Hoops Rumors Originals

NBA 2016/17 Dead Money: Central Division

The concept of “dead money” on a salary cap isn’t as common in the NBA as it is in the NFL, but it essentially functions the same way in both leagues. Dead money refers to the salary remaining on a team’s cap for players that are no longer on the roster.

For NFL teams, taking on a certain amount of dead money is a common practice, since signing bonuses affect cap hits differently, and big-money players are more likely to be released before playing out their entire contracts. That practice is less common in the NBA.

Still, with the NBA’s salary cap on the rise, teams may be a little more willing to part ways with players on guaranteed salaries, since that increased cap gives clubs more flexibility than they used to have. Within the last month, we’ve seen players like Ronnie Price and Greivis Vasquez, who each had $4-5MM in guaranteed money left on their contracts, waived in order to clear room for newcomers.

Over the next week, we’ll examine each of the NBA’s 30 teams, breaking them down by division, to figure out which teams are carrying the most dead money on the cap for 2016/17, and what that information might tell us about those teams. We’ll start today with the Central division, before tackling the other five divisions from Monday to Friday next week.

Here are the 2016/17 dead money figures for the Central teams:

1. Detroit Pistons
Total dead money: $5,398,678
Full salary cap breakdown

The Pistons had a pair of camp invitees with modest guarantees, in Nikola Jovanovic ($30K) and Trey Freeman ($25K), and a last-minute change of plans at point guard meant that they were also on the hook for nearly $12K when they waived Ray McCallum. However, the majority of dead money on Detroit’s books belongs to Josh Smith. The Pistons cut Smith with so much guaranteed salary left on his contract that he’ll count for about $5.332MM against the cap this year — and for the three years after that.

2. Milwaukee Bucks
Total dead money: $1,865,547
Full salary cap breakdown

The Bucks are one of eight NBA teams that entered this season without a D-League affiliate, so they didn’t have a ton of incentive to hand out partial guarantees to camp invitees — they wouldn’t have been able to assign those players to a D-League squad anyway. As such, it comes as little surprise that Larry Sanders is responsible for Milwaukee’s only dead-money cap charge this season. Sanders will continue to count for $1,865,547 annually against the Bucks’ cap through the 2020/21 season.

3. Indiana Pacers
Total dead money: $1,387,667
Full salary cap breakdown

The Pacers were smart about the dead money they added to their cap this fall, paying out partial guarantees to a handful of players they wanted to join their D-League affiliate in Fort Wayne, including Ben Bentil, whose D-League rights they snatched from the Celtics for $50K. Julyan Stone ($50K), Alex Poythress ($35.4K), and Nick Zeisloft ($25K) also got modest guarantees, while Jeremy Evans ($1.227MM) was the only fully guaranteed salary the team cut. The Pacers can’t put the $3.2MM they received from the Mavericks when they acquired Evans toward their salary cap, but that cash ensures that the club actually came out ahead after waiving the forward.

4. Chicago Bulls
Total dead money: $69,500
Full salary cap breakdown

The Bulls have a D-League affiliate for the first time this season, but only one camp invitee – and eventual Windy City Bulls player – required a partial guarantee. That one player was Thomas Walkup, who got $69.5K from the team. It will be interesting to see if the Bulls are any more liberal about handing out partial guarantees to recruit top undrafted rookies to their D-League affiliate in future years.

5. Cleveland Cavaliers
Total dead money: $18,255
Full salary cap breakdown

The Cavaliers didn’t pay any guaranteed money to their camp invitees, and ultimately assigned only two of their cuts to the Canton Charge rather than the maximum four. The team also isn’t carrying any dead money on its cap from players released in previous years, resulting in a cap sheet that is nearly entirely clean. The one exception? An $18K cap hit for Dahntay Jones, since he cleared waivers two days into the 2016/17 season rather than being cut earlier.

Salary information from Basketball Insiders was used in the creation of this post.

Community Shootaround: Anthony Davis

No team in the NBA is floundering more than the Pelicans. The only other winless franchise heading into Thursday was a perennial doormat, the Sixers, whose best-laid plans were shattered when top pick Ben Simmons suffered a preseason foot injury.

New Orleans lost its first eight games despite the efforts of its franchise player Anthony Davis, who is averaging 30.9 points, 11.4 rebounds and 3.0 blocks. Clearly, the Pelicans have done a poor job surrounding the 23-year-old with the necessary pieces to be a contender. So, does it make any sense to explore trade options for Davis?

On the surface, the notion seems silly, almost unfathomable. Why would they give up on a budding superstar, a likely future MVP, who is under team control through at least the 2018/19 season?

Certainly, it would require a haul of quality young players and draft picks to even consider making such a move. And the Pelicans would basically be waving the white flag on the next few seasons, like the Sixers did in their rebuilding process.

The flip side is that the franchise has nosedived since its playoff appearance in 2014/15, after which Davis agreed to an extension. They hired a veteran coach in Alvin Gentry with the anticipation of being perennial playoff team but injuries and questionable personnel decisions have set them back.

Their current second- and third-leading scorers, guards E’Twaun Moore and Tim Frazier, won’t be mistaken for the backcourt of J.J. Redick and Chris Paul. They have two starters, Solomon Hill and Omer Asik, averaging a combined 8.1 points.

To be fair, the Pelicans have been without arguably their second- and third-best players. Tyreke Evans is expected to return sometime next month from a knee injury, while Jrue Holiday should be back soon after taking care of his ailing wife. But Evans has undergone three procedures this year, and both players are unrestricted free agents after the season.

The Pelicans lost Ryan Anderson and Eric Gordon in free agency and signed two unheralded players in Moore and Hill. In the long run, those moves might turn out to be solid investments but the Pelicans are undeniably lacking in impact players beyond Davis.

New Orleans could pin its hopes on attracting top free agents and finding a big-time player in the lottery. But its lottery pick from this year’s draft, Buddy Hield, has yet to find his shooting stroke.

Another potential issue is that Davis has struggled to stay on the court. He’s never made it through more than 68 games in any of his first four seasons.

That leads us to today’s question: Given the state of the franchise, should the Pelicans even consider trading Anthony Davis?

Take to the comments section below to share your thoughts and opinions on this topic. We look forward to what you have to say.

Five Veteran Extension Candidates To Watch

As we discussed earlier this year when we identified the veteran players eligible for contract extensions, the limits imposed on veteran extensions by the NBA’s Collective Bargaining Agreement make such deals rare. Teams are afforded plenty of cap flexibility to finalize rookie-scale extensions for fourth-year players, but that same flexibility doesn’t exist for veteran extensions.

While the league’s new CBA is expected to reduce this figure, players currently have to wait for three full years after signing their contract to renegotiate and/or extend it. Most veteran NBA contracts don’t run for more than three years to begin with, which means the pool of players eligible to extend their deals are small.

Additionally, even players who are eligible for a veteran extension often choose to wait until free agency, since there is little incentive to complete an extension early. Over-the-cap teams can extend veteran contracts, but can’t accommodate significantly renegotiated salaries for the current season — a club must have the cap room necessary to give a player a big raise in 2016/17. Plus, veteran extensions can cover no more than three new seasons (four total).

So, for a player like Blake Griffin, who is extension-eligible in the final year of his contract, it doesn’t make sense for him to re-up now with the over-the-cap Clippers. Even if he wants to re-sign with Los Angeles, he would be eligible for more years and larger salaries if he waits until next July to work something out with the team.

In other words, for a player to be a realistic candidate for a veteran contract extension before next summer, he must meet one of the following criteria, in addition to having signed his current deal at least three years ago:

  1. His team has sufficient cap room to give him an immediate raise. This applies to guys like Russell Westbrook and James Harden, who added an extra year or two to their deals earlier this summer in exchange for getting a big pay bump in 2016/17.
  2. He won’t receive a major raise in free agency anyway. Given the rising salary cap, this doesn’t apply to many players in their prime, but guys nearing the tail end of their careers could be happy to settle for a small raise rather than rolling the dice on a bigger payday in free agency.

With those criteria in mind, let’s take a look at five players who are viable candidates for veteran extensions in 2016/17…

Derrick Favors (Jazz)
Contract: $11,050,000 salary in 2016/17; UFA in 2018Derrick Favors vertical

Favors is perhaps the most obvious extension candidate on our list. The Jazz are still below the salary floor, meaning the team has more than enough cap room to give him a raise all the way up to the maximum. Favors is also still two years away from free agency, so the opportunity to get significant pay increases for the next two years should make him very willing to add a couple more years of team control for Utah.

Still, this is no lock to happen. The Jazz won’t be overly motivated to simply hand Favors a maximum salary when there’s no pressure to do so quite yet, so he’d probably have to take a little less for the team to pull the trigger. If he wants a short-term raise, it makes sense to go for it. If he wants to wait another year, he’d be eligible for a higher max in 2017/18, and the Jazz might feel a little more pressure to get something done at that point, since it’d be a contract year for the big man.

George Hill (Jazz)
Contract: $8,000,000 salary in 2016/17; UFA in 2017

Of course, the Jazz’s talks with Favors are also complicated by the fact that the club has another strong candidate on its roster for a renegotiation and extension. Hill hasn’t been with the team for very long, but he’s made a great early impression. If Utah isn’t confident in handing the reins to Dante Exum next fall, reaching a new agreement with Hill would make a lot of sense.

As is the case with Favors, the Jazz have more than enough cap flexibility to offer Hill a big raise right away. However, the team’s current cap room (about $14MM) won’t be enough to accommodate significant renegotiations for both players. If each of them have interest in getting something done during the season, Utah would have a choice to make, and I imagine the team would lean toward Favors.

Paul George (Pacers)
Contract: $18,314,532 salary in 2016/17; Can opt out in 2018

I took a more extensive look at George’s situation back in September, so I won’t spend long re-hashing those points. As I explained at that time, the Pacers would be happy to get a max deal done sooner rather than later, but there are pros and cons for George, so it will come down to what he wants.

It certainly wouldn’t be a bad choice for George to sign a deal immediately if he wants to secure an immediate raise – which the Pacers have the cap room to give him – and shut down any speculation about a possible departure from Indiana. But there are reasons why it makes sense to wait too, and with the team off to a sluggish start, it seems that’s what he’ll do for now.

Derrick Rose (Knicks)
Contract: $21,323,252 salary in 2016/17; UFA in 2017

Rose is the first player on our list whose team is over the cap, meaning he wouldn’t get a raise this season if he were to work out a new deal with the Knicks. Still, he’s already on a maximum-salary contract, and even though he’ll be eligible for a much higher max next season (approximately $29MM based on current cap projections), there’s certainly no guarantee he’ll get those kind of offers on the open market.

The Knicks haven’t had a reliable, long-term starter at point guard for quite some time, so if things go well with Rose this year, they could make an effort to lock him up before he reaches free agency. The team could offer up to three additional years, with a 2017/18 starting salary worth up to nearly $23MM.

Ersan Ilyasova (Sixers)
Contract: $8,400,000 salary in 2016/17; UFA in 2017

It’s absolutely premature to consider Ilyasova an extension candidate in Philadelphia. The veteran power forward has been traded four times since signing his current contract, suggesting teams are more likely to move on from him than to want to lock him up.

Still, indications out of Philadelphia when the Sixers acquired Ilyasova last week were that they like how he fits on their roster, providing some much needed outside shooting and helping the club stretch the floor. In his first four games with the Sixers, he has averaged 12.8 PPG and shot 42.1% from three-point range — the sample size is minuscule, but those would be his best averages since 2012/13.

If Ilyasova continues to play well as a Sixer, a contract like the three-year, $30MM deal signed by Mirza Teletovic this summer looks like a reasonable goal for him, and Philadelphia could certainly afford something like that. It’s more likely that they’ll let him reach free agency, but if they like what they see this season from Ilyasova, the 76ers could at least explore what sort of deal it would take to keep him off the market.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

Current NBA Free Agents To Watch

The majority of the NBA’s 30 teams are still carrying the same 15 players on their roster today that they were when the regular season opened more than two weeks ago. However, multiple teams have shown that they won’t hesitate to dip into the free agent pool early, especially if injuries are causing depth concerns.

The Pelicans cut Lance Stephenson earlier this week when he required groin surgery, signing Archie Goodwin in his place, while the Nets waived Greivis Vasquez, who is expected to undergo ankle surgery, signing Yogi Ferrell today to replace him.

Both Goodwin and Ferrell were cut shortly before the regular season got underway, after having been in a camp with an NBA team. Many more players around the league fit that bill, and those additions to the free agent market have made the list of available players even more intriguing than it was when training camps got underway.

You can check out our breakdown of 2016 free agents for a longer list of names, but here’s a quick rundown of a few of the more intriguing players on the market:

The last restricted free agent

Donatas Motiejunas is the last of this year’s restricted free agents without a deal, though the Rockets are said to have put an offer on the table. It sounds like that offer is similar to the two-year, $15-16MM contracts signed by Tyler Zeller and Festus Ezeli this summer — the second year on those deals is non-guaranteed.

Houston remains the odds-on favorite to ultimately lock up Motiejunas, whose injury history seems to be scaring off rival suitors, but that’s not a given. November 23 is a potential deadline to watch for the veteran forward, since he wouldn’t be trade-eligible this season if he were to sign a new contract after that date.

Veterans waived earlier this year

There aren’t any players out there who would immediately change a team’s fortunes, but there are plenty of guys capable of contributing to a second unit and being productive NBA players. Point guard, in particular, has some interesting names, as Jarrett Jack, Ronnie Price, and Pablo Prigioni were a few of the surprise cuts last month.

The frontcourt is a little thinner when it comes to veteran players who recently appeared to have a decent grip on an NBA roster spot. Still, Carl Landry and Lou Amundson are among the guys who had guaranteed contracts for 2016/17 but were waived within the last few months.

Veterans looking to join contenders

Unlike the veterans listed above, players like Andre Miller, Matt Bonner, and Tayshaun Prince haven’t been on an NBA roster at all since the 2015/16 season ended, and it’s not hard to imagine any of them deciding to call it a career. But none of them seem quite ready to retire yet — they’re just waiting for a good opportunity to catch on with a contender, and if the injury bug hits a few teams hard this season, a door could certainly open up somewhere for them.

Players recovering from injuries

Mario Chalmers has been one of the more noteworthy names on the list of free agent point guards for months, but he’s still recovering from the Achilles injury that prematurely ended his 2015/16 campaign. When he’s healthy enough to play in NBA games, which should happen in the new year, he should draw interest.

The same can probably be said for multiple players waived this week — Lance Stephenson and Greivis Vasquez weren’t cut because they had been ineffective, but because they’re expected to be sidelined for a significant period of time, and their teams didn’t have the flexibility to use a roster spot on them during that time. Both players should have a good chance to land an NBA job when they’re ready to return.

Prospects playing in the D-League

As we saw with Yogi Ferrell, who got a call-up to the Nets today, young prospects who spent time in camp with an NBA team and are now with that club’s D-League affiliate will be candidates to earn spots on 15-man rosters throughout the season. 2016 second-rounders like Ben Bentil and Isaiah Cousins are worth keeping a close eye on, but there’s no shortage of candidates that fall into this group. Many of them show up on the list of D-League affiliate players for ’16/17.

Which current free agent do you think could have a significant impact for an NBA team later this season? Weigh in below in the comments section!

Community Shootaround: Early-Season Impressions

As of today, the NBA’s 2016/17 regular season is two weeks old, which isn’t enough time to set anything in stone, but has given us a chance to get an early impression of how teams and players look. In some cases, those impressions have reinforced what we thought we knew heading into the year. For instance, Stephen Curry, who made a record-setting 13 three-pointers in last night’s win over the Pelicans? He’s still pretty good.

On the other hand, the two weeks of NBA action so far have also provided plenty of surprises. Clubs like the Pacers, Timberwolves, Mavericks, and Wizards are off to unexpectedly slow starts. The Hornets and Thunder rank among the league’s top five teams. The Lakers look fun and competitive under new head coach Luke Walton. And in Philadelphia, it’s Joel Embiid, not Ben Simmons, who is turning heads and has grabbed the early lead in the Rookie of the Year sweepstakes.

Elsewhere in the NBA, we’ve seen some less surprising – but still very impressive – results. The Cavaliers are the league’s only unbeaten team. James Harden is putting up video-game numbers, having already posted 30+ points and 15+ assists in four separate games. LeBron James and Russell Westbrook aren’t far off from averaging triple-doubles.

Similarly, some of this year’s struggling players and teams aren’t exactly shocking. The Knicks, with a new head coach and an overhauled roster, have struggled mightily on defense and aren’t firing on all cylinders on offense either. Anthony Davis has looked like one of the NBA’s best players, but the rest of the Pelicans haven’t done much, en route to an 0-7 start. And once again, the Sixers have been held winless in October and November so far — they haven’t had a victory in either of those months since 2013.

Two weeks into the regular season, which players and teams have impressed or disappointed you the most? Have you changed your opinion drastically on any team since the preseason, based on what we’ve seen so far? What are the highlights of the season for you so far? Take to the comments section below to weigh in with your thoughts on the first two weeks!

2016/17 NBA In-Season Trades

As we did with this year’s offseason trades and the in-season swaps from 2015/16, we’ll be keeping track of all the trades from this season as they become official, updating this post with each transaction. This post can be found anytime throughout the season on our right-hand sidebar under “Hoops Rumors Features.”

Trades are listed here in reverse chronological order, with the latest on top. So, if a player has been dealt multiple times, the first team listed as having acquired him is the one that ended up with him. For more details on each trade, click the date above it.

For more information on the specific conditions dictating if and when draft picks involved in these deals will actually change hands, be sure to check out RealGM.com’s breakdown of the details on traded picks.

Here’s the full list of the trades completed during the 2016/17 NBA season:

February 23

  • Raptors acquire P.J. Tucker
  • Suns acquire Jared Sullinger, Raptors’ 2017 second-round pick, Raptors’ 2018 second-round pick, and cash ($1MM).

February 23

February 23

  • Nuggets acquire Roy Hibbert.
  • Bucks acquire Nuggets’ 2019 second-round pick (top-55 protected).

February 23

February 23

  • Suns acquire Mike Scott, draft rights to Cenk Akyol, and cash ($500K).
  • Hawks acquire Suns’ 2017 second-round pick (top-55 protected).

February 23

February 23

  • Mavericks acquire Nerlens Noel.
  • Sixers acquire Justin Anderson, Andrew Bogut, and Mavericks’ 2017 first-round pick (top-18 protected).
  • Sixers will get Mavs’ second-round picks in 2017 and 2020 if first-rounder doesn’t convey.

February 23

February 22

  • Hawks acquire Ersan Ilyasova.
  • Sixers acquire Tiago Splitter, Heat’s 2017 second-round pick (top-40 protected), and the right to swap Warriors’ 2017 second-round pick for Hawks’ second-round pick.

February 22

February 20

February 14

  • Raptors acquire Serge Ibaka.
  • Magic acquire Terrence Ross and less favorable of Raptors’ and Clippers’ 2017 first-round picks.

February 13

  • Hornets acquire Chris Andersen and cash.
  • Cavaliers acquire Hornets’ 2017 second-round pick (top-55 protected).

February 13

  • Trail Blazers acquire Jusuf Nurkic and Grizzlies’ 2017 first-round pick (top-five protected).
  • Nuggets acquire Mason Plumlee, less favorable of Kings’ and Trail Blazers’ 2018 second-round picks, and cash ($2.85MM).

February 2

January 18

January 7

January 6

  • Trail Blazers acquire Cavaliers’ 2017 first-round pick.
  • Cavaliers acquire their own 2018 first-round pick (previously traded to Portland).

November 1

Trade archives:

Weekly Mailbag: 10/31/16-11/6/16

We have an opportunity for you to hit us up with your questions in this, our weekly mailbag feature. Have a question regarding player movement, the salary cap or the NBA draft? Drop us a line at HoopsRumorsMailbag@Gmail.com. Here are this week’s inquiries:

There have been rumors of either Jimmy Butler, Jabari Parker or Jae Crowder/Amir Johnson coming to Golden State for Klay Thompson. Would the Warriors be willing to part with one of the league’s best two-way players and an integral part of their team’s success? What has caused these rumors, and which trade seems the most likely? — Matt Trapp

Overactive imaginations? The Warriors aren’t going to break up their superteam so soon after signing Kevin Durant, and with their defensive issues they’re not going to trade their best player on that end of the court. Thompson is only 26 and he is signed for the next three seasons at roughly $16.6MM, $17.8MM and $18.9MM, figures that are very reasonable in the current market. Golden State won’t risk chemistry issues by shipping out Thompson for any of those players, who collectively haven’t been in nearly as many important playoff games as he has.

It was expected that the Warriors’ defense would struggle this year, but now their rebounding has suffered, too. Zaza Pachulia has been serviceable, as has David West, but they have struggled rebounding the ball, and aren’t getting help from everyone else on the floor.  I know it’s still early in the season, but this happened in the Spurs game and tonight against the Lakers. Is there any way Warriors can upgrade at center with the little money they can spend? — Nick Elliston

In an ideal world, they would uncover the next Hassan Whiteside, a shot-blocking force who is looking for an NBA contract that will launch him to stardom. Unfortunately for Golden State, there are very few NBA quality centers who aren’t already in the league. Getting rid of Andrew Bogut and Festus Ezeli was necessary to create enough cap room to sign Durant, and the Warriors would surely do it again. If you’re looking for a realistic long shot, how about Nerlens Noel? He didn’t get a rookie scale extension, so the Sixers wouldn’t mind dealing him before he becomes a restricted free agent. And his salary is only $4,384,490, so in theory he could be had for a combination of Pachulia and Kevon Looney.

For months we had heard about the Celtics trying to make a major trade before the draft.  Then we heard about them trying to make a trade post draft.  Realistically do you think they will make an in-season trade of any significance?  If so what kind of deal? — Dan Mallahan

Nobody has more assets than the Celtics when it comes to young players and draft picks, so it seems like something will get done eventually. They tried to trade for a pick to land Kris Dunn in June, and they’ve been linked to Jahlil Okafor rumors for months, so Danny Ainge has been working the phones. The important thing is that when a star becomes available — the Kings’ DeMarcus Cousins, for instance — Boston will be in position to outbid anyone.

Community Shootaround: Lakers’ Playoff Chances

The Lakers own a record of 3-3 after upsetting the Warriors on Friday night. The win was a surprising feat for the struggling franchise and coach Luke Walton remained stoic about the outcome, adding that “it was just good to see the progress continuing.” 

Although it is too early in the season to celebrate anything substantial, the young season has been promising thus far for a team that was expected to be a strong contender for the 2017 No. 1 pick.  Julius Randle looked like a monster in the paint, scoring 20 points and nabbing 14 rebounds in Friday’s win. D’Angelo Russell looked like the team’s point guard of the future, making three of his seven shots from behind the arc. Lou Williams, who scored 18 points in the win, believes the team is destined for a great season. “We’ve got a lot of young talent here,” Williams added. “Finally it’s starting to look like we have some pieces in the right places.”

So that leads us to tonight’s topic: Can the Lakers make the playoffs this season? This team loves basketball and with other assumed contenders (Dallas and New Orleans, we’re looking at you) struggling out of the gate, we may see a surprising team make a push toward a postseason birth.

Why not the Lakers? Veteran additions Timofey Mozgov and Luol Deng have fit in nicely with Los Angeles. If the young core can keep producing, this could be a team that competes on a nightly basis and gives itself a shot at snatching the eighth seed in the Western Conference.

Do you believe the Lakers will compete for the playoffs? If not, how many wins will they earn this season? Take to the comments section below to share your thoughts and opinions on this team. We look forward to what you have to say.

Hoops Rumors Originals: 10/30/16-11/5/16

Here’s a look back at the original content and analysis generated by the Hoops Rumors staff this past week.

Submit Your Questions For Hoops Rumors Mailbag

We at Hoops Rumors love interacting with our readers. This is why we provide an opportunity for you to hit us up with your questions in our weekly mailbag feature, which is posted each Sunday.

Have a question regarding player movement, free agent rumors, the salary cap, the NBA draft, or the top storylines of the week? You can e-mail them here: hoopsrumorsmailbag@gmail.com. Feel free to send emails throughout the week, but please be mindful that we may receive a sizable number of questions and might not get to all of them.

If you missed out on any past mailbags and would like to catch up, you can view the full archives here.