The NBA draft lottery doesn't take place until May 30th, so we won't know the complete draft order until then. But today the league announced the winners of a number of tiebreakers, locking the draft "seeds" in place as we approach the lottery.
As I explained earlier this week, when two lottery teams finish tied in the standings, they split the difference when it comes to odds of landing a top pick. For instance, since the Cavaliers and Hornets tied for the league's third-worst record (21-45), each team's chances of landing the first overall pick will be an average of the third- and fourth-best odds (15.6% and 11.9%). Because the Cavs won the tiebreaker, they'll receive slightly better odds than the Hornets (13.8% to 13.7%) and will draft ahead of New Orleans if neither team lands a top-three pick.
Here are the complete results of today's tiebreakers:
- Cavaliers over Hornets for 3rd
- Kings over Nets for 5th
- Warriors over Raptors for 7th
- Knicks over Mavericks and Jazz for 16th
- Mavericks over Jazz for 17th
- Clippers over Hawks for 22nd
- Lakers over Grizzlies for 24th
- Bulls over Spurs for 29th
And here's how the overall draft order for the first round will look heading into the lottery (chances of landing first overall pick in parentheses):
- Charlotte Bobcats (25.0%)
- Washington Wizards (19.9%)
- Cleveland Cavaliers (13.8%)
- New Orleans Hornets (13.7%)
- Sacramento Kings (7.6%)
- New Jersey Nets (7.5%)1
- Golden State Warriors (3.6%)2
- Toronto Raptors (3.5%)
- Detroit Pistons (1.7%)
- New Orleans Hornets (1.1%)3
- Portland Trail Blazers (0.8%)
- Milwaukee Bucks (0.7%)
- Phoenix Suns (0.6%)
- Houston Rockets (0.5%)
- Philadelphia 76ers
- Houston Rockets4
- Dallas Mavericks
- Minnesota Timberwolves5
- Orlando Magic
- Denver Nuggets
- Boston Celtics
- Boston Celtics6
- Atlanta Hawks
- Cleveland Cavaliers7
- Memphis Grizzlies
- Indiana Pacers
- Miami Heat
- Oklahoma City Thunder
- Chicago Bulls
- Golden State Warriors8
The second round will look like this:
- Charlotte Bobcats
- Washington Wizards
- Cleveland Cavaliers9
- Cleveland Cavaliers
- Golden State Warriors10
- Sacramento Kings
- Toronto Raptors
- Denver Nuggets11
- Detroit Pistons
- Portland Trail Blazers12
- Portland Trail Blazers
- Milwaukee Bucks
- Atlanta Hawks13
- Detroit Pistons14
- Philadelphia 76ers
- Washington Wizards15
- Utah Jazz
- New York Knicks
- Orlando Magic
- Denver Nuggets
- Boston Celtics
- Golden State Warriors16
- Los Angeles Clippers
- Philadelphia 76ers17
- Dallas Mavericks18
- Toronto Raptors19
- New Jersey Nets20
- Minnesota Timberwolves21
- San Antonio Spurs
- Los Angeles Lakers22
1 Send pick to Trail Blazers if not in top three
2 Send pick to Jazz if not in top seven
3 Acquired from Timberwolves
4 Acquired from Knicks
5 Acquired from Jazz
6 Acquired from Clippers
7 Acquired from Lakers
8 Acquired from Spurs
9 Acquired from Hornets
10 Acquire from Nets
11 Acquired from Warriors
12 Acquired from Timberwolves
13 Acquired from Suns
14 Acquired from Rockets
15 Acquired from Mavericks
16 Acquired from Hawks
17 Acquired from Grizzlies
18 Acquired from Lakers
19 Acquired from Pacers
20 Acquired from Heat
21 Acquired from Thunder
22 Can accept cash from Nets rather than Bulls' pick, if they so choose
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