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Community Shootaround: Kings’ Outlook

If the Kings weren’t considered to be a playoff contender at full strength, they certainly aren’t without Rudy Gay. After averaging 18.7 points on 45.5% shooting in 30 games, Gay tore his left Achilles’ tendon against the Pacers on Wednesday; a season-ending injury.

Gay has vowed on Twitter to come back “stronger than ever,” but the Kings will still face a myriad of issues in 2016/17. Now 11th place in the Western Conference, the Kings sit at 16-26 following a lopsided loss to the Grizzlies. What’s more, the Kings’ roster is full of veterans preventing rookies Malachi RichardsonGeorgios Papagiannis, and Skal Labissiere from receiving court time. Willie Cauley-Stein recently voiced grievances on the lack of opportunity in his sophomore season.

“I feel I was showing stuff at the end of last season that would make people say, ‘Oh, damn, they got a steal in the draft,'” Cauley-Stein told Ailene Voisin of the Sacramento Bee. “Now it’s like I took 25 steps forward and 30 steps back. It’s like my whole rookie season didn’t matter and I’m back at square one. Nothing I did last year is having an effect on my career. It’s been very frustrating.”

The team appears unlikely to trade DeMarcus Cousins, but they have several assets who could help another team’s playoff run. With a lack of direction for the 2016/17 season, several on-and-off the court controversies, and no clear path to minutes for younger players, we want to know…

Should the Kings trade off assets and start a complete rebuild? Is there any hope in salvaging the season to grab a No. 7 or 8 seed? Will Gay – who has a player option for the 2017/18 season – opt to remain in Sacramento, or is he a lock to test the market even after his injury?

Trade Candidate: Brandon Knight

As the February 23 trade deadline nears, Hoops Rumors will be taking a closer look at several players we consider trade candidates, discussing their value, speculating on potential destinations, and explaining why they are – or should be – available. These players won’t necessarily be dealt in advance of the deadline, but it won’t be surprising if they are.
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Brandon Knight
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Phoenix Suns
2016/17 salary: $12,606,250
Eligible for unrestricted free agency in 2020
Trade restrictions: None

Brandon Knight finds himself in an awkward position with the Suns. As a 25-year-old former lottery pick, Knight should be enjoying the prime of his career.

Instead, he’s on the fringes of the rotation for a rebuilding team. Thanks to the last contract he signed, Knight has financial security. What he needs now is a chance to revive his career but that contract could prevent that from happening.

The Suns are actively shopping the combo guard, which they already were doing prior to the season, but they’re having difficulty finding a taker. Knight is making $12.6MM this season and has three years remaining on the deal, which will pay him approximately $13.6MM, $14.6MM and $15.6MM the next three seasons.

On draft status alone, Knight projected to be one of the league’s best point guards by this time. He was selected eighth overall in 2011 by the Pistons, who were in desperate need of a floor leader and viewed Knight as the long-term solution.

Knight got a trial-by-fire introduction into the NBA, jumping right into a starting role on one of the league’s worst teams. After just two seasons, the Pistons soured on Knight’s ability to run their offense. His assist-to-turnover ratios — 3.8-2.6 and 4.0-2.7 — spoke of Knight’s struggles as a floor leader.

During the 2013 off-season, he was shipped along with Khris Middleton to the Bucks for Brandon Jennings. Knight immediately became the Bucks’ lead point guard and lasted 1 1/2 seasons there before they, too, decided they needed an upgrade at that spot. Milwaukee acquired Michael Carter-Williams from the Sixers in a three-way, trade deadline deal and sent Knight to Phoenix.

With Eric Bledsoe already in place as the starting point guard, Knight was shifted to shooting guard. He averaged a career-high 19.6 points while starting in 50 of 52 games during an injury-riddled 2015/16 campaign.

The biggest problem for Knight is that the Suns made a wise draft choice prior to last season. They uncovered a gem with a 13th overall pick, selecting offensively-gifted two guard Devin Booker.

Knight has been relegated to a bench role this season and the adjustment hasn’t gone well. Advanced statistics rate Knight’s offensive performance as the worst of his career and his always suspect defense has also suffered.

He has lost playing time to rookie Tyler Ulis and veteran Leandro Barbosa because coach Earl Watson was unhappy with Knight’s defensive effort. He hasn’t played the last two games, apparently because of wrist tendinitis, though he has played sparingly over the past month anyway.

Undoubtedly, Knight needs another fresh start. He may not have lived up to his draft status but he can be a productive rotation player in the mold of a Jamal Crawford, providing instant offense off the bench.

Knight may be turnover prone but he’s a solid shooter — 41.4% overall, 35.9% percent from long range and 81.0% from the free throw line during his career. He posted positive Offensive Box Plus.Minus ratings over the last three seasons, ranging from 1.2 to 2.0, according to Basketball Reference.

Any potential suitor will have to value his offense over his defensive shortcomings. His career Defensive Box Plus/Minus rating is minus 1.9 and he’s never finished on the positive side in any season.

The length of his contract, if not the salary commitment, is the biggest impediment to trading Knight. The dollar figures aren’t as scary as they might have been a couple years ago, thanks to the ever-rising salary cap. But a contract with three years left and no team options has to give pause to any GM or team president that might see a role for Knight on his club.

An unnamed front office exec told Arizona Sports 98.7 FM’s John Gambadoro that there is virtually no trade market for Knight.
In order to rid himself on Knight’s contract, Suns GM Ryan McDonough will probably need to package a desirable young player or draft pick with him. Phoenix drafted two power forwards — Marquese Chriss and Dragan Bender — and taking on Knight’s contract could be a stipulation for any team that desires one of those young bigs.

The Suns could alternatively try to boost Knight’s trade prospects by packaging a first-round pick. They’ll obviously have a juicy lottery pick this summer and don’t owe anyone a future first-rounder at the time being. They could also dangle the protected 2018 first-rounder that the Heat owe them.

With aging Tyson Chandler still in the starting lineup, the Suns could be in the market for a center. They might also seek an upgrade over their small forward duo of T.J. Warren and P.J. Tucker.

Right now, there doesn’t seem to be an obvious landing spot for Knight. The Cavaliers are the only contender known to be shopping for point guard help but their salary-cap issues make that an unlikely scenario.

The Grizzlies might want some backcourt help behind Mike Conley and Tony Allen, taking into account Conley’s recent injury history. Knight could also give a bench boost to the Wizards behind the John WallBradley Beal duo.

Non-contenders like the Knicks, Kings and Heat could also emerge if a young big or high draft pick is part of the proposal. Sacramento reportedly has shown interest for months but the loss of Rudy Gay to an Achilles tendon tear could change their priorities.

If the Suns are unable to move Knight before the trade deadline, he’ll simply have to live with a backup role for at least the remainder of the season.

What do you think? Should the Suns trade or keep Knight? Weigh in below in the comments section with your thoughts and possible trade ideas.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Fantasy Hoops: Embiid, Nuggets, Clippers

The 2016/17 campaign is approaching the half-way mark and Hoops Rumors is examining the fantasy basketball landscape in order to help you dominate the competition. Check back weekly for more fantasy basketball analysis.


Processing Opportunity

Joel Embiid spent the last few weeks lobbying to become an All-Star. Off the court, the Sixers heavily campaigned for his All-Star candidacy, a crusade which included a Shirley Temple promotion night, and Embiid used the spotlight of both the pre-game and the post-game to promote himself.

Embiid filled his Twitter feed with cleverly designed responses and he even got the team’s former GM Sam Hinkie to throw him support.

On the court, he made a push toward his goal of taking an extra trip to New Orleans. He scored at least 20 points in each of his last nine games, a stretch in which he averaged 23.3 points, 8.4 rebounds and 2.4 blocks per game.

It’s not likely the effort grants him an All-Star appearance due to the lack of playing time, though his play remains impressive. Embiid has produced excellent numbers on a 28-minutes-per-game count, but it was reported earlier today that the restriction isn’t likely to be lifted. His fantasy value was expected to continue to increase as the season progressed, provided he remained healthy, but it appears his value may be at its peak.

So what should you do if you own Embiid in re-draft leagues? Conventional wisdom tells you to sell high since his fantasy value is more likely to decrease than it is to increase. If he had a shot at a full allotment of minutes, he could easily become a top-20 fantasy option, which would settle him into the Draymond GreenKristaps Porzingis range. However, his numbers aren’t likely to improve drastically and that, coupled with his injury history, should make owners consider dealing him if the price is right.

His current production and minute restriction places him in the top-40 range, behind players such as Marc Gasol, Eric Bledsoe, Rudy Gobert, Myles Turner and Brook Lopez. Any of the aforementioned players are fantasy upgrades over Embiid. If rival owners are relishing in The Process’ hype, you could take advantage of it with a trade and improve your fantasy team.

Opting to keep the Cameroon native on your team remains a respectable option. He’s producing solid numbers and the Sixers continue to funnel him the ball, as his third-ranked usage rate indicates. Also, it’s probably fun to cheer for the big man when he’s on your squad. Still, savvy fantasy owners should always be on the lookout for a situation where a player’s hype doesn’t match his production because, in those situations, it’s likely that an opportunity to improve your fantasy team exists.

Here’s more fantasy analysis and notes from around the league:

  • The Nuggets have given up the most assists and second most points to opposing guards over their last 10 contests. If Gary Harris is forced to miss additional time with his latest ailment, it’ll be difficult for them to improve in that area. Rookie Jamal Murray and 34-year-old Jameer Nelson would take on additional minutes and that’s not a recipe for better defense. After facing the Lakers tonight, the team will take on the Spurs and Clippers.
  • Chris Paul will undergo surgery to repair a torn ligament in his left thumb and he’s expected to miss 6-8 weeks. Raymond Felton should take over the starting point guard duties and he’s worth an add for owners in need of point guard production. The Clippers will take on the Wolves (a team which is allowing the third most assists to opposing point guards over their last 10) on Thursday and the Nuggets on Saturday.
  • Over his last six games, Ricky Rubio is averaging 12.8 assists and 2.5 steals per contest. The Wolves are reportedly looking to deal him, so enjoy his production now, but beware of the potential for a drop-off caused by an adjustment period to a new team.

Five Ways Cavs Could Address Backup PG Spot

Seven months after defeating the Warriors in the NBA Finals, the Cavaliers remain the class of the East, but Monday’s blowout loss to Golden State served as a reminder that Cleveland can’t afford to simply stand pat and hope to repeat as champions this spring.

Upgrading the roster in certain areas remains a priority for the team, and while LeBron James and GM David Griffin have a difference in opinion on the need for another big man, they agree that the Cavs could use a veteran point guard to take some pressure off of LeBron and Kyrie Irving.

Earlier in the season, the Cavs were getting by with their in-house options at the point behind Irving. Guys like Iman Shumpert and J.R. Smith aren’t point guards, but they’re capable of handling the ball and making some plays for short stretches during games. James will also take over point guard duties for several possessions over the course of a game. And while rookie Kay Felder probably isn’t ready to take on a significant role quite yet, he has shown flashes of promise when he has gotten a chance to play.

Still, with Smith sidelined and Felder still not quite ready, the Cavs will be monitoring the trade and free agent markets in the coming weeks for point guard solutions. After making a two-for-one trade with the Hawks, Cleveland has an open roster spot, giving the club some flexibility to address the backup PG spot in a number of ways.

Here are a few possible directions the team will likely consider, along with the pros and cons of each approach:Read more

Community Shootaround: NBA’s Presence in Mexico

The NBA’s two-game foray in Mexico City this month may only be a small sign of things to come, as commissioner Adam Silver sounds bullish on the league’s future in Mexico, citing a competitive market and “state-of-the-art arena” to hold NBA games. Prior to Saturday’s match-up between the Suns and Spurs, Silver addressed opportunities to expand in Mexico.

“In terms of a franchise in Mexico City, it’s something that we’re going to look at,” Silver told reporters, including Michael C. Wright of ESPN. “While we have no immediate plans to expand the NBA, one of the things that we look at is whether expanding would be additive to the league as a whole…of course we’ve had these two regular-season games, and whether we bring additional regular-season games in the next season or do some sort of tournament where you bring over a group of teams and they all play each other in some format — that’s something that we’re looking at.”

The league’s two-game excursion to Mexico City was undoubtedly a success. 20-year-old Devin Booker raised his international profile by recording back-to-back 39-point games, leading Phoenix to an upset win over the Spurs. What’s more, players didn’t have to deal with burdensome time changes as they do for games in Europe. While the NBA’s market has been slow to develop in the UK (Brits have an “ambivalent attitude” toward U.S. sport, Ian Chadbank of ESPN writes), it seems there is immediate potential for growth in Mexico.

So what do you think: would the NBA benefit from their second non-U.S. team? Would tournament format games in Mexico City make sense for the 2017/18 season?

Let us know in the comments section!

Poll: Will You Watch New BIG3 League?

A new professional basketball league is set to debut this summer. Starting on June 24, former NBA players like Allen Iverson, Kenyon Martin, Rashard Lewis, Mike Bibby, Chauncey Billups, Jermaine O’Neal, Stephen Jackson, and Jason Williams will play in the new BIG3 league, created by rapper and actor Ice Cube, along with former NBA guard Roger Mason.

The league will feature eight teams made up five players apiece. The half-court, three-on-three games won’t be timed — the first team to 60 points will win, and teams will have the opportunity to get to 60 even faster with new wrinkles like a designated “four-point circle.” TNT’s David Aldridge has several details on the BIG3 in his latest NBA.com piece, and spoke to some of the players and organizers about the new league.

[RELATED: Allen Iverson commits to new BIG3 league as player/coach]

“This (bleep) isn’t any kind of gimmick,” said Mason, who will serve as the league’s president. “JO was like, ‘There’s nobody who can guard me in halfcourt.’ Gilbert Arenas is in the gym every day; he doesn’t even want anybody to know he’s playing.

“This is going to last beyond Cube, me, Jeff (Kwatinetz). This is the new thing. Every year there’s new players that still have some gas still in the tank. Maybe they can’t play back-to-backs. Maybe they can’t do the full wear and tear of an 82-game season. But it’s not like, after 10 to 12 years in the NBA, that their fans forget about them. And it’s not like their game goes to (bleep). They don’t have the athleticism. But in a halfcourt game, one game a week? They still have something to offer. We’re just the landing spot for those guys.”

The league, which will travel to a different city each week, has yet to announce a broadcasting deal, but games are expected to be televised or streamed somewhere. So today’s poll question is this: Will you check out the BIG3 when it gets underway? Will the big-name former players be enough to draw you in, or do you prefer to stick to watching current NBA players?

Vote below, and jump into the comments section to weigh in with your thoughts!

App users, click here to vote.

NBA Players Who Still Aren’t Trade-Eligible

Most of 2016’s offseason signees became eligible to be traded on December 15, and 21 more had their trade restrictions lifted on Sunday. Now that we’ve passed January 15, nearly all of the players in the NBA are trade-eligible, but there are still a handful of guys who can’t be moved.

Generally speaking, a player who signs a new contract becomes eligible to be dealt after three months or on December 15, whichever comes later. That’s why players who sign deals in July are eligible to be traded after December 15. For those free agents who didn’t sign until later in the year though, there are different deadlines.

Here are the players who signed recently enough that they aren’t yet trade-eligible:

By the time those players have been under contract for three months, it will be after this season’s February 23 trade deadline, meaning they can’t be traded at all during the season. Dinwiddie, who has a multiyear pact with Brooklyn, could be moved in the summer, but Brown and Motiejunas have one-year deals, meaning Houston and New Orleans won’t get a chance to trade them.

Players who recently signed contract extensions also face certain restrictions. These restrictions don’t apply to the group of players that signed rookie-scale extensions prior to October 31, but they do apply to guys like James Harden and Russell Westbrook, who had their deals renegotiated and extended during the offseason. Harden and Westbrook can’t be traded for six months after signing those extensions.

Since Harden signed his new deal on July 9, he became trade-eligible last Monday, though of course he’s not going anywhere. Westbrook, who is also untouchable at this point, signed his extension on August 4, meaning his trade restriction will lift on February 4.

In addition to those four players, there are four more who are currently on NBA rosters, but can’t be traded. Those four guys are on 10-day contracts, which can’t be moved to another team. Here’s the current list of players on 10-day deals, via our tracker:

In total, by our count, there are eight players currently on NBA rosters (out of 443) who are ineligible to be traded. That doesn’t include players who can veto trades, but even after taking those guys into account, NBA teams should still have plenty of flexibility to make moves in the coming weeks.

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Weekly Mailbag: 1/9/16 – 1/15/16

We have an opportunity for you to hit us up with your questions in this, our weekly mailbag feature. Have a question regarding player movement, the salary cap or the NBA draft? Drop us a line at HoopsRumorsMailbag@Gmail.com. Here are this week’s inquiries:

Jahlil Okafor looks like the first that will be traded from the Sixers. What’s a reasonable return? I think if they get a rotation guard, they’re lucky. Greetings from Italy. — Massimo Conci

The Sixers’ big man situation is constantly changing. Okafor appeared to be the odd man out after sitting out four straight games, but he got a chance to start Saturday night and put up 26 points. He’s a rare offensive talent who can be a monster low-post scorer for the next decade and a half. Also, he’s on an inexpensive rookie contract and under team control through 2018/19, while Nerlens Noel will be a restricted free agent when the season ends. In other words, Okafor is too valuable to just give away, especially considering Joel Embiid‘s injury history. If Philadelphia does move Okafor, it should expect to get back at least a long-term starter in the backcourt.

Can the Nuggets acquire a top 25 talent with pieces they have? Such as Paul George, DeMarcus Cousins, Paul Millsap, etc.? — Brandon Roker

You can cross those three names off the list. ESPN’s Zach Lowe recently wrote that Pacers executive Larry Bird isn’t returning calls on George. The Kings are hoping to reach an extension with Cousins, and the Hawks have taken Millsap off the market. Pelicans coach Alvin Gentry recently offered a good explanation of Denver’s problem when he was asked about trading Anthony Davis. “You don’t trade great for good,” Gentry said, “no matter how many you get.” The Nuggets have a lot of good young players, but no one close to the top 25 and no easy way of acquiring someone at that level unless they get lucky in free agency. Think about it this way. If Denver had a top 25 player, would you be willing to trade him for anyone on the roster now?

The Bulls have played awful this season. I guess they are playing exactly how everyone said they would, but as a huge fan, I obviously expected more. When I watch them beat teams like the Cavs and Spurs, they get my hopes up that this season won’t be for nothing. But then they go ahead and lose games to the Knicks and Lakers and it drives me crazy. I know they have glaring problems, but they have some real nice pieces to build something here [Jimmy Butler, Dwyane Wade, Taj Gibson, Robin Lopez, Doug McDermott]. They desperately need a point guard [Ricky Rubio?] and another scorer [Rudy Gay?] for down the stretch. Any chance the Bulls make something happen? Or can they even make something happen? — Andrew Rydberg

The Bulls could use more outside shooters, but they don’t have many assets to offer in return. They killed any trade value that Rajon Rondo might have by pulling him from their rotation, and their best hope is to flip him to a team looking to unload salary, as we examined here. With Chicago committed to keeping Butler, who has entered the MVP conversation over the past month, it’s hard to see how they do anything beyond a minor deal before the deadline.

Players Who Became Trade Eligible Today

Twenty-one more players became eligible to be traded today, although in some cases it’s academic as LeBron James, DeMar DeRozan, Andre Drummond and a few others obviously aren’t going anywhere.

Most players who sign during the offseason are able to be traded on December 15th, or three months after their signing dates. But there’s a separate group who have to wait until January 15th because they meet specific criteria: Not only did they re-sign with their previous team this offseason, but they got a raise of at least 20%, their salary is worth more than the minimum and their team was over the cap, using Bird or Early Bird rights to sign them.

In addition, there are a handful of players who still have trade restrictions in effect.

Here’s the list of players who officially became trade eligible today:

Note: Players marked with an asterisk also have the ability to veto trades during the 2016/17 league year.

Information from Basketball Insiders was used in the creation of this post.