. The long-awaited U.S. vs. Canada showdown is finally on tap, but that game will be for the bronze medal, not the gold. It’ll be Germany vs. Serbia for the gold, with the loser claiming the silver.

Germany vs. Serbia

Bogdan Bogdanovic has been Serbia’s best player in the World Cup, while Dennis Schröder, Daniel Theis, and the Wagner brothers (Franz Wagner and Moritz Wagner) have led the way for Germany.

But both teams are getting important contributions from non-NBA players, including Olympiacos big man Nikola Milutinov (13.6 PPG, 9.0 RPG) for the Serbians and Bayern Munich guard Andreas Obst (10.9 PPG, .457 3PT%) for the Germans.

These are also two squads that have plenty of experience playing together in international competitions, and the chemistry they’ve built paid off in a big way in the semifinals, where they knocked off clubs that featured more NBA talent.

Germany is the only undefeated team in the World Cup and will benefit from the fact that the Serbians are missing superstar center Nikola Jokic. But Serbia only has one small blemish – a two-point upset loss to Italy – on its World Cup résumé and has otherwise looked dominant, winning six games by an average of 25.3 points per contest.

The oddsmakers expect a close one on Sunday, with Germany currently favored by a single point, per BetOnline.ag.

United States vs. Canada

Much has been made of Team USA’s lack of true star power – Canada’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the only All-NBA player on either roster in this matchup – but the club has had no problems putting the ball in the basket over the course of the World Cup, making an impressive 53.8% of its field goal attempts, including 40.4% of its three-pointers.

Defense and a lack of size has been the Achilles heel for the United States in this tournament. Despite the shorter (40-minute) FIBA games, the U.S. surrendered 110 points in its second-round loss to Lithuania, then 113 points in its semifinal loss to Germany.

Canada has the offensive firepower necessary to make the U.S. pay for a subpar defensive effort. Besides Gilgeous-Alexander, four other Canadians – RJ Barrett, Dillon Brooks, Kelly Olynyk, and Nickeil Alexander-Walker – are averaging double-digit points in the World Cup. And in Olynyk and Dwight Powell, Canada has a couple bigs capable of making life difficult for Team USA on the interior.

Still, the U.S. has a deeper, more talented roster overall than Canada, and more ways to win this game. The Americans are the frontrunners to win the bronze, with BetOnline.ag listing them as seven-point favorites on Sunday.

Poll: Who Will Win World Cup Semifinals?

September 7th, 2023 at 8:00am CST by Luke Adams

The race for 2023 World Cup gold is down to just four teams, and they’ll all be in action in Friday’s semifinals, battling for the right to play in the championship game.

With less than 24 hours to go until the first of those semifinals tips off, let’s take a closer look at the matchups…

Canada vs. Serbia

Canada has had no shortage of NBA talent over the last two decades, but has finally put it all together in a World Cup, reaching its first ever semifinal. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the main reason for the club’s success, leading the Canadians in categories across the board, including points (25.0), rebounds (7.2), assists (5.0), and steals (1.7) per game.

It hasn’t just been the SGA Show though. RJ Barrett (14.7 PPG) and Nickeil Alexander-Walker (10.0 PPG) been reliable secondary scoring options, Dillon Brooks and Luguentz Dort have played stifling defense, and Kelly Olynyk and Dwight Powell have allowed the Canadians to match up with bigger teams. Even without players like Jamal Murray, Andrew Wiggins, Trey Lyles, Shaedon Sharpe, and Cory Joseph, this is a very talented roster.

Serbia, meanwhile, is missing star center Nikola Jokic and point guard Vasilije Micic. In their absence though, Bogdan Bogdanovic has emerged as an effective leading man, averaging 18.8 points, 4.8 assists, 3.2 rebounds, and 2.2 steals per night.

Big man Nikola Milutinov, whose NBA draft rights are held by Brooklyn, has provided the Serbians with a consistent presence up front, averaging 13.2 PPG and 8.8 RPG. Current NBA players like Nikola Jovic (10.7 PPG) and Filip Petrusev (9.8 PPG) have chipped in too, as has former NBAer Marko Guduric (8.3 PPG, 3.8 APG).

Canada has more high-level NBA talent than Serbia and is currently listed as a 5.5-point favorite, per BetOnline.ag. But the Serbians have more experience playing together in international events, so this one could go either way.

United States vs. Germany

Even without its A Team, the United States is the heavy frontrunner to win the World Cup as the only squad in Manila made up entirely of NBA players. Team USA’s roster is deeper than any others at the World Cup, so head coach Steve Kerr has plenty of options if certain players are struggling.

Anthony Edwards (17.3 PPG) has been USA’s go-to scorer so far, but he had just three of the team’s 100 points in a blowout quarterfinal win over Italy, with Mikal Bridges, Tyrese Haliburton, Austin Reaves, Jalen Brunson, Brandon Ingram, and Paolo Banchero providing the necessary offense. While a total of nine Team USA players have averaged at least 16 minutes per night so far, none have played more than 23 MPG, as Kerr has taken advantage of the depth available to him.

Still, the U.S. isn’t unbeatable. The club lost to Lithuania in the second round of the World Cup and only narrowly defeated Germany in an exhibition game prior to the tournament.

The Germans are the only undefeated squad left at the World Cup, having been led by NBA players Dennis Schröder (18.0 PPG, 6.3 APG), Moritz Wagner (12.8 PPG, 5.7 RPG), and Daniel Theis (10.7 PPG, 5.3 RPG). Franz Wagner also made his return from an ankle injury in Wednesday’s quarterfinal and will be a key factor in Friday’s semifinal.

Like the U.S., Germany showed on Wednesday that it can win even when its top scorer has an off night. Schröder was just 4-of-26 from the field, but the Germans pulled out a two-point victory over a tough Latvian team.

Only Two Of Our Top 50 Free Agents Remain Unsigned

September 6th, 2023 at 10:03pm CST by Rory Maher

After big man Christian Wood officially signed with the Lakers on Wednesday, only two players on our list of 2023’s top 50 free agents remain unsigned: Kelly Oubre and Hamidou Diallo.

The 15th pick of the 2015 draft, Oubre has earned at least $12MM in each of the past four seasons. He averaged a career-high 20.3 points in 48 appearances with the Hornets last season while snatching 5.2 rebounds and 1.4 steals per game.

Oubre certainly has positive traits, with prototypical size for a guard/forward (6’7″ with a 7’2″ wingspan) and plus athleticism. However, he has struggled to score efficiently throughout his career, posting a subpar 53.4 true shooting percentage in 2022/23. He also averaged 17.1 shot attempts against 1.1 assists last season — an alarmingly poor ratio.

There haven’t been many rumors regarding potential suitors for Oubre, with the Cavaliers, Mavericks and Heat among the teams that have been mentioned, though all three can only make relatively modest financial offers.

There has been even less buzz for the No. 43 player on our list, former Pistons wing Diallo. Like Oubre, Diallo is a high-flying athlete who struggles at times with decision-making, and his role was cut back somewhat in 2022/23.

Diallo converted a career-high 57.3% from the field last season after basically abandoning the three-ball. He’s also a plus defender and rebounder who plays with a lot of energy, but his game is certainly unconventional for a wing.

Detroit renounced the 25-year-old’s cap hold to operate below the cap and use room, so a reunion is unlikely. It might be difficult for Diallo to match the $5.2MM he made each of the past two seasons at this point, given how much money has been spent and how few roster spots are available around the league.

Jaylen Nowell (Wolves), Kendrick Nunn (Wizards), Terence Davis (Kings) and Javonte Green (Bulls) are among the other free agents we considered for our top-50 list who remain unsigned.

Salary-Matching Rules For Trades During 2023/24 Season

September 5th, 2023 at 8:00am CST by Luke Adams

The NBA’s latest Collective Bargaining Agreement includes new rules governing the amount of salary a team can take back in a trade. However, those new rules won’t take full effect until after the 2023/24 season.

For now – and until the 2024 trade deadline – there are transitional rules in place. The salary-matching rules in effect this season aren’t quite the same as the ones in the previous CBA, but they also look a little different than the ones that will apply in 2024/25 and beyond.

Here are the salary-matching restrictions for teams between now and the 2024 trade deadline:

Teams whose salaries are below the first tax apron ($172,346,000) can take back the following amounts:

200% of the outgoing salary (plus $250K), for any amount up to $7,500,000.
The outgoing salary plus $7.5MM, for any amount between $7,500,001 and $29,000,000.
125% of the outgoing salary (plus $250K), for any amount above $29,000,000.

These rules are more lenient than the salary-matching guidelines for non-taxpayers under the previous CBA. The cutoff point is more lenient too — instead of applying to a team whose salary is above the luxury tax line after the trade, these rules apply to a team whose salary is below the first apron, even if that team’s salary is over the tax line ($165,294,000).

Here are a couple examples of how these salary-matching rules work: Let’s say the Thunder want to trade Tre Mann, whose 2023/24 salary is $3,191,400. They’d be able to take back up to $6,632,800 in exchange for Mann (200% of his salary, plus $250K). If Oklahoma City wanted to trade Victor Oladipo, whose cap hit is $9,450,000, they’d be able to take back up to $16,950,000 (his salary, plus $7.5MM).

The Cavaliers are among the teams that have taken advantage of these new rules so far this offseason. They sent out Cedi Osman ($6,718,842) and Lamar Stevens ($400K partial guarantee) in their sign-and-trade for Max Strus. The Cavs were able to take back 200% of that outgoing salary, plus $250K, which worked out to $14,487,684. Not coincidentally, that’s the first-year salary on Strus’ new contract.

These rules are a permanent part of the new CBA and will continue to apply to teams whose salaries are below both tax aprons in 2024/25 and beyond.

Teams whose salaries are above the first tax apron ($172,346,000) can take back the following amount:

110% of the outgoing salary, for any amount.

For the 2023/24 season only, teams above either apron are permitted to take back up to 110% of their outgoing salary in a trade.

For example, if the Suns want to trade Deandre Ayton at the 2024 deadline, they could take back $35,705,382. That amount is 110% of Ayton’s $32,459,438 salary.

It’s worth noting that a team below both tax aprons which takes back more than 110% of its outgoing salary in a trade prior to the 2024 trade deadline will effectively hard-cap itself at the first tax apron during the 2023/24 season. The Thunder took this route when they acquired more than 110% of Patty Mills‘ salary in a trade with Atlanta, so they’re prohibited from having their team salary exceed the first tax apron this season.

Beginning in the 2024 offseason, the salary-matching rules for teams above either tax apron will become far more restrictive. A team whose salary is above the first apron and below the second apron won’t be able to take back more salary than it sends out in a trade. For instance, a team trading a player with a $10MM salary wouldn’t be able to take back a player earning $10.1MM.

Teams above the second tax apron in 2024/25 and beyond, meanwhile, will face the same restriction when trading a single player, unable to take back more salary than they send out. They’ll also be prohibited from aggregating two or more players in a trade, even if those two players have a higher total outgoing salary than the player(s) the team would be acquiring.

Teams above the second apron also won’t be permitted to send out cash in trades beginning in the 2024 offseason, but can still do so up until the 2024 deadline.

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Hoops Rumors Originals

Community Shootaround: Magic Backcourt

September 4th, 2023 at 6:00pm CST by Dana Gauruder

Rookie of the Year award winner Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner could be one of the league’s top forward combinations for years to come. Wendell Carter Jrr. has a stranglehold on the starting center job.

The mystery for the Magic is how their backcourt will shake out. They’re loaded with high draft picks at the guard positions and coach Jamahl Mosley will have some tough decisions regarding his rotation, particularly at the point.

Markelle Fultz is the favorite to be the starter at the point. He appeared in 60 regular season games last season and started them all, averaging 14.0 points and 5.7 assists per night.

Cole Anthony saw extensive playing time, mostly off the bench. He averaged 13.0 points and 3.9 assists in 60 games during his third NBA season.

The Magic invested the sixth pick in a loaded draft on Arkansas’ Anthony Black. The one-and-done college player averaged 12.8 points and 3.9 assists — along with 2.1 steals — for the Razorbacks last season. It stands to reason that Black will get some immediate playing time, given his draft status.

Then there’s Jalen Suggs, the No. 5 pick of the 2021 draft. Suggs had a stellar college career at Gonzaga but his first two NBA seasons haven’t been memorable. He’s been nagged by injuries, though he still started 19 of the 53 games he played last season. Suggs averaged 9.9 PPG and 2.9 APG and will be entering a pivotal season in his NBA career. He’ll come to training camp with plenty to prove and perhaps a chip on his shoulder.

Orlando also invested a lottery pick this summer on Jett Howard. He played one season at Michigan for his father, Juwan Howard, and ran the point for the Wolverines. He averaged 14.2 points in his lone college campaign.

Gary Harris remains the likely starter at shooting guard but it’s not a given. Harris has been a steady, if unspectacular, performer during his NBA career. He started 42 of 48 games last season but only averaged 8.3 points.

Another Michigan product, Caleb Houstan, could be a bigger factor in his second NBA season. Houstan was a high second-round pick in 2022 and made 51 appearances off the bench.

Veteran Joe Ingles, a free agent acquisition, is likely to back up at the forward spots but he could play some minutes at the off-guard spot.

A couple of natural point guards could share the court, but it’s quite a puzzle for Mosley.

That brings us to our topic of the day: How do you think the Magic’s backcourt will shake out? Who will start and who will be the main reserves?

Please take to the comments section to weigh in on this topic. We look forward to your input.

Only One Team Has Used Its Entire Non-Taxpayer MLE In 2023/24

September 4th, 2023 at 4:01pm CST by Rory Maher

There are three forms of the mid-level exception: the room exception, the full/non-taxpayer MLE, and the taxpayer MLE. All three have different values and can be used to sign players to contracts of different lengths.

Our focus today is specifically on the non-taxpayer version of the mid-level exception, which is a bit of a misnomer. Though its name suggests otherwise, using the non-taxpayer MLE doesn’t mean a team can’t or won’t be above the tax line ($165,294,000) at seasons end; it simply means the team’s total salary can’t surpass the first tax “apron” ($172,346,000).

As our Luke Adams previously detailed, the non-taxpayer MLE is the primary tool for over-the-cap teams to sign free agents. It runs for up to four years with 5% annual raises and a starting salary worth up to $12,405,000.

Interestingly, while many teams have used a portion of the non-taxpayer MLE, only the Raptors have gone through the entire $12,405,000 this summer — they used it to sign veteran guard Dennis Schröder to a two-year deal in free agency. Schröder is currently competing at the 2023 World Cup, leading Germany to an unblemished 5-0 record and a berth in the quarterfinals.

The Knicks (Donte DiVincenzo), Lakers (Gabe Vincent), Timberwolves (Shake Milton and Nickeil Alexander-Walker) and Cavaliers (Georges Niang) have all used a major portion of the MLE. They’re all unlikely to use the remaining amount they control due to the relatively modest amounts they have available, as well as their luxury tax situations.

The same is true of the Bulls, who are right at the tax line and used $6.2MM of their MLE to sign Jevon Carter. The Pelicans only used $1.8MM of their MLE (on E.J. Liddell), but they’re projected to be over the tax at the moment, so they’re unlikely to use more of the MLE unless they make a major salary-shedding trade.

The Mavericks (Dante Exum and Seth Curry) have used $7MM of their MLE, and they technically have enough breathing room below the tax to use more of it. However, their roster is nearly full, so it’s unclear if they actually will.

The Hawks, Nets, Hornets, Grizzlies, Trail Blazers and Wizards haven’t used any of their non-taxpayer MLEs. Some are more likely to use it than others, but it’s technically still available.

Community Shootaround: Team USA

September 3rd, 2023 at 7:14pm CST by Dana Gauruder

Team USA appeared to be cruising along in the FIBA World Cup. Then came Lithuania.

A 110-104 loss on Sunday didn’t knock Team USA out of the tournament but it made the favorites look quite vulnerable. Team USA’s athleticism couldn’t overcome Lithuania’s size and power. The U.S. was outrebounded by 16 and got outscored 17-2 on second-chance points.

A slow start — which has been characteristic of this group — was another issue. Team USA trailed 31-12 after the first quarter and never recovered.

As the final score would indicate, Team USA’s defense was shredded by the star-less Lithuanians. While Lithuania has some familiar faces, including Jonas Valanciunas and Ignas Brazdeikis, it was alarming to see the United States team allow 52.8% shooting overall and 56% on threes. Lithuania had nine players score at least nine points.

The biggest concern coming into the tournament for Team USA was a general lack of size. Jaren Jackson Jr., who has spent most of his NBA career as a power forward, has been starting at center. He quickly got into foul trouble on Sunday and coach Steve Kerr had even smaller options when he went to his bench. The only true center on the roster, Walker Kessler, played six minutes.

Even so, with the likes of Anthony Edwards, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Austin Reaves and Tyrese Haliburton, you’d expect Team USA to overcome its size issues.

There’s no more margin for error with the quarterfinals against Italy looming on Tuesday. If Team USA advances, it would face Germany or Latvia in the semifinals.

On the other side of the bracket, the quarterfinal matches include Lithuania vs. Serbia and Canada vs. Slovenia.

That leads us to today’s topic: Do you feel Team USA will prevail in the World Cup despite Sunday’s loss? If not, which team is your pick to win it?

Please take to the comments section to weigh in on this topic. We look forward to your input.

Hoops Rumors Glossary: Poison Pill Provision

September 3rd, 2023 at 12:00pm CST by Luke Adams

The poison pill provision isn’t technically a term defined in the NBA’s Collective Bargaining Agreement. However, the concept of a “poison pill” has colloquially come to refer to a pair of NBA concepts.

The first of those concepts relates to the Gilbert Arenas Provision, which we’ve explained in a separate glossary entry. When a team uses the Arenas provision to sign a restricted free agent with one or two years of NBA experience to an offer sheet, that team can include a massive third-year raise that’s often referred to as a “poison pill,” since it makes it more difficult for the original team to match the offer.

The second meaning of the “poison poll” is the one that has become more common – and more frequently relevant – in recent years. It relates to players who have recently signed rookie scale extensions.

The “poison pill provision” applies when a team extends a player’s rookie scale contract, then trades him before the extension officially takes effect. It’s a rare situation, but it features its own set of rules, since extensions following rookie contracts often create a large gap between a player’s current and future salaries.

For salary-matching purposes, if a player is traded between the time his rookie contract is extended and the following July 1 (when that extension takes effect), the player’s incoming value for the receiving team is the average of his current-year salary and the annual salary in each year of his extension.

His current team, on the other hand, simply treats his current-year salary as the outgoing figure for matching purposes.

Let’s use Knicks guard Immanuel Quickley as an example. Quickley is an extension candidate and could also be a trade candidate if the right opportunity arises for New York. He’s set to earn $4,171,548 in 2023/24, the final year of his rookie scale contract.

Any extension Quickley signs before the season begins would be significantly more lucrative than his current-year salary. To illustrate our point, let’s assume he and the Knicks agree to a four-year, $110MM rookie scale extension that would begin in ’24/25.

If the Knicks decide after signing Quickley to that extension that they want to trade him, the poison pill provision would complicate their efforts.

From New York’s perspective, Quickley’s current-year cap hit ($4,171,548) would represent his outgoing salary for matching purposes. However, any team acquiring Quickley would have to view his incoming value as $22,834,310 — that’s the annual average of the five years and $114,171,548 he has left when accounting for both his current contract and his (hypothetical) new extension.

As we explain in our glossary entry on the traded player exception, NBA rules dictate that over-the-cap teams must send and receive approximately the same amount of salary in any trade. So applying the poison pill provision to a player like Quickley and creating a difference of nearly $19MM between how two trade partners account for him would make salary-matching far more difficult than usual.

The poison pill provision is one key reason why the Knicks are unlikely to extend Quickley unless they’re fairly certain they won’t use him in a blockbuster deal before the 2024 trade deadline. Without an extension in place, his current-year salary of $4,171,548 would be both his outgoing and incoming cap hit for matching purposes.

Of course, extending Quickley now would make him easier to trade in the 2024 offseason than if he were a restricted free agent. For instance, signing Tyler Herro to a rookie scale extension prior to the 2022/23 season made it extremely difficult for the Heat to trade him during the season, but makes him a prime candidate to be included in a Damian Lillard trade now — that may not have been the case if Miami had let him reach restricted free agency.

Trades involving a player who recently signed a rookie scale extension are already pretty infrequent. After all, those players are generally young, and a player who signed an extension is promising enough to have warranted a long-term investment. Those aren’t players that teams often trade. The poison poll provision further disincentivizes a deal involving one of those recently extended players by complicating salary-matching rules, making those trades that much more rare.

Note: This is a Hoops Rumors Glossary entry. Our glossary posts will explain specific rules relating to trades, free agency, or other aspects of the NBA’s Collective Bargaining Agreement. Larry Coon’s Salary Cap FAQ was used in the creation of this post.

Earlier versions of this post were published in previous years.

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