2022/23 NBA Over/Unders: Northwest Division
The 2022/23 NBA regular season will tip off next month, so we’re getting serious about predictions for the upcoming campaign and continuing an annual Hoops Rumors tradition.
With the help of the lines from a handful of sports betting sites – including Bovada, BetOnline, and Betway – we’re running through the predicted win totals for each of the NBA’s 30 teams, by division. In a series of team-by-team polls, you’ll get the chance to weigh in on whether you think those forecasts are too optimistic or too pessimistic.
In 2021/22, our voters went 16-14 on their over/under picks. Can you top that in ’22/23?
We’ll wrap up our series today with the Northwest division…
Denver Nuggets
- 2021/22 record: 48-34
- Over/under for 2022/23: 51.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
How many games will the Nuggets win in 2022/23?
-
Over 51.5 58% (275)
-
Under 51.5 42% (198)
Total votes: 473
Minnesota Timberwolves
- 2021/22 record: 46-36
- Over/under for 2022/23: 49.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
How many games will the Timberwolves win in 2022/23?
-
Over 49.5 65% (355)
-
Under 49.5 35% (194)
Total votes: 549
Portland Trail Blazers
- 2021/22 record: 27-55
- Over/under for 2022/23: 40.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
How many games will the Trail Blazers win in 2022/23?
-
Under 40.5 57% (281)
-
Over 40.5 43% (212)
Total votes: 493
Utah Jazz
- 2021/22 record: 49-33
- Over/under for 2022/23: 25.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Collin Sexton, Lauri Markkanen, Malik Beasley, Jarred Vanderbilt, Talen Horton-Tucker, Ochai Agbaji, Walker Kessler, Stanley Johnson, Simone Fontecchio, Leandro Bolmaro
- Note: The Jazz are carrying 17 players with guaranteed salaries, so it’s possible not all of these players will make the regular season roster.
- Lost: Rudy Gobert, Donovan Mitchell, Royce O’Neale, Danuel House, Hassan Whiteside, Juancho Hernangomez, Eric Paschall, Trent Forrest
- Added: Collin Sexton, Lauri Markkanen, Malik Beasley, Jarred Vanderbilt, Talen Horton-Tucker, Ochai Agbaji, Walker Kessler, Stanley Johnson, Simone Fontecchio, Leandro Bolmaro
How many games will the Jazz win in 2022/23?
-
Under 25.5 65% (326)
-
Over 25.5 35% (172)
Total votes: 498
Oklahoma City Thunder
- 2021/22 record: 24-58
- Over/under for 2022/23: 22.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Ousmane Dieng, Jaylin Williams
- Note: Holmgren will miss the 2022/23 season due to a right foot injury.
- Lost: Isaiah Roby
- Note: The Thunder are carrying 18 players with fully or partially guaranteed salaries, so they’ll likely part with three more players from last season’s roster.
- Added: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Ousmane Dieng, Jaylin Williams
How many games will the Thunder win in 2022/23?
-
Over 22.5 54% (246)
-
Under 22.5 46% (208)
Total votes: 454
Previous voting results:
- Boston Celtics (55.5 wins): Under (56.1%)
- Brooklyn Nets (51.5 wins): Under (64.5%)
- Philadelphia 76ers (50.5 wins): Over (76.1%)
- Toronto Raptors (46.5 wins): Over (65.7%)
- New York Knicks (40.5 wins): Under (63.0%)
- Milwaukee Bucks (52.5 wins): Over (75.5%)
- Cleveland Cavaliers (47.5 wins): Over (73.4%)
- Chicago Bulls (44.5 wins): Over (51.6%)
- Detroit Pistons (28.5 wins): Over (51.6%)
- Indiana Pacers (23.5 wins): Under (62.8%)
- Miami Heat (50.5 wins): Under (56.6%)
- Atlanta Hawks (46.5 wins): Over (53.6%)
- Charlotte Hornets (36.5 wins): Under (63.0%)
- Washington Wizards (35.5 wins): Under (50.8%)
- Orlando Magic (26.5 wins): Over (55.3%)
- Golden State Warriors (53.5 wins): Over (69.2%)
- Phoenix Suns (53.5 wins): Over (60.2%)
- Los Angeles Clippers (52.5 wins): Over (58.0%)
- Los Angeles Lakers (45.5 wins): Under (66.6%)
- Sacramento Kings (34.5 wins): Over (62.0%)
- Memphis Grizzlies (49.5 wins): Over (68.7%)
- Dallas Mavericks (48.5 wins): Over (63.7%)
- New Orleans Pelicans (44.5 wins): Over (61.2%)
- Houston Rockets (24.5 wins): Under (61.8%)
- San Antonio Spurs (23.5 wins): Under (67.5%)
Community Shootaround: Charlotte Hornets
When I previewed the Hornets‘ offseason in May, I speculated that it would be a busy summer in Charlotte, with James Borrego‘s ouster as the team’s head coach representing the first of many personnel changes likely to occur off and on the court.
As I outlined at the time, the decision to dismiss Borrego suggested that Hornets leadership wasn’t satisfied with the team’s gradual improvement (from 23-42 to 33-39 to 43-39 over the last three seasons) and was preparing to take a big swing to ensure the club was closer to contention in 2022/23.
Instead, Charlotte has been one of the least active teams of the offseason.
The Hornets have inked just one veteran free agent to a standard contract, re-signing RFA forward Cody Martin. They made two trades, but neither brought back a veteran player. The only new player the club has added to its projected 15-man regular season roster so far is former Duke center Mark Williams, the No. 15 overall pick in the draft, who seems unlikely to play a huge role as a rookie.
There are a few possible explanations for the Hornets’ relative inactivity. One is that the club simply hasn’t found many opportunities it liked and continues to bide its time, waiting for an opportunity to make a splash on the trade market. Charlotte was, after all, one of the potential suitors linked to Donovan Mitchell before he was dealt to Cleveland.
Another explanation is that the Hornets aren’t prepared to make major changes to their roster before they see what new head coach Steve Clifford can get out of the current group. If the front office believes that Borrego simply wasn’t maximizing the talent on the roster, it makes sense not to do anything drastic until getting a sense of how the team looks under Clifford.
A third possible explanation is that the domestic violence charges levied against restricted free agent Miles Bridges forced the Hornets to rethink their entire approach to the offseason.
Bridges was one of Charlotte’s two most important players last season, along with LaMelo Ball. Now that his NBA future is up in the air as his legal case plays out, the Hornets may have simply decided that it’s not in their best interest to go all-in on their push for the playoffs, given the extent to which Bridges’ potential absence limits the team’s ceiling.
There’s still a good deal of talent on this Charlotte roster. Ball is a rising star; Gordon Hayward and Terry Rozier are quality starters; Cody Martin, P.J. Washington, Kelly Oubre, and Mason Plumlee are solid rotation pieces; James Bouknight, Kai Jones, Jalen McDaniels, and Williams are among the intriguing youngsters who could prove capable of greater roles.
But Bridges will be a big loss if he doesn’t re-sign or if he misses most or all of the season, either on administrative leave or serving a suspension. On top of that, the Hornets are still missing an impact player in the frontcourt who is capable of anchoring the defense and being a pick-and-roll partner to Ball on offense — Williams has the potential to become that player, but the 20-year-old can’t be relied upon to be that guy right away.
We want to know what you think. What’s the next move in Charlotte? Has Bridges played his last game in a Hornets uniform? How can the team continue to make forward progress after making the play-in game in each of the last two seasons?
Head to the comment section below to weigh in with your thoughts!
Players Who Have Signed Designated Veteran Contracts
When the NBA and the Players’ Association introduced the Designated Veteran contract in the 2017 Collective Bargaining Agreement, the goal was to help teams keep their very best players by giving those clubs the unique ability to offer more lucrative contracts to stars who met certain performance-related criteria.
The Designated Veteran rule allows a player with between seven and nine years of NBA experience – who would normally qualify for a starting salary worth 30% of the NBA’s salary cap on a new free agent contract or extension – to become eligible for a salary worth up to 35% of the cap if he meets one of the following requirements:
- He was named to an All-NBA team in the most recent season, or in two of the last three seasons.
- He was named NBA MVP in any of the three most recent seasons.
- He was named NBA Defensive Player of the Year in the most recent season, or in two of the last three seasons.
The new rule has been somewhat hit and miss. In some cases, it has worked exactly as intended — Warriors guard Stephen Curry, for instance, signed the very first Designated Veteran free agent contract and earned every penny of it, making four All-NBA teams, winning two championships, and earning his first NBA Finals MVP award over the life of the five-year deal.
The ability to offer a Designated Veteran extension also allowed non-marquee franchises like the Bucks and Nuggets to retain their superstars (Giannis Antetokounmpo and Nikola Jokic) with minimal drama.
In other cases, the Designated Veteran rule has been less effective. Players like Paul George (Pacers), Kawhi Leonard (Spurs), and Anthony Davis (Pelicans), among others, were willing to pass on super-max opportunities with smaller-market clubs in order to push for trades elsewhere.
Additionally, two of the first Designated Veteran extensions signed by star players turned sour well before they expired — John Wall was kept away from the team during the fourth year of his super-max deal, then was bought out of the fifth year by the Rockets, while Lakers guard Russell Westbrook has become impossible to trade without sweeteners as he enters the final year of his own DVE.
Although the Designated Veteran contracts signed to date have been something of a mixed bag, there has been no indication that the NBA or NBPA will be looking to remove the rule in the next Collective Bargaining Agreement. It seems safe to assume it’s here to stay.
Here’s the full list – as of September 2022 – of the players who have signed Designated Veteran contracts since they were introduced in 2017:
2017
Stephen Curry (Warriors)
- Free agent contract. Five years, $201,158,790. Began in 2017/18.
- Qualified by winning Most Valuable Player award in 2015.
- Russell Westbrook (Thunder)
- Contract extension. Five years, $206,794,070. Began in 2018/19.
- Qualified by making All-NBA teams in 2015 and 2016.
- James Harden (Rockets)
- Contract extension. Four years, $171,131,520. Began in 2019/20.
- Qualified by making All-NBA team in 2017.
- John Wall (Wizards)
- Contract extension. Four years, $171,131,520. Began in 2019/20.
- Qualified by making All-NBA team in 2017.
2018
- None
2019
- Damian Lillard (Trail Blazers)
- Contract extension. Four years, $176,265,152. Began in 2021/22.
- Qualified by making All-NBA team in 2019.
2020
- Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)
- Contract extension. Five years, $228,200,420. Began in 2021/22.
- Qualified by winning Most Valuable Player award in 2019.
- Rudy Gobert (Jazz)
- Contract extension. Five years, $205,000,000. Began in 2021/22.
- Note: Gobert’s starting salary was about 31.4% of the 2021/22 cap, rather than 35%. That makes it a Designated Veteran contract, but not a full super-max deal.
- Qualified by winning Defensive Player of the Year award in 2018 and 2019.
- Contract extension. Five years, $205,000,000. Began in 2021/22.
2021
- Joel Embiid (Sixers)
- Contract extension. Four years, $213,280,928. Began in 2023/24.
- Qualified by making All-NBA team in 2021.
2022
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
- Contract extension. Five years, $276,122,630. Began in 2023/24.
- Qualified by winning Most Valuable Player award in 2021.
- Devin Booker (Suns)
- Contract extension. Four years, $220,441,984. Began in 2024/25.
- Qualified by making All-NBA team in 2022.
- Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves)
- Contract extension. Four years, $220,441,984. Began in 2024/25.
- Qualified by making All-NBA team in 2022.
2023
- Jaylen Brown (Celtics)
- Contract extension. Five years, $285,393,640. Began in 2024/25.
- Qualified by making All-NBA team in 2023.
2024
- Jayson Tatum (Celtics)
- Contract extension. Five years, $313,933,410. Began in 2025/26.
- Qualified by making All-NBA teams in 2022 and 2023.
2025
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
- Contract extension. Four years, $285,405,792 (projected). Begins in 2027/28.
- Qualified by making All-NBA teams in 2023 and 2024.
2022/23 NBA Over/Unders: Atlantic Division
The 2022/23 NBA regular season will tip off next month, so it’s time to start getting serious about predictions for the upcoming campaign and to continue an annual Hoops Rumors tradition.
With the help of the lines from a handful of sports betting sites – including Bovada, BetOnline, and Betway – we’re running through the predicted win totals for each of the NBA’s 30 teams, by division. In a series of team-by-team polls, you’ll get the chance to weigh in on whether you think those forecasts are too optimistic or too pessimistic.
In 2021/22, our voters went 16-14 on their over/under picks. Can you top that in ’22/23?
We’ll keep our series going today with the Atlantic division…
Boston Celtics
- 2021/22 record: 51-31
- Over/under for 2022/23: 55.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Malcolm Brogdon, Danilo Gallinari, Noah Vonleh, Bruno Caboclo
- Note: Gallinari tore his ACL and is expected to miss most or all of the 2022/23 season. Vonleh and Caboclo are among a series of players expected to compete for roster spots; the others haven’t yet officially signed.
- Lost: Daniel Theis, Aaron Nesmith, Juwan Morgan, Nik Stauskas, Malik Fitts
- Added: Malcolm Brogdon, Danilo Gallinari, Noah Vonleh, Bruno Caboclo
How many games will the Celtics win in 2022/23?
-
Under 55.5 56% (367)
-
Over 55.5 44% (287)
Total votes: 654
Brooklyn Nets
- 2021/22 record: 44-38
- Over/under for 2022/23: 51.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Royce O’Neale, T.J. Warren, Markieff Morris, Edmond Sumner, Yuta Watanabe
- Lost: Bruce Brown, Andre Drummond, LaMarcus Aldridge, Blake Griffin, Goran Dragic
- Note: The Nets are also expected to have Ben Simmons available after he missed the entire 2021/22 season.
How many games will the Nets win in 2022/23?
-
Under 51.5 65% (398)
-
Over 51.5 35% (219)
Total votes: 617
Philadelphia 76ers
- 2021/22 record: 51-31
- Over/under for 2022/23: 50.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
How many games will the Sixers win in 2022/23?
-
Over 50.5 76% (461)
-
Under 50.5 24% (145)
Total votes: 606
Toronto Raptors
- 2021/22 record: 48-34
- Over/under for 2022/23: 46.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Otto Porter Jr., Christian Koloko, Juancho Hernangomez, D.J. Wilson, Josh Jackson
- Note: Wilson and Jackson don’t have fully guaranteed contracts and may not make the regular season roster.
- Lost: Svi Mykhailiuk, Yuta Watanabe, Armoni Brooks, Isaac Bonga
- Added: Otto Porter Jr., Christian Koloko, Juancho Hernangomez, D.J. Wilson, Josh Jackson
How many games will the Raptors win in 2022/23?
-
Over 46.5 66% (401)
-
Under 46.5 34% (209)
Total votes: 610
New York Knicks
- 2021/22 record: 37-45
- Over/under for 2022/23: 40.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Jalen Brunson, Isaiah Hartenstein
- Lost: Alec Burks, Nerlens Noel, Kemba Walker, Taj Gibson, Ryan Arcidiacono
How many games will the Knicks win in 2022/23?
-
Under 40.5 63% (411)
-
Over 40.5 37% (241)
Total votes: 652
Previous voting results:
- Milwaukee Bucks (52.5 wins): Over (75.5%)
- Cleveland Cavaliers (47.5 wins): Over (73.4%)
- Chicago Bulls (44.5 wins): Over (51.6%)
- Detroit Pistons (28.5 wins): Over (51.6%)
- Indiana Pacers (23.5 wins): Under (62.8%)
- Miami Heat (50.5 wins): Under (56.6%)
- Atlanta Hawks (46.5 wins): Over (53.6%)
- Charlotte Hornets (36.5 wins): Under (63.0%)
- Washington Wizards (35.5 wins): Under (50.8%)
- Orlando Magic (26.5 wins): Over (55.3%)
- Golden State Warriors (53.5 wins): Over (69.2%)
- Phoenix Suns (53.5 wins): Over (60.2%)
- Los Angeles Clippers (52.5 wins): Over (58.0%)
- Los Angeles Lakers (45.5 wins): Under (66.6%)
- Sacramento Kings (34.5 wins): Over (62.0%)
- Memphis Grizzlies (49.5 wins): Over (68.7%)
- Dallas Mavericks (48.5 wins): Over (63.7%)
- New Orleans Pelicans (44.5 wins): Over (61.2%)
- Houston Rockets (24.5 wins): Under (61.8%)
- San Antonio Spurs (23.5 wins): Under (67.5%)
Updated Maximum, Minimum, MLE, BAE Projections For 2023/24
The NBA issued a new salary cap projection for the 2023/24 season on Friday, increasing its estimate for next year’s cap to $134MM.
There are a number of salary figures directly connected to the cap, including the league-wide maximum and minimum salaries, the mid-level exception, and the bi-annual exception. Those figures increase or decrease each year by the same percentage the cap does.
The NBA’s new cap projection meant we had a series of ’23/24 projections of our own in need of updating. Here are the links to those updated numbers:
Maximum salary projections for 2023/24
These are the projected earnings for players who signed maximum salary extensions that will go into effect in 2023, including Ja Morant, Zion Williamson, Nikola Jokic, and Joel Embiid, among others. Jokic’s record-setting super-max extension, previously projected to be worth just shy of $270MM over five years, is now on track to be worth $272MM+.
Minimum salary projections for 2023/24
These are the minimum salaries that a player who signs a standard contract in 2023/24 will be eligible to earn. Next year’s rookie minimum is currently projected to exceed $1.1MM, while the minimum salary for a veteran with at least 10 years of NBA experience will surpass $3MM for the first time in league history.
Mid-level, bi-annual projections for 2023/24
These projections cover the various mid-level exceptions available to teams, including the full (non-taxpayer) mid-level exception, the taxpayer version of the MLE, and the “room” exception for teams that use cap space. A player who signs a four-year contract worth the full mid-level next summer would be in line to receive nearly $49MM over the life of the deal.
The bi-annual exception is also included in these projections — it projects to be worth a record $4,448,000 in ’23/24.
These projections can be found anytime on the right-hand sidebar of our desktop site under “Hoops Rumors Features” or on the “Features” page in our mobile menu. They’ll be updated again later this season if the NBA issues another new cap projection.
2022/23 NBA Over/Unders: Pacific Division
The 2022/23 NBA regular season will tip off next month, so it’s time to start getting serious about predictions for the upcoming campaign and to continue an annual Hoops Rumors tradition.
With the help of the lines from a handful of sports betting sites – including Bovada, BetOnline, and Betway – we’re running through the predicted win totals for each of the NBA’s 30 teams, by division. In a series of team-by-team polls, you’ll get the chance to weigh in on whether you think those forecasts are too optimistic or too pessimistic.
In 2021/22, our voters went 16-14 on their over/under picks. Can you top that in ’22/23?
We’ll keep our series going today with the Pacific division…
Golden State Warriors
- 2021/22 record: 53-29
- Over/under for 2022/23: 53.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Donte DiVincenzo, JaMychal Green, Patrick Baldwin, Ryan Rollins
- Lost: Gary Payton II, Otto Porter Jr., Juan Toscano-Anderson, Nemanja Bjelica, Damion Lee
- Note: Andre Iguodala continues to weigh whether to re-sign with the Warriors or retire.
How many games will the Warriors win in 2022/23?
-
Over 53.5 69% (502)
-
Under 53.5 31% (224)
Total votes: 726
Phoenix Suns
- 2021/22 record: 64-18
- Over/under for 2022/23: 53.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Josh Okogie, Damion Lee, Jock Landale
- Lost: JaVale McGee, Aaron Holiday, Elfrid Payton, Ish Wainright
How many games will the Suns win in 2022/23?
-
Over 53.5 60% (408)
-
Under 53.5 40% (270)
Total votes: 678
Los Angeles Clippers
- 2021/22 record: 42-40
- Over/under for 2022/23: 52.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: John Wall
- Lost: Isaiah Hartenstein, Rodney Hood
- Note: The Clippers will also have Kawhi Leonard back after he missed the entire 2021/22 season due to a torn ACL.
How many games will the Clippers win in 2022/23?
-
Over 52.5 58% (381)
-
Under 52.5 42% (276)
Total votes: 657
Los Angeles Lakers
- 2021/22 record: 33-49
- Over/under for 2022/23: 45.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
How many games will the Lakers win in 2022/23?
-
Under 45.5 67% (554)
-
Over 45.5 33% (278)
Total votes: 832
Sacramento Kings
- 2021/22 record: 30-52
- Over/under for 2022/23: 34.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Keegan Murray, Malik Monk, Kevin Huerter, Sam Merrill, Matthew Dellavedova, Chima Moneke, DJ Steward
- Note: Merrill, Dellavedova, Moneke, and Steward have partially guaranteed salaries — not all of them will make the Kings’ regular season roster. KZ Okpala, Quinn Cook, and Kent Bazemore are also expected to be signed to compete for 15-man roster spots.
- Lost: Donte DiVincenzo, Justin Holiday, Maurice Harkless, Jeremy Lamb, Damian Jones, Josh Jackson
- Added: Keegan Murray, Malik Monk, Kevin Huerter, Sam Merrill, Matthew Dellavedova, Chima Moneke, DJ Steward
How many games will the Kings win in 2022/23?
-
Over 34.5 62% (420)
-
Under 34.5 38% (258)
Total votes: 678
Previous voting results:
- Milwaukee Bucks (52.5 wins): Over (75.5%)
- Cleveland Cavaliers (47.5 wins): Over (73.4%)
- Chicago Bulls (44.5 wins): Over (51.6%)
- Detroit Pistons (28.5 wins): Over (51.6%)
- Indiana Pacers (23.5 wins): Under (62.8%)
- Miami Heat (50.5 wins): Under (56.6%)
- Atlanta Hawks (46.5 wins): Over (53.6%)
- Charlotte Hornets (36.5 wins): Under (63.0%)
- Washington Wizards (35.5 wins): Under (50.8%)
- Orlando Magic (26.5 wins): Over (55.3%)
- Memphis Grizzlies (49.5 wins): Over (68.7%)
- Dallas Mavericks (48.5 wins): Over (63.7%)
- New Orleans Pelicans (44.5 wins): Over (61.2%)
- Houston Rockets (24.5 wins): Under (61.8%)
- San Antonio Spurs (23.5 wins): Under (67.5%)
Community Shootaround: Top Remaining Free Agents
As the NBA offseason nears its end, several players who ended last season under contract with a team remain available in free agency. Training camps are set to open across the league later this month, so time is running out for those players ahead of the regular season.
Teams are also still rounding out their training camp rosters by signing players to Exhibit 10, two-way and non-guaranteed deals. As shown by our current list of free agents, Dennis Schröder, Isaiah Thomas, Jeremy Lamb, Lou Williams, Lance Stephenson, Andre Iguodala, Carmelo Anthony, Blake Griffin, DeMarcus Cousins and Dwight Howard are among the veterans still available.
Of course, many of those players are likely nearing the end of their careers, including Williams (36 next month), Anthony (38) and Howard (36). Iguodala, 38, still hasn’t decided whether he’ll be playing or retiring. The Warriors likely value his leadership and experience more than his production at this point in his career.
The rest of those players are all 33 years old or younger, but several young players are also available. Schröder has a case to be the best option, averaging 13.5 points in 28.7 minutes per game with Boston and Houston last season. Plenty of the others hold All-Star experience.
We want to know what you think. Among the remaining free agents, who do you think is the most valuable one? Who could help a specific team this season, even if they wind up signing later in the year? Which players on our current list of free agents interest you the most? Take to the comments section below and voice your opinions!
Community Shootaround: In-Season Tournament
Details are still being worked out regarding a proposed in-season tournament, but the NBA appears to be targeting the 2023/24 season to implement it.
Shams Charania of The Athletic reported this week that the current framework has cup games being held throughout November with eight teams advancing to a single-elimination format that would be played in December. All the games would count toward the teams’ regular-season record, and the finalists would each have one extra game.
The tournament would have to be approved by the players union, and the two sides are continuing to sort through ideas. One important step will be deciding what incentives will be given to the final eight teams to make advancing worth the effort. Charania states that the Competition Committee discussed the tournament last September and considered prize money of $1MM per player for the winning team.
Commissioner Adam Silver has been a longtime proponent of the in-season tournament, believing it will eventually become as popular as a similar event in European soccer. Silver said in February that the players appear more receptive toward the idea after seeing the success of the play-in tournament that determines the final two playoff spots in each conference.
Mavericks owner Mark Cuban told NBA writer Marc Stein that he has changed his mind about the in-season tournament and is “actually open to it,” starting with next season (Twitter link). Cuban said the event “has a chance to build interest” for the league during the early part of its schedule.
Cuban also proposes expanding the draft from two to four rounds and giving the first pick in the two new rounds to the tournament winner (Twitter link). He would add the stipulation that those two picks cannot be traded. Like the tournament itself, any changes to the draft process would require NBPA approval.
We want to get your opinion. Do you believe an in-season tournament would cause more fans to pay attention to the NBA during the fall? And do you see merit in Cuban’s idea to expand the draft? Please leave your answers in the space below.
Community Shootaround: New York Knicks
After missing the playoffs for seven straight years, the Knicks had a surprising turnaround during the 2020/21 season under new head coach Tom Thibodeau, finishing with a 41-31 record, the No. 4 seed in the East. They ultimately fell to the Hawks in the first round, but it was still a successful season, particularly given the notable contributions from Julius Randle and RJ Barrett.
Randle was an All-Star for the first time, earned a berth on the All-NBA Second Team, and was voted Most Improved Player after averaging 24.1 PPG, 10.2 RPG and 6.0 APG on .456/.411/.811 shooting (.567 true shooting percentage). Barrett improved his numbers across the board, and his .441/.401/.746 (.535 true) shooting line was very encouraging for a player who had question marks about his jump shot.
New York had the NBA’s third-ranked defense in ’20/21, and its net rating was +2.4, ninth in the league. The team’s expected win total precisely matched its actual total, per Basketball-Reference.
Unfortunately, the Knicks had a disappointing follow-up season in ’21/22, finishing with a 37-45 record, the No. 11 seed in the East. Randle fell back to earth a bit and had several strange incidents both on and off the court, posting a disappointing .411/.308/.756 (.509 true) shooting line and lacking the same effort level defensively. Similarly, although his scoring average improved, Barrett’s efficiency got worse, posting a .408/.342/.714 (.511 true) shooting line.
The team’s offensive rating was nearly identical between the two seasons (110.6 vs. 110.4, both below average), but the defense fell to 11th in the league, with a -0.1 net rating. The Knicks’ actual win total was four less than expected, but even if they had won four more games, they still would’ve likely missed the play-in tournament (Atlanta and Charlotte both finished with 43 wins).
The Knicks’ front office recognized that they needed to make some changes and have had a busy offseason, trading away the No. 11 pick (Ousmane Dieng) to the Thunder to acquire three 2023 protected first-round picks, then flipping one (the Nuggets’ lottery-protected pick) and four second-rounders to the Hornets for the draft rights to No. 13 pick Jalen Duren.
New York then packaged Duren with Kemba Walker, receiving the Bucks’ 2025 top-four protected first-rounder from the Pistons in the deal. The Knicks also made a separate trade with Detroit, a salary dump move that sent Alec Burks, Nerlens Noel, a second-rounder and $6MM in cash in exchange for a heavily-protected second-rounder.
All of those moves gave the Knicks the cap room to sign free agent guard Jalen Brunson to a four-year, $104MM deal. They also signed center Isaiah Hartenstein to a two-year, $16MM deal and re-signed center Mitchell Robinson to a four-year, $60MM contract.
Obviously, they were heavily involved in trade rumors for three-time All-Star Donovan Mitchell, who landed in Cleveland, but ultimately didn’t make the deal and I’m not going to get into that much since it’s been written about ad nauseam.
Even though the Knicks have had an active summer, former Knicks head coach and current ESPN broadcaster Jeff Van Gundy doesn’t think the team has moved the needle much with its roster moves, per Marc Berman of The New York Post.
“The Knicks have good players, but you line it up against the competition in the East, and this roster is not on the same level,” Van Gundy told Berman in a phone interview. “They could shock the world and be a playoff team, but I look at the East and I’d have to say eight to 13 is where they should be predicted. They’re not even close to a lock for the play-in. A lot has to go right.”
According to Van Gundy, the Knicks lack the top-end talent to be considered a real threat. He suggests that a turnaround and play-in berth might hinge upon a bounce-back season from Randle.
That leads us to our question of the day. Do you agree with Van Gundy’s assessment that “a lot has to go right” for the Knicks to make the play-in tournament? Head to the comments section and let us know what you think.
2022/23 NBA Over/Unders: Central Division
The 2022/23 NBA regular season will tip off next month, so it’s time to start getting serious about predictions for the upcoming campaign and to continue an annual Hoops Rumors tradition.
With the help of the lines from a handful of sports betting sites – including Bovada, BetOnline, and Betway – we’re running through the predicted win totals for each of the NBA’s 30 teams, by division. In a series of team-by-team polls, you’ll get the chance to weigh in on whether you think those forecasts are too optimistic or too pessimistic.
In 2021/22, our voters went 16-14 on their over/under picks. Can you top that in ’22/23?
We’ll keep our series going today with the Central division…
Milwaukee Bucks
- 2021/22 record: 51-31
- Over/under for 2022/23: 52.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Joe Ingles, MarJon Beauchamp
- Lost: Rayjon Tucker
- Note: Jordan Nwora remains unsigned as a restricted free agent.
How many games will the Bucks win in 2022/23?
-
Over 52.5 75% (440)
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Under 52.5 25% (143)
Total votes: 583
Cleveland Cavaliers
- 2021/22 record: 44-38
- Over/under for 2022/23: 47.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Donovan Mitchell, Ricky Rubio, Raul Neto, Robin Lopez
- Lost: Collin Sexton, Lauri Markkanen, Rajon Rondo, Ed Davis, Moses Brown
How many games will the Cavaliers win in 2022/23?
-
Over 47.5 73% (442)
-
Under 47.5 27% (160)
Total votes: 602
Chicago Bulls
- 2021/22 record: 46-36
- Over/under for 2022/23: 44.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Andre Drummond, Goran Dragic, Dalen Terry
- Lost: Troy Brown, Tristan Thompson, Matt Thomas
How many games will the Bulls win in 2022/23?
-
Over 44.5 52% (308)
-
Under 44.5 48% (289)
Total votes: 597
Detroit Pistons
- 2021/22 record: 23-59
- Over/under for 2022/23: 28.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Jaden Ivey, Jalen Duren, Alec Burks, Nerlens Noel, Kevin Knox, Kemba Walker
- Note: Walker is unlikely to begin the season on the Pistons’ roster.
- Lost: Jerami Grant, Frank Jackson, Luka Garza, Carsen Edwards
- Added: Jaden Ivey, Jalen Duren, Alec Burks, Nerlens Noel, Kevin Knox, Kemba Walker
How many games will the Pistons win in 2022/23?
-
Over 28.5 52% (305)
-
Under 28.5 48% (286)
Total votes: 591
Indiana Pacers
- 2021/22 record: 25-57
- Over/under for 2022/23: 23.5 wins
- Major offseason moves:
- Added: Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Daniel Theis, Andrew Nembhard
- Lost: Malcolm Brogdon, T.J. Warren, Ricky Rubio, Duane Washington
- Note: Second-round pick Kendall Brown remains unsigned.
How many games will the Pacers win in 2022/23?
-
Under 23.5 63% (346)
-
Over 23.5 37% (205)
Total votes: 551
Previous voting results:
- Miami Heat (50.5 wins): Under (56.6%)
- Atlanta Hawks (46.5 wins): Over (53.6%)
- Charlotte Hornets (36.5 wins): Under (63.0%)
- Washington Wizards (35.5 wins): Under (50.8%)
- Orlando Magic (26.5 wins): Over (55.3%)
- Memphis Grizzlies (49.5 wins): Over (68.7%)
- Dallas Mavericks (48.5 wins): Over (63.7%)
- New Orleans Pelicans (44.5 wins): Over (61.2%)
- Houston Rockets (24.5 wins): Under (61.8%)
- San Antonio Spurs (23.5 wins): Under (67.5%)
