The NBA’s draft lottery is less than two weeks away, and the results of that event could significantly alter the course of multiple franchises. While we’ve already outlined what the draft order will look like heading into that night, we’ve yet to take a closer look at each club’s lottery odds, so we’ll do that today.
Let’s dive right in…
- Phoenix Suns
- No. 1: 25.0%
- No. 2: 21.5%
- No. 3: 17.7%
- No. 4: 35.8%
- Memphis Grizzlies
- No. 1: 19.9%
- No. 2: 18.8%
- No. 3: 17.1%
- No. 4: 31.9%
- No. 5: 12.4%
- Dallas Mavericks
- No. 1: 13.8%
- No. 2: 14.2%
- No. 3: 14.5%
- No. 4: 23.8%
- No. 5: 29.0%
- No. 6: 4.5%
- Atlanta Hawks
- No. 1: 13.7%
- No. 2: 14.1%
- No. 3: 14.5%
- No. 4: 8.5%
- No. 5: 32.3%
- No. 6: 15.5%
- No. 7: 1.3%
- Orlando Magic
- No. 1: 8.8%
- No. 2: 9.6%
- No. 3: 10.6%
- No. 5: 26.2%
- No. 6: 35.9%
- No. 7: 8.4%
- No. 8: 0.4%
- Chicago Bulls
- No. 1: 5.3%
- No. 2: 6.0%
- No. 3: 7.0%
- No. 6: 44.0%
- No. 7: 33.1%
- No. 8: 4.5%
- No. 9: 0.1%
- Sacramento Kings
- No. 1: 5.3%
- No. 2: 6.0%
- No. 3: 7.0%
- No. 7: 57.3%
- No. 8: 22.6%
- No. 9: 1.8%
- No. 10: <0.1%
- Cleveland Cavaliers (from Nets)
- No. 1: 2.8%
- No. 2: 3.3%
- No. 3: 3.9%
- No. 8: 72.5%
- No. 9: 16.8%
- No. 10: 0.8%
- No. 11: <0.1%
- New York Knicks
- No. 1: 1.7%
- No. 2: 2.0%
- No. 3: 2.4%
- No. 9: 81.3%
- No. 10: 12.2%
- No. 11: 0.4%
- No. 12: <0.1%
- Philadelphia 76ers (from Lakers)
- No. 1: 1.1%
- No. 2: 1.3% (to Celtics)
- No. 3: 1.6% (to Celtics)
- No. 10: 87.0%
- No. 11: 8.9%
- No. 12: 0.2%
- No. 13: <0.1%
- Charlotte Hornets
- No. 1: 0.8%
- No. 2: 0.9%
- No. 3: 1.2%
- No. 11: 90.8%
- No. 12: 6.3%
- No. 13: <0.1%
- No. 14: <0.1%
- Los Angeles Clippers (from Pistons)
- No. 1: 0.7% (to Pistons)
- No. 2: 0.8% (to Pistons)
- No. 3: 1.0% (to Pistons)
- No. 12: 93.5%
- No. 13: 3.9%
- No. 14: <0.1%
- Los Angeles Clippers
- No. 1: 0.6%
- No. 2: 0.7%
- No. 3: 0.9%
- No. 13: 96.0%
- No. 14: 1.8%
- Denver Nuggets
- No. 1: 0.5%
- No. 2: 0.6%
- No. 3: 0.7%
- No. 14: 98.2%
Note: Because odds are rounded to nearest tenth, they may not always add up to exactly 100.0%.
Information from LotteryBucket.com was used in the creation of this post.
New York has to seriously think about moving that pick, they are almost guaranteed to pick in the 7-10 range. If they can’t get a Doncic or Mikal Bridges I don’t see anyone else worth drafting. Frank and KP are locked in at the 1 and 4, they’ve got Tim at the 2 and I don’t see a good enough center worth drafting here. Wendell will probably go before 7. New York needs to move the pick period.
It’s impossible for the Knicks to pick 7th or 8th. Do you know how to read? So saying they will pick 7-10 is idiotic. Not a surprise though based on the rest of your comment apparently you think players drafted 9th or 10th are never successful. LOL dumb
They are successful but how much is that going to move the needle for the Knicks in their rebuilding process? Isn’t the goal to have this team competing within 2 years? They’ve got Frank and Porzingis already, I don’t see anyone they can get in that range who will make the Knicks that much better.
They can only pick at 9-12 or inside the top 3. That’s because their slot is at 9 and you can only jump up into the top 3, not just a few spots up.
The Knicks getting Doncic would be funny, b/c I think he’ll be a bust and they will end up with 2 terrible guards and the Unicorn will probably leave.
If you think Doncic will be a bust you need to go do some research on the dude.
Dionis you can’t even read. Although I have to say, I am looking forward to seeing if your LeBron to Charlotte prediction comes through.
You saying that “you” don’t see anyone worth drafting at #9 overall is irrelevant. There have been plenty of very good players drafted 9th or later.
Cavs have an 89% chance of landing 8 or 9.
My order, for Cavs: 1Bagley, 2Ayton, 3Jackson, 4Alexander, 5Carter, 6Mikal B, 7Doncic, 8Bamba, 9Williams, 10Young, (SFs: 11Porter, 12Miles B, 13Musa, 14Knox), no to Sexton.
If Lebron leaves, small forwards rate higher. Porter #3, Miles B ahead of Bamba.
Obviously I am pushing Alexander and centers. Good veteran centers are available though.