Hoops Rumors Originals

Fantasy Hoops: Lowry, Miles, Rivers

We’ve hit the third quarter of the NBA season and Hoops Rumors is examining the fantasy basketball landscape in order to help you dominate the competition. Check back weekly for more fantasy basketball analysis.


Overlooked Across The Border

With the level of great point guard play this season, it’s easy to overlook Kyle Lowry‘s impressive game. He got off to a slow start and it appeared that it was finally time for DeMar DeRozan to take sole reign of the Raptors franchise. However, with half a season worth of data, it’s clear that Lowry is still the team’s most important player.

Toronto has a -3.9 net rating when Lowry sits and a 9.9 net rating when he’s on the court, per NBA.com. The team actually has a worse net rating with DeRozan on the floor than it does with him off of it, though both ratings are still positive. Lowry ranks 7th in the league in total points added (TPA), a metric provided by NBAMath.com that examines a player’s effectiveness on both sides of the ball on a per-possession basis. On offense, he has the third-best TPA, behind only James Harden and Russell Westbrook, while DeRozan sits at a respectable, but less impressive, 29th-best.

Lowry’s slow start likely contributes to NBA fans overlooking his exceptional season. He was merely above-average for the first few weeks of the season, but since Thanksgiving, he’s done the following:

  • Hit 47.5% of his three-pointers, which is the best mark in the league among guards seeing at least 28 minutes per game.
  • Made 51.9% of his shots overall, a figure which is tops among guards not named Giannis Antetokounmpo (putting him here as a guard for now).
  • Rank in the top-10 among guards in points, assists and steals per game.
  • Rank inside the top-10 in rebounds per game among point guards.
  • Made more three-pointers per game than any player in the league with the exception being Eric Gordon.

As I wrote last week, savvy fantasy basketball players should always look for an undervalued/overvalued player because there lies an opportunity to improve your squad. Lowry is having a phenomenal season. He’s playing like a top-12 fantasy player overall and the only guards I wouldn’t trade for him are Stephen Curry, Westbrook, Antetokounmpo, and Harden.

If you can trade any of the following for Lowry, you should pull the trigger: Thomas, John Wall, Damian Lillard, Jimmy Butler, Paul George, Draymond Green or Kyrie Irving (a player who now starts for the Eastern Conference All-Stars despite averaging fewer assists, rebounds, and steals per game than Lowry and having a lower field goal percentage, three-point percentage, Player Efficiency Rating, Win Share and Assist Ratio than Lowry does. However, we’re not here to talk about an exhibition game).

The 30-year-old point guard will be a free agent after the season and he is setting himself up for a massive payday. Enjoy his production if you have him on your fantasy team and target him in trades if you don’t.

Here’s more fantasy analysis and notes from around the league:

  • C.J. Miles is a player worth monitoring. He replaced Glenn Robinson in the starting lineup on Monday, and should be in line for a larger role after Monta Ellis, someone who shouldn’t be rostered in re-draft leagues, sprained his right ankle. Miles could provide nice production for a team that ranks in the top 10 in pace.
  • Austin Rivers is taking advantage of Chris Paul‘s absence. He’s averaging 21.0 points per game while shooting 51.1% from the field over his last three contests.
  • Looking for a point guard in daily fantasy? Target players going against the Pistons, Nuggets and Nets. Each of those team have given up at least 27.1 points and 7.6 assists per game to opposing point guards over their last 10 games.

Fantasy questions? Take to the comment section below or tweet me at @CW_Crouse.

Community Shootaround: Orlando Magic

The Magic would like to turn the season around and make the playoffs and GM Rob Hennigan said the team would look to be aggressive in its attempts to improve. Hennigan said the front office was disappointed by the team’s play on the defensive end and added that he wouldn’t rule out trading anyone on the roster.

So that leads us to tonight’s topic: How would you fix the Magic if you were sitting in Rob Hennigan’s chair? What moves would you make to improve the team?

Orlando’s defense ranks in the middle of the pack, giving up 105 points per game. That’s an area which could use some help, but it’s the offense that’s in dire need of reinforcements. The Magic are scoring just 99.9 points per game, which is the sixth-worst mark in the league. They have the third-worst shooting percentage from behind the arc and they have the sixth-worst shooting percentage overall. Evan Fournier being sidelined certainly hurts the team, but the problem goes beyond missing the shooting guard’s play-making ability.

The team fell to the Bulls tonight to bring its record to 18-29 on the season. Orlando is 5.5 games behind Chicago for the eighth seed in the conference. However, the team is also just 7.5 games ahead of the Nets for the worst record in the East. The Magic could rally and make a run at the eighth seed, but they could easily fall in the standings and end up with another high-end lottery pick.

Be the GM in tonight’s shootaround. Let us know what moves you would make to get the team into the playoffs in the comment section below. We look forward to what you have to say!

The Value Of Mo Williams’ Contract

It has been a bizarre few months for Mo Williams, who was expected to serve as the Cavaliers’ backup point guard behind Kyrie Irving this season. Before training camp got underway, however, Williams’ agent informed Cavs GM David Griffin that his client was retiring. The news came just five days after Williams himself had tweeted about playing the 2016/17 season.

Williams later underwent surgery on a troublesome knee injury, having received a third opinion after two doctors advised the veteran point guard that he didn’t require surgery. At the time of his procedure, Williams appeared to take a veiled shot at the Cavs, writing on Instagram that no one cared about his health except him. Months later, there has been no indication that Williams plans on coming out of retirement anytime soon — he’s no longer represented by an agent, according to Jake Fischer of Liberty Ballers (Twitter link).

A funny thing happened to Williams during his absence from the NBA though. Despite the fact that Williams hasn’t appeared in a single game and likely won’t return to the court this season, his contract has become a hot commodity. The Cavaliers traded it to the Hawks, who in turn sent it to the Nuggets. Denver waived Williams, but Philadelphia claimed him off waivers. The Sixers cut him immediately, only to see the Nuggets claim Williams again.

So what exactly is going on here? Let’s start with the motivation for the Cavs and Hawks to use Williams’ contract in trades…

Read more

Poll: Should The All-Star Voting Process Change?

The NBA unveiled a brand new voting platform for the 2016/17 All-Star Game, giving fans 50% of the vote while players and a media panel accounted for 25% each. This was regarded as a breath of fresh air in some respects, as fans previously held a unanimous vote for All-Star Game starters.

The process had its shortcomings, however. As the league’s player voting results reveal, several players appear to have used the opportunity to exclusively vote for their teammates. What’s more, over 100 players neglected to cast a ballot. Warriors coach Steve Kerr used his platform to sound off, chastising certain players for not taking their vote seriously.

“I am very disappointed in the players,” Kerr told Anthony Slater of The Bay Area News Group. “They asked for the vote and a lot of them just made a mockery of it…I saw the list. I saw all the guys who got votes. Were you allowed to vote for yourself? I don’t know. Were guys voting for themselves? There were 50 guys on there that had no business getting votes. But a lot of guys wrote in their buddies for the presidential campaign. So maybe that was their own way of making a statement. But I think if you give the players a vote, they should take it serious.”

While the league’s #NBAVote strategy was a success on social media, some work needs to be done in revitalizing the voting process. So what do you think: should the league continue fan voting in 2017/18? Give the media a higher percentage of the vote? Or do you have a different idea entirely?

Vote below, and share your ideas in the comments section!

Trade Rumors app users, click here to vote.

Community Shootaround: Bargain Trade Targets

Nikola Mirotic‘s career-worst three-point percentage (.311) is “troubling,” but even with an inconsistent long-range shot, the Bulls big man has been about a league-average player this year, writes Kevin Pelton of ESPN.com (Insider-only link). In Pelton’s view, that makes Mirotic an intriguing trade candidate — if shots start to fall for the former first-round pick, he’d be a bargain at his current salary, making him a potential buy-low target for teams scouring the trade market.

Within his latest piece for ESPN.com, Pelton identifies a few more possible bargain trade targets in addition to Mirotic. Kenneth Faried, Jared Dudley, Tim Frazier, Richaun Holmes, and Tyus Jones also make the cut. In most cases, these players are on teams that have more than enough depth at their respective positions, which could make them expendable, or at least make them available at a modest price.

With the 2017 trade deadline just a month away and many contending teams looking to upgrade their rosters without shaking things up too significantly, the idea of buying low on a solid rotation player will be very appealing to those clubs.

Today’s discussion question, then, is this: Which players around the NBA do you think buyers should target as a potential buy-low trade candidates? Are any of Pelton’s suggestions particularly appealing, in your opinion, or are there other players flying under the radar that would be affordable and would benefit from a change of scenery?

Jump into the comments section below to weigh in with your thoughts!

2016/17 NBA Reverse Standings

Throughout the 2016/17 NBA season, Hoops Rumors will be maintaining a feature that allows you to keep an eye on how the 2017 draft order will look. Our 2016/17 Reverse Standings tool, which lists the NBA’s 30 teams from worst to first, will be updated daily to reflect the previous night’s outcomes.

Our Reverse Standings take into account playoff teams in each conference, so they’re essentially a reflection of what 2017’s draft order would look like with no changes to lottery position. In addition to not considering the results of the lottery, our tracker lists teams in random order when they have identical records. At the end of the year, those ties would be broken via random drawings.

Traded picks – and conditionally traded picks – are included via footnotes. For instance, the note next to the Kings‘ pick says that Sacramento will send its pick to the Bulls if it’s not in the top 10. If the Kings’ pick is in the top 10, the 76ers would have the right to swap selections, so that footnote is included next to the Sixers’ pick as well. As of today, the 16-27 Kings have the league’s eighth-worst record, which means they’d keep their own selection, though they’re neck-and-neck with the 15-27 Sixers.

Our Reverse Standings tracker can be found at anytime on our right sidebar under “Hoops Rumors Features.” It’s a great resource not just for monitoring a team’s draft position, but also for keeping an eye on whether or not traded picks with protection will be changing hands in 2017. So be sure to check back often!

Community Shootaround: No. 8 Seed In The West

Seven teams appear set for the Western Conference playoffs. As long as none of them self-destructs, the Warriors, Spurs, Rockets, Clippers, Jazz, Grizzlies and Thunder will be fighting for playoff seeding between now and April.

But below them, there is a fascinating race shaping up for the eighth seed. Denver holds the spot right now with a 17-24 record coming into tonight, one game ahead of Portland. But eight teams are bundled within 4 1/2 games of one other, setting up a battle that could make every Western Conference game significant over the season’s final three months. It could also affect the moves that teams try to make between now and the February 23rd trade deadline.

Let’s look at the contenders:

  • Nuggets (17-24) — Denver has plenty of cap room available if it decides to make a serious run at the playoffs. The Nuggets have accepted that pairing big men Nikola Jokic and Jusuf Nurkic didn’t work and are actively seeking to trade Nurkic. Denver has the potential to shake up its roster more than any other team on this list.
  • Trail Blazers (18-27) — Portland has been a disappointment after grabbing the fifth seed last season, but has remained in the race because other teams are struggling as well. Defense is the main issue for the Blazers, who need to find a rim protector to make a serious playoff run.
  • Pelicans (17-27) –New Orleans was short-handed in the early part of the season, with Tyreke Evans injured and Jrue Holiday taking a leave of absence to care for his ailing wife. Dwight Howard trade talks have apparently fallen through, but don’t be surprised if the Pelicans try to land another big-name star to team with Anthony Davis.
  • Kings (16-26) — Rudy Gay‘s Achilles tendon tear may have been the death knell for Sacramento’s playoff hopes. The Kings, who have dropped four straight games and eight of their last 10, will be without their second-leading scorer and rebounder for the rest of the season.
  • Timberwolves (15-28) — Trade rumors involving the Pistons may be dead, but Minnesota is trying to find a taker for Ricky Rubio before the deadline. The Wolves are expected to make a long-term commitment to their young core of Karl-Anthony Towns, Andrew Wiggins and Zach LaVine, but may try to acquire veteran help for a playoff push.
  • Lakers (16-31) — L.A. has fallen on hard times after a promising 10-10 start. The organization must decide whether an effort to make the playoffs is worth it, considering that its first-round picks goes to Philadelphia if it falls outside of the top three.
  • Mavericks (14-29) — Even after a disastrous start, owner Mark Cuban vowed that his team would not consider tanking. With plenty of veteran talent on the roster, Dallas is both a threat to make the playoffs and an attractive trading partner at the deadline.
  • Suns (13-29) — Phoenix would reportedly like to move both P.J. Tucker and Brandon Knight. The Suns have a roster full of younger players who will probably get increased playing time over the second half of the season.

Who is your pick to be the eighth playoff team in the West? Please share your thoughts in the comments section below. We look forward to what you have to say.

Hoops Rumors Retro: Dikembe Mutombo to the Sixers

The mandate at Hoops Rumors is to consolidate news from throughout the professional basketball world, but nobody ever specified from which decade. Join us as Austin Kent, a grown man with a binder of 1996/97 NBA trading cards beside his desk, cannonballs down the rabbit hole of nostalgia to give significant trades of yesteryear the modern media treatment.

This isn’t the first time a sassy, seven-foot pillar of physical wonder from Africa has arrived in Philadelphia and immediately upgraded the status of the Sixers’ organization, but while Dikembe Mutombo may not publicly hound Rhianna with the same vigor that Joel Embiid does1, his brief tenure in Pennsylvania does deserve its own small subsection in the Philly basketball history books.

In February of 2001, Allen Iverson’s Sixers were barreling toward the Eastern Conference Championship at a 41-14 clip. Their biggest problem, however – a gigantic Shaquille O’Neal-shaped problem – remained unsolved.

Could the Larry Brown-led ensemble of ragtag supporting cast members in Philadelphia really give the league’s leading scorer and ultimate MVP enough help to actually compete with the Lakers in their bid for a second-straight title? Would it make a difference if you piled George Lynch, Aaron McKie and Tyrone Hill on top of one another, veiled them in a gigantic trench coat and threw them in the low post to defend 28-year-old O’Neal at the height of his prime?

The answer to both is ‘Probably not, but actually, well… I don’t know, maybe’.

Regardless, fate had other plans, and on that February 22, 2001 trade deadline, it commandeered the mind and body of Billy King and made the decision to go big or go home2.

Perhaps it was the untimely wrist injury to 27-year-old defensive anchor Theo Ratliff that compelled Philly to pull the trigger on the deal that would land them a 34-year-old, three-time Defensive Player of the Year. Perhaps it was just growing trepidation that what they had wouldn’t be enough to keep up with the Lakers. Maybe they just couldn’t find a trench coat long enough to cover three professional basketball players without anybody noticing.

What we do know is that the Sixers didn’t want – and possibly couldn’t afford – to take any chances. Not with Ratliff sidelined and question marks surrounding his long-term health. Not with Iverson somehow single-handedly dragging fellow starters Lynch, McKie, and point guard Eric Snow to relevance for the first and only times in their respective careers3.

Alas, with pressure to keep their arguably unsustainable momentum rolling, the Sixers dealt Ratliff, along with Toni Kukoc, Nazr Mohammed and Pepe Sanchez, to Atlanta in exchange for Mutombo and Roshown McLeod.

In Mutombo, the Sixers gained a generational defensive stalwart, somebody with the gravitas to convince Iverson that they were committed to building a winner around him. The best part is that it worked. Sort of. The acquisition helped Philadelphia stave off the best that the Eastern Conference could throw at them, something that even the staunchest critics of the deal would have to agree wasn’t guaranteed.

“My sense is we might not have been able to hold on without Theo,” head coach Brown would tell the Associated Press several weeks after the team completed the trade. “I didn’t expect him to be back and contributing until the playoffs.”

Mutombo averaged 11.7 points and 12.4 rebounds per game for the Sixers over the course of the subsequent 26 regular season contests – and while his 2.5 blocks paled in comparison to the 3.7 bar Ratliff had set in the season’s first 50 games – there was finally an established star on the roster to help shoulder some of the pressure otherwise carried by Iverson alone.

In 23 playoff games that year, Mutombo ramped up his averages to 13.9 points, 13.7 rebounds and 3.1 blocks per game, but not even that would be enough. Though Mutombo would respectably claim his fourth Defensive Player of the Year award during that postseason run, the team still couldn’t find a way to slow the 300-plus-pound O’Neal when they eventually encountered him.

En route to his second consecutive Finals MVP, O’Neal overpowered anything Philadelphia decided to throw his way, averaging 33.0 points and 15.8 rebounds per game in the eventual five-game series. Seeing as both O’Neal and Mutombo have since been enshrined in the Hall of Fame, that’s more of a compliment to the former than it is a knock on he latter, but it is kind of both.

Simply put, the peek of the Iverson Era Sixers happend to overlap with O’Neal’s physical prime. That’s not Mutombo’s fault, it’s not Iverson’s fault – it’s not even King’s fault. Just because doubling down on the present didn’t work, doesn’t mean it wasn’t still the best course of action.4

Sure, one need not look far to find Sixers fans griping about King’s decision making while an executive with the organization, but while I won’t defend the fact that Ratliff and Mutombo were literally the only players to be named to an All-Star Game alongside AI during his entire Philadelphia tenure, the deal that yielded Mutombo can’t be judged too harshly.

Hindsight reveals that the blockbuster deal didn’t deliver the result that Sixers fans wanted at the time – and, granted, it may have hamstringed them down the road – but hindsight also tells us that Ratliff was never quite the same player after the deal as he was before. In fact, when you consider that Mutombo was promptly unloaded to the Nets when the Sixers started trending downward the following season5, all hindsight really tells us is that Shaquille O’Neal was a destroyer of worlds who feasted on the souls of any who dared to oppose him, striking fear in the hearts of Eastern Conference executives whose only conceivable response was to desperately acquire Dikembe Mutombo and hope for the best.

This is nothing that we couldn’t have guessed at the time.

In that spring of 2001, the Hawks were in no position to contend in the Eastern Conference and Mutombo was a pending free agent, anyway. For Atlanta, the move was a no-brainer. In reality, the decision to move their cornerstone effectively served as a symbolic end to the era in which he and Steve Smith combined to position the team as fringe contenders year-in and year-out6.

As a result, the Hawks team that Ratliff would join was a dismal one led by a 23-year-old Jason Terry and, although it would eventually feature an impressive-sounding frontcourt of Ratliff, Shareef Abdur-Rahim and Glenn Robinson two seasons later, nothing would ever come of it. The Hawks franchise wouldn’t win more than 35 games until Joe Johnson and Josh Smith led them to the postseason in 20087.

With little incentive to rush back, Ratliff didn’t return from his wrist injury during that 2000-01 campaign, suggesting that Brown’s concern over Ratliff’s health was eerily well-placed. The next season, his first full one in Atlanta, a hip injury sidelined the big man for all but three games and he would never go on to average more than 8.7 points again for the remaining 10 years of his career8.

More impactful during his stint with the Hawks was Toni Kukoc. Despite that or perhaps because he joined a team whose only real offensive weapon was a diminutive second-year guard named Jet, Kukoc came alive in Atlanta, showcasing his versatility and the potential to lead an offense that he had occasionally shown flashes of with the historic Bulls several years prior.

In 17 games with his new team, an admittedly bitter Kukoc averaged 19.7 points, 5.7 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game – not bad for a 32-year-old after two underwhelming half seasons in Philadelphia. He didn’t quite match those numbers the following year as the Hawks wisely set about rebuilding and brought in Georgia native Abdur-Rahim to be their focal point, but it was an entertaining taste of what the international star could have been producing all along had he originally landed in a different situation than with Michael Jordan, Phil Jackson and the Bulls.

Of course history won’t remember Kukoc’s brief dalliance with greatness during his 14 starts as a Hawk back in 2001 or Ratliff’s admirable attempts to re-establish himself as a defensive anchor in the early aughts. It won’t even remember that King and the Sixers quickly cut their losses and got at least something out of Mutombo before the sun finally set on Iverson’s time with the franchise in 2006.

No, all history will remember about this trade is the beloved, larger than life, physical powerhouse that arrived in Philadelphia one day, a highly acclaimed fan favorite charged with the unenviable task of leading the Sixers to the next level.

Sound familiar?

At least this time around Shaquille O’Neal isn’t here to ruin this outcome.


Footnotes:

  1. But just imagine if he did…
  2. I have no such logical explanation for other Billy King decisions.
  3. Don’t think I’ve forgotten about your ’95 All-Star nod, T-Hill.
  4. For all we know King could have stood pat at the deadline only to watch the Sixers slide out of pole position in the East, ultimately get dumped in the first-round by a healthier team, exacerbating the rift between Iverson and the team brass, eventually catalyzing their star’s exit from Philadelphia. Way to go, Hypothetical Billy King.
  5. New Jersey’s hasty reaction to their own merciless beat-down at the hands of the Lakers in 2002.
  6. Underrated Fun Fact #567: Pearl Jam briefly operated under the band name Mookie Blaylock.
  7. The 2007 Hawks have a standing reservation on my Maybe Not Necessarily Dominate, But Definitely Awesome Top Ten List.
  8. Although in 2003-04, he would go on to play in 85 games. A product of another mid-season deal, this time to the Trail Blazers.

Hoops Rumors Retro is a weekly feature. Be sure to follow and get at Austin Kent (@AustinKent) with suggestions for future pieces.

Jan. 14, 2017 – Penny Hardaway to the Suns.
Jan. 7, 2017 – Gary Payton to the Bucks.

Hoops Rumors Originals: 1/14/7 – 1/21/17

In addition to aggregating the the biggest headlines in basketball, the Hoops Rumors staff was busy pumping out their share of original content this week. Here’s a look back at was published this week.10

Submit Your Questions For This Weekend’s Mailbag

We at Hoops Rumors love interacting with our readers. This is why we provide an opportunity for you to hit us up with your questions in our mailbag feature, which is posted on Sundays.

Have a question regarding trades, free agent rumors, the salary cap, the NBA draft, or the top storylines of the week? You can email them here: hoopsrumorsmailbag@gmail.com. Feel free to send emails throughout the week, but please be mindful that we may receive a sizable number of questions and likely won’t get to all of them.

If you missed out on any past mailbags and would like to catch up, you can view the full archives here.