2021/22 NBA Over/Unders: Southwest Division

The 2021/22 NBA regular season will get underway in just over three weeks, so it’s time to start getting serious about predictions for the upcoming campaign and to resume an annual Hoops Rumors tradition.

With the help of the lines from a handful of sports betting sites, including Bovada and BetOnline, we’re running through the predicted win totals for each of the NBA’s 30 teams, by division. In a series of team-by-team polls, you’ll get the chance to weigh in on whether you think those forecasts are too optimistic or too pessimistic.

In 2020/21, our voters went 17-13 on their over/under picks. Can you top that in ’21/22?

As a reminder, the NBA played a 72-game schedule in 2020/21, so a team that won 41 games last year finished with a 41-31 record. This year, a club that wins 41 games would be a .500 team (41-41). For added clarity, we’ve noted the record that each team would have to achieve to finish “over” its projected win total.

We’ll turn today to the Southeast division…

Dallas Mavericks

• 2020/21 record: 42-30
• Over/under for 2021/22: 48.5 wins (49-33)
• Major offseason moves:
  • Added: Reggie Bullock, Sterling Brown, Frank Ntilikina, Moses Brown
  • Lost: Josh Richardson, J.J. Redick, Nicolo Melli, Tyler Bey

Memphis Grizzlies

• 2020/21 record: 38-34
• Over/under for 2021/22: 41.5 wins (42-40)
• Major offseason moves:
  • Added: Steven Adams, Ziaire Williams, Santi Aldama, Jarrett Culver, Kris Dunn, Sam Merrill
  • Lost: Jonas Valanciunas, Grayson Allen, Justise Winslow, Tim Frazier, Jontay Porter

New Orleans Pelicans

• 2020/21 record: 31-41
• Over/under for 2021/22: 39.5 wins (40-42)
• Major offseason moves:
  • Added: Jonas Valanciunas, Devonte’ Graham, Tomas Satoransky, Garrett Temple, Trey Murphy, Herb Jones
  • Lost: Lonzo Ball, Steven Adams, Eric Bledsoe, James Johnson, Wesley Iwundu

San Antonio Spurs

• 2020/21 record: 33-39
• Over/under for 2021/22: 29.5 wins (30-52)
  
• Major offseason moves:
  • Added: Thaddeus Young, Doug McDermott, Zach Collins, Joshua Primo, Bryn Forbes, Al-Farouq Aminu, Jock Landale
  • Lost: DeMar DeRozan, Patty Mills, Rudy Gay, Trey Lyles, Gorgui Dieng, DaQuan Jeffries

Houston Rockets

• 2020/21 record: 17-55
• Over/under for 2021/22: 26.5 wins (27-55)
  
• Major offseason moves:
  • Added: Daniel Theis, Jalen Green, Alperen Sengun, Usman Garuba, Josh Christopher
  • Lost: Kelly Olynyk, Sterling Brown, Avery Bradley, D.J. Wilson

Previous voting results:

Atlantic:

• Brooklyn Nets (55.5 wins): Over (63.2%)
• Philadelphia 76ers (51.5 wins): Under (70.0%)
• Boston Celtics (46.5 wins): Over (58.1%)
• New York Knicks (42.5 wins): Over (65.1%)
• Toronto Raptors (36.5 wins): Under (50.6%)

Central:

• Milwaukee Bucks (54.5 wins): Over (63.7%)
• Indiana Pacers (42.5 wins): Under (58.2%)
• Chicago Bulls (42.5 wins): Over (68.3%)
• Cleveland Cavaliers (26.5 wins): Under (50.5%)
• Detroit Pistons (25.5 wins): Under (52.6%)

Southeast:

• Miami Heat (48.5 wins): Under (53.6%)
• Atlanta Hawks (47.5 wins): Over (62.2%)
• Charlotte Hornets (38.5 wins): Over (54.5%)
• Washington Wizards (34.5 wins): Over (54.9%)
• Orlando Magic (22.5 wins): Under (53.8%)

Northwest:

• Utah Jazz (52.5 wins): Over (61.7%)
• Denver Nuggets (48.5 wins): Over (69.3%)
• Portland Trail Blazers (44.5 wins): Over (53.0%)
• Minnesota Timberwolves (34.5 wins): Under (57.1%)
• Oklahoma City Thunder (23.5 wins): Under (65.0%)

Pacific:

• Los Angeles Lakers (52.5 wins): Over (58.2%)
• Phoenix Suns (51.5 wins): Over (58.6%)
• Golden State Warriors (48.5 wins): Over (50.3%)
• Los Angeles Clippers (43.5 wins): Over (51.2%)
• Sacramento Kings (36.5 wins): Under (66.0%)