Wednesday is the last day of the 2016/17 regular season, and for many teams, there’s not a whole lot to play for tonight. A number of playoff seeds are already locked in, while other teams have been out of contention for weeks. The Hawks, Nets, Wizards, Bucks, and Cavaliers are among the teams expected to rest players tonight, and that’s just in the Eastern Conference.
Still, nearly every single game on tonight’s slate will have some sort of impact on playoff or draft lottery seeding, and a couple playoff spots in the East remain up for grabs. As such, it’s worth running through each game on the slate and identifying the importance of each contest.
Our notes below relate to playoff seeding, draft lottery positioning, and traded draft picks that may be affected by tonight’s results. If a team’s draft pick might improve from No. 22 to No. 21 with a loss tonight, that’s not something we’d mention here. But if a team can improve its draft lottery odds with a loss, or if a traded pick will be impacted by a result, we’ve made a note of that.
For a full breakdown of draft positioning, be sure to check out our 2016/17 NBA reverse standings (note: our reverse standings don’t currently account for playoff tiebreakers, so they have the Heat in playoff position rather than the Bulls — those teams should be flipped).
Here’s what to watch for in tonight’s games:
Milwaukee Bucks (42-39) at Boston Celtics (52-29)
- Playoff implications: Celtics clinch No. 1 seed in East with win (or Cavaliers loss).
- Draft lottery/traded pick implications: None
Brooklyn Nets (20-61) at Chicago Bulls (40-41)
- Playoff implications: Bulls clinch No. 7 seed in East with win and Pacers loss. Bulls clinch No. 8 seed with win and Pacers win (or loss and Heat loss). Bulls eliminated with loss and Heat win.
- Draft lottery/traded pick implications: Bulls enter draft lottery with loss and Heat win.
Toronto Raptors (50-31) at Cleveland Cavaliers (51-30)
- Playoff implications: Cavaliers clinch No. 1 seed in East with win and Celtics loss.
- Draft lottery/traded pick implications: Raptors will send their own 2017 first-round pick to Magic with win and Clippers loss. Raptors will send Clippers’ 2017 first-round pick to Magic with loss and Clippers win. If Raptors and Clippers both win (or lose), coin flip will determine which pick Magic receive.
Minnesota Timberwolves (31-50) at Houston Rockets (54-27)
- Playoff implications: None
- Draft lottery/traded pick implications: Timberwolves‘ lottery odds will increase with loss and Knicks win. Timberwolves’ lottery odds will decrease with win and Mavericks or Kings loss.
Atlanta Hawks (43-38) at Indiana Pacers (41-40)
- Playoff implications: Pacers clinch No. 7 seed in East with win (or with Bulls and Heat losses). Pacers clinch No. 8 seed with loss and either Bulls or Heat win. Pacers eliminated with loss and Bulls and Heat wins.
- Draft lottery/traded pick implications: Pacers enter draft lottery with loss and Bulls and Heat wins. If Pacers miss playoffs, their 2017 second-round pick (protected 45-60) will be sent to Nets.
Washington Wizards (49-32) at Miami Heat (40-41)
- Playoff implications: Heat clinch No. 7 seed with win and Pacers and Bulls losses. Heat clinch No. 8 seed with win and Bulls win and Pacers loss (or with win and Pacers win and Bulls loss). Heat eliminated with loss (or with Pacers and Bulls wins).
- Draft lottery/traded pick implications: Heat enter draft lottery with loss or with Pacers and Bulls wins.
Philadelphia 76ers (28-53) at New York Knicks (30-51)
- Playoff implications: None
- Draft lottery/traded pick implications: Sixers‘ lottery odds will increase with loss and Magic win. Sixers’ lottery odds will decrease with win and Magic loss. Knicks‘ lottery odds will decrease with win and Timberwolves loss.
Detroit Pistons (37-44) at Orlando Magic (28-53)
- Playoff implications: None
- Draft lottery/traded pick implications: Magic‘s lottery odds will increase with loss and Sixers win. Magic‘s lottery odds will decrease with win and Sixers loss.
Denver Nuggets (39-42) at Oklahoma City Thunder (47-34)
- Playoff implications: None
- Draft lottery/traded pick implications: Nuggets‘ lottery odds will decrease with win and Bulls or Heat loss.
Dallas Mavericks (32-49) at Memphis Grizzlies (43-38)
- Playoff implications: None
- Draft lottery/traded pick implications: Mavericks‘ lottery odds will increase with loss and Timberwolves or Kings win. Mavericks‘ odds will decrease with win and Kings or Pelicans losses.
San Antonio Spurs (61-20) at Utah Jazz (50-31)
- Playoff implications: Jazz clinch No. 4 seed in West with win and Clippers loss.
- Draft lottery/traded pick implications: None
Los Angeles Lakers (26-55) at Golden State Warriors (66-15)
- Playoff implications: None
- Draft lottery/traded pick implications: None
Sacramento Kings (32-49) at Los Angeles Clippers (50-31)
- Playoff implications: Clippers clinch No. 4 seed in West with win (or Jazz loss).
- Draft lottery/traded pick implications: Kings‘ lottery odds will increase with loss and Timberwolves or Mavericks wins. Kings‘ lottery odds will decrease with win and Mavericks or Pelicans losses. If Kings‘ lottery odds decrease, so too would their odds of keeping their top-10-protected 2017 first-round pick.
New Orleans Pelicans (33-48) at Portland Trail Blazers (41-40)
- Playoff implications: None
- Draft lottery/traded pick implications: Pelicans‘ lottery odds will increase with loss and Kings or Mavericks wins. If Pelicans‘ lottery odds increase, so too would their odds of keeping their top-three protected 2017 first-round pick.
Maybe I missed it, but what happened with the lakers first round pick this year? Did they lose enough to keep it? Not a fan of any LA team, but Luke Walton needs some help down there!
The draft lottery will determine whether or not they keep it — they’ll have about a 47% chance of landing in the top three and hanging onto it.