The NBA will be using its revamped lottery format for the fourth time this year. The new format, instituted in 2019, smoothed out the odds for top picks, reducing the league’s worst team’s chance of getting the No. 1 selection from 25.0% to 14.0%.
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The changes have had an immediate impact. In 2019, the Pelicans and Grizzlies were tied for the seventh-best lottery odds, but jumped up to No. 1 and 2, respectively, allowing them to land Zion Williamson and Ja Morant.
In 2020, the Bulls and Hornets landed picks in the top four despite entering lottery night with the seventh- and eighth-best odds, respectively. That stroke of luck significantly changed the long-term outlook in Charlotte, where the Hornets were able to land LaMelo Ball with the No. 3 pick.
2021 was the most by-the-numbers of the three lotteries under the new format, but the Cavaliers and Raptors moved into the top four after entering lottery night with the fifth- and seventh-best odds and each landed a player who looks like a long-term franchise cornerstone (and a potential Rookie of the Year winner): Evan Mobley and Scottie Barnes.
This year’s draft lottery will take place on Tuesday, May 17.
With the help of data from Tankathon.com – which is worth checking out for all sorts of draft-related info – the draft lottery odds for 2022 are listed in the chart below.
The numbers in the chart indicate percentages, so the Rockets‘ pick, for instance, has a 14% chance of landing the No. 1 pick and a 47.9% chance of ending up at No. 5. If a team’s odds are listed as >0, that percentage is below 0.1%.
Here’s the full chart (if you’re on our mobile site or app and can’t see the whole thing, try turning your phone sideways):
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 14 | 13.4 | 12.7 | 12 | 47.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ORL | 14 | 13.4 | 12.7 | 12 | 27.8 | 20 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| DET | 14 | 13.4 | 12.7 | 12 | 14.8 | 26 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| OKC | 12.5 | 12.2 | 11.9 | 11.5 | 7.2 | 25.7 | 16.7 | 2.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| IND | 10.5 | 10.5 | 10.6 | 10.5 | 2.2 | 19.6 | 26.7 | 8.7 | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | – |
| POR | 9 | 9.2 | 9.4 | 9.6 | – | 8.6 | 29.8 | 20.6 | 3.7 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
| SAC | 7.5 | 7.8 | 8.1 | 8.5 | – | – | 19.7 | 34.1 | 12.9 | 1.3 | >0 | – | – | – |
| LAL* | 6 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 7.2 | – | – | – | 34.5 | 32.1 | 6.7 | 0.4 | >0 | – | – |
| SAS | 4.5 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 5.7 | – | – | – | – | 50.7 | 25.9 | 3 | 0.1 | >0 | – |
| WAS | 3 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | 65.9 | 19 | 1.2 | >0 | >0 |
| NYK | 2 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 77.6 | 12.6 | 0.4 | >0 |
| LAC* | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 86.1 | 6.7 | 0.1 |
| CHA | 1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 92.9 | 2.3 |
| CLE | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 97.6 |
Notes:
- The Lakers‘ pick will be sent to the Pelicans if it lands in the top 10 or to the Grizzlies if it lands outside of the top 10.
- The Clippers‘ pick will be sent to the Thunder.
We’ll publish the full pre-lottery 2022 draft order later today, once the NBA conducts a series of tiebreakers for the teams that finished the season with identical records.
The Lakers!!!!
As a warrior fan for 35 years this used to be one of my favorite events of the postseason LOL. Aside from this current run there was maybe 2007 and then the Run TMC years where I had to make plans to watch the playoffs lol.
Other than those couple of seasons it was all about Joe Smith, Adonal Foyle, Patrick O’Bryant and Todd Fuller. Mustn’t forget superstars such as Ike Diogu, Mike Dunleavy Jr, Juri Welsh and Michael Pietrus. Oh yes, the glory of the Warriors wonderful past.
According to rumors
Lakers don’t want to trade Westbrook for Gordon Hayward
How about Hornets add a. Future draft pick for Westbrook?
Lakers really need draft assets
My question is why would the Hornets trade for Westbrook at all? They already have LaMelo and Rozier, and they’re worse without Hayward. Barely above .500 without him. I get that MJ loves Westbrook, but it’s almost certainly a bad idea.
Lakers want both Rozier and Hayward.
Should Hornets add a future first round pick for Westbrook? Lakers fans.
One year ago, Rockets asked at least 2 first round picks from Knicks for overpaid Oladipo.
I’m starting to think that the Grizz won’t be getting the Lakers first rounder this year… (laffing).
I mean, there’s still 4/10 of a percent chance, so that’s something…