The 2013 NBA draft lottery doesn't take place until May 21st, so we won't know the complete draft order until then. But today the league announced the winners of a number of tiebreakers, locking the draft "seeds" in place as we approach the lottery.
As we explain in the Hoops Rumors glossary, when two lottery teams finish tied in the standings, they split the difference when it comes to odds of landing a top pick. For instance, since the Pistons and Wizards tied for the league's seventh-worst record (29-53), each team's chances of landing the first overall pick will be an average of the seventh- and eighth-best odds (4.3% and 2.8%). Because the Pistons won the tiebreaker, they'll receive slightly better odds than the Wizards (3.6% to 3.5%) and will draft ahead of Washington if neither team lands a top-three pick.
Here are the complete results of today's tiebreakers:
- Pistons over Wizards for 7th
- 76ers over Raptors for 11th
- Rockets over Lakers, Bulls for 18th
- Lakers over Bulls for 19th
- Clippers over Grizzlies for 25th
And here's how the overall draft order for the first round will look heading into the lottery. Traded picks are incorporated into the order, and a team's chances of landing the first overall pick is noted in parentheses:
- Orlando Magic (25.0%)
- Charlotte Bobcats (19.9%)
- Cleveland Cavaliers (15.6%)
- Phoenix Suns (11.9%)
- New Orleans Pelicans (8.8%)
- Sacramento Kings (6.3%)
- Detroit Pistons (3.6%)
- Washington Wizards (3.5%)
- Minnesota Timberwolves (1.7%)
- Portland Trail Blazers (1.1%). Blazers will send pick to Bobcats if it lands outside of top 12.
- Philadelphia 76ers (0.8%)
- Toronto Raptors (0.7%). Raptors will send pick to Thunder if it doesn't land in top 3.
- Dallas Mavericks (0.6%)
- Utah Jazz (0.5%)
- Milwaukee Bucks
- Boston Celtics
- Atlanta Hawks
- Atlanta Hawks
- Cleveland Cavaliers
- Chicago Bulls
- Utah Jazz
- Brooklyn Nets
- Indiana Pacers
- New York Knicks
- Los Angeles Clippers
- Minnesota Timberwolves
- Denver Nuggets
- San Antonio Spurs
- Oklahoma City Thunder
- Phoenix Suns
In the second round, teams that lost today's tiebreakers generally move up one spot, while the tiebreak winners move down. For instance, since the Rockets won the three-way tiebreaker at 18-20, Houston's second-round pick would be 20th in the round, while the Lakers and Bulls each move up one spot. Here's how the second round will look, after trades:
- Cleveland Cavaliers
- Oklahoma City Thunder
- Cleveland Cavaliers
- Houston Rockets
- Philadelphia 76ers
- Sacramento Kings
- Washington Wizards
- Detroit Pistons
- Portland Trail Blazers
- Portland Trail Blazers
- Memphis Grizzlies
- Philadelphia 76ers
- Milwaukee Bucks
- Dallas Mavericks
- Portland Trail Blazers
- Utah Jazz
- Atlanta Hawks
- Los Angeles Lakers
- Chicago Bulls
- Atlanta Hawks
- Orlando Magic
- Minnesota Timberwolves
- Indiana Pacers
- Washington Wizards
- Memphis Grizzlies
- Detroit Pistons
- Phoenix Suns
- San Antonio Spurs
- Minnesota Timberwolves
- Memphis Grizzlies
First paragraph says that Pistons will receive better odds than the Hornets.. I’m assuming that’s supposed to say Wizards? Otherwise, I’m very confused
Hah, yes, sorry, that should’ve been Wizards. Even more confusing since the Hornets technically don’t exist anymore! Fixed now, thanks.
— Luke
Since Sacramento is about to be sold their odds have to be 95% to win the top pick right?
yep and we know it wont be the bobcats since the nba has something against jordan