Poll: Who Should Be NBA Rookie Of The Year?
The Mavericks fell to 24-53 with a loss to Orlando on Friday night, but it was another huge night for No. 1 overall pick Cooper Flagg, who became the youngest player – and the first teenager – in NBA history to score at least 50 points in a game, per ESPN’s Tim MacMahon.
Flagg set a new career high by racking up 51 points on 19-of-30 shooting. The performance increased his full-season scoring average to 20.8 points per game, which ranks first among rookies. Among qualified rookies, he also ranks third in rebounds (6.6), second in assists (4.5), second in steals (1.2), and second in blocks (0.9) per game.
The 19-year-old is on track to become just the fourth rookie since the ABA-NBA merger in 1976 to average at least 20 points, six rebounds, and four assists per game, notes MacMahon. The other three are Michael Jordan, Larry Bird, and Luka Doncic.
“He should be Rookie of the Year. It’s unbelievable,” head coach Jason Kidd said of Flagg. “The country is not watching the same thing that we get to watch on a daily basis. The things that he’s done, he’s in rare air. He’s with the GOAT when you talk about MJ and what he did in his rookie year — and as a teenager.”
However, Flagg isn’t the current frontrunner for Rookie of the Year recognition. That honor belongs to his former college teammate Kon Knueppel, who earned 80 of 100 first-place votes in a Rookie of the Year straw poll recently conducted by Tim Bontemps of ESPN (Flagg received the other 20 first-place votes).
Knueppel, who has played 12 more games and 227 more total minutes than his former Duke co-star, has averaged 18.8 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 3.4 assists in 31.5 minutes per contest as a rookie for the Hornets.
Two major factors have given Knueppel the edge over Flagg in the eyes of many voters. For one, he’s having the best shooting season of any rookie in NBA history. The fourth overall picks leads the NBA with 264 made three-pointers and is knocking down 43.1% of his attempts, which also puts him among the league leaders in three-point percentage. Flagg isn’t having a bad shooting season – he has made 51.8% of his two-pointers – but he has converted just 29.3% of his shots from beyond the arc.
Additionally, while the Hornets are hardly a juggernaut, the emergence of the young squad has been one of the most fun NBA stories of the last few months. Charlotte hasn’t made the playoffs since 2016 and got off to an 11-23 start this season, but has since improved its record to 42-36. The team, which currently holds the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference, has a real chance to end its postseason drought, and Knueppel has played a crucial role in that turnaround.
Flagg’s boosters would argue that it’s not his fault the banged-up Mavs essentially entered tank mode midway through the season and that he doesn’t have the same sort of supporting cast Knueppel does in Charlotte, where LaMelo Ball, Brandon Miller, and Miles Bridges are also having big years.
There’s even a recent precedent for a star rookie on a bad team winning Rookie of the Year over a fellow standout who had an important role on a playoff team — Victor Wembanyama of the 22-60 Spurs beat out Chet Holmgren of the 57-25 Spurs in 2024. But Wembanyama, who averaged over 20 points and 10 rebounds per game while leading the league in blocked shots, was even better two years ago than Flagg has been this season.
We want to know what you think. With apologies to VJ Edgecombe and a few other notable members of 2025’s draft class, Rookie of the Year has become a two-man race this season. So should Flagg or Knueppel win the award?
Vote in our poll and head to the comment section below to weigh in with your thoughts!
Who should be this season's NBA Rookie of the Year?
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Cooper Flagg (Mavericks) 50% (497)
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Kon Knueppel (Hornets) 50% (490)
Total votes: 987
Checking In On Playoff Picture, Expired 10-Day Contracts
Although we already know which 20 teams will be taking part in the NBA’s postseason, only seven of those clubs have officially clinched playoff spots, assuring themselves of a top-six finish in their respective conferences. The Pistons, Celtics, and Knicks have booked their tickets in the East, while the Thunder, Spurs, Lakers, and Nuggets have done so in the West.
Two more teams could secure top-six playoff spots on Thursday. According to the NBA (Twitter link), the Cavaliers will clinch a playoff berth with a win tonight in Golden State, while the Rockets will be assured of a playoff appearance if the Suns lose in Charlotte.
Although the Timberwolves can’t clinch their own playoff spot with a win tonight, they hold a 4.5-game lead over Phoenix for the No. 6 spot in the West, where we’re getting pretty close to the playoff and play-in fields being set. Barring a late-season collapse, Minnesota and Houston will almost certainly join Oklahoma City, San Antonio, the Lakers, and Denver as top-six seeds, leaving the Suns, Clippers, Trail Blazers, and Warriors to battle it out in the play-in tournament. Those last three teams are already locked into the play-in, though seeding remains up for grabs.
The most compelling remaining playoff race figures to be for the final guaranteed playoff spot(s) in the East. The Cavs, who could’ve clinched with a win on Tuesday or a Philadelphia loss on Wednesday, will undoubtedly secure their spot sooner or later, but the fifth and sixth seeds in the conference are far from settled. The No. 5 Hawks (44-33) are separated from the No. 10 Heat (40-37) by just four games, with the Sixers (42-34), Raptors (42-34), Hornets (40-36), and Magic (40-36) also battling to finish in the top six — or at least to take part in the No. 7 vs. No. 8 play-in game, which would guarantee them two chances to make the playoffs.
While none of those Eastern teams is locked into the play-in yet, blowout home losses on Wednesday have made it increasingly difficult for Orlando and Miami to claw their way into the top six. Conversely, Atlanta strengthened its hold on the No. 5 seed with an impressive win over the Magic. The Hawks have now won 17 of their last 19 games.
In other housekeeping news, a total of four 10-day contracts expired overnight on Wednesday: Bez Mbeng (Jazz), DeJon Jarreau (Grizzlies), Tyler Burton (Grizzlies), and Markelle Fultz (Raptors).
Reporting has already indicated that the Jazz intend to re-sign Mbeng for the rest of the season, but that’s not an option for the Grizzlies with Jarreau or Burton unless they waive someone from their 15-man roster, since they were on hardship deals and aren’t eligible to sign another 10-day contract with Memphis. The Grizzlies remain eligible to re-add two players in those hardship slots, but barring more significant roster changes, they’ll likely have to bring in a pair of newcomers to replace Jarreau and Burton.
The Raptors, meanwhile, have the ability to re-sign Fultz, since they now have an open 15-man roster spot and the former No. 1 overall pick has only received a single 10-day deal with the team. He did appear in five games during his first 10 days with the club, but played very limited minutes and wasn’t all that effective (four total points on 2-of-11 shooting in 36 minutes).
The expectation is that the Raptors will sign someone else to replace Fultz, according to Michael Grange of Sportsnet.ca, who identifies Raptors 905 sharpshooter Tyreke Key as a potential candidate for a 10-day deal. If Toronto signs Key or someone else to a 10-day contract on Thursday, it would expire next Saturday night, allowing the team to promote one of its two-way players to the standard roster ahead of the postseason next Sunday.
Since there are only 11 days left in the season, time is quickly running out for teams to sign players to standard 10-day contracts. Starting on Friday, a team with an open roster spot would simply be signing a player to a rest-of-season deal. However, hardship “10-day” signings are still permitted through the end of the season. They would expire after the regular season finale, making those players free agents immediately.
Several more 10-day contracts, including Omer Yurtseven‘s with the Warriors, Malachi Smith‘s with the Nets, and Charles Bassey‘s with the Celtics, will end this weekend. Boston will have to either re-sign Bassey or bring in a new 14th man on Saturday after the center’s second 10-day deal expires on Friday night, since the Celtics aren’t permitted to carry fewer than 14 players on standard contracts for a full day for the rest of the season.
Our 10-day tracker shows the full list of active deals.
Hoops Rumors Glossary: Non-Bird Rights
Players and teams have to meet certain criteria to earn Bird rights and Early Bird rights, but Non-Bird rights are practically a given.
They apply to a player who has spent a single season or less with his team, as long as he finishes the season on an NBA roster and is on a standard contract (rather than a hardship or 10-day deal). Even a player who signs a rest-of-season contract right before the regular season finale and spends just a single day with his club would have Non-Bird rights in the offseason.
Teams can also claim Non-Bird rights on Early Bird free agents if they renounce them. The primary motivator to do so would be to allow the team to sign the free agent to a one-year contract or a one-year deal with a second-year option, a move that’s not permitted via Early Bird rights.
Teams are eligible to sign their own free agents using the Non-Bird exception for a salary starting at 120% of the player’s previous salary, 120% of the minimum salary, or the amount of a qualifying offer (if the player is a restricted free agent), whichever is greatest. Contracts can be for up to four years, with 5% annual raises.
The cap hold for a Non-Bird player is 120% of his previous salary, unless his previous salary was the minimum. In that case, the cap hold is equivalent to the two-year veteran’s minimum salary. If a Non-Bird free agent only has one year of NBA experience, his cap hold is equivalent to the one-year veteran’s minimum salary.
The salary limitations that apply to Non-Bird rights are more severe than those pertaining to Bird rights or Early Bird rights, so in many cases, the Non-Bird exception may not be enough to retain a well-regarded free agent. For instance, the Sixers held Guerschon Yabusele‘s Non-Bird rights last summer, but couldn’t have used them to match or exceed the offer the veteran big man received from the Knicks.
Because Yabusele was on a minimum-salary contract in 2024/25, Philadelphia’s ability to offer a raise using the Non-Bird exception was extremely limited — the Sixers would have only been able to offer 120% of Yabusele’s minimum salary using his Non-Bird rights, which worked out to $2,854,644. New York used its taxpayer mid-level exception to give him a two-year, $11.3MM contract, comfortably topping Philadelphia’s maximum Non-Bird offer.
The Warriors may end up in a similar situation this offseason with De’Anthony Melton, who will only have Non-Bird rights after playing out a one-year, minimum-salary contract. Golden State will only be able to offer him up to 120% of his 2026/27 minimum salary using the Non-Bird exception. That would work out to a projected $4.21MM.
Given how well Melton has performed when healthy this season, that likely won’t be enough to retain him, meaning the Warriors would have to be willing to use another cap exception – such as the mid-level – to make a competitive offer.
Holding Non-Bird rights on a free agent didn’t help the Sixers with Yabusele and might not be enough for the Warriors with Melton, but there are cases in which the exception proves useful.
The Sixers, for instance, only had Non-Bird rights on Justin Edwards last offseason, but that gave them the ability to offer him a three-year contract, exceeding the one- or two-year minimum-salary offer they could have made if he were an outside free agent. Non-Bird rights were also used to sign Nicolas Batum (Clippers), Jaxson Hayes (Lakers), Ajay Mitchell (Thunder), Gary Trent Jr. (Bucks), and Fred VanVleet (Rockets) — VanVleet had his Early Bird rights knocked down to Non-Bird rights so that Houston could give him a second-year player option.
The higher a player’s previous salary is, the less restrictive his Non-Bird rights are. For example, Hawks forward Jonathan Kuminga will only have Non-Bird rights this summer if his team option is declined, but Atlanta would have significantly more flexibility with him than Golden State will with Melton, since Kuminga has a $22.5MM base salary this season. The Hawks could offer Kuminga a starting salary of up to $27MM (120% of $22.5MM) using the Non-Bird exception.
Finally, it’s worth noting that a player who re-signs with his previous team on a one-year deal (or a two-year deal that includes a second-year option) and will have Early Bird or Bird rights at the end of that contract would surrender those rights if he consents to a trade. In that scenario, he’d only finish the season with Non-Bird rights. Kuminga and Cavaliers guard James Harden are among the players who fit that bill this season.
Note: This is a Hoops Rumors Glossary entry. Our glossary posts will explain specific rules relating to trades, free agency, or other aspects of the NBA’s Collective Bargaining Agreement. Larry Coon’s Salary Cap FAQ was used in the creation of this post.
Earlier versions of this post were published in previous years by Luke Adams and Chuck Myron.
How The Grizzlies Are Carrying A 22-Man Roster
During the NBA’s regular season, teams are typically limited to carrying a maximum of 18 players — 15 on standard contracts (full-season or 10-day) and another three on two-way deals.
However, a team dealing with major injury issues can be granted a hardship exception, allowing that club to temporarily exceed the usual 18-man maximum. A team qualifies for a hardship exception when it meets all of the following criteria:
- It has at least four players unavailable due to injury or illness.
- All four of those players have missed at least three consecutive games.
- All four of those players are expected to remain sidelined for at least two more weeks.
A team becomes eligible for a single hardship exception when it has four players who meet the criteria, but it can also qualify for an additional hardship exception for each additional injured player beyond those initial four.
For instance, a team with five players who have missed at least three games due to injuries and will remain out for another two weeks would be eligible for two hardship exceptions, allowing that club to complete a pair of 10-day signings beyond its usual 18-man roster limit.
The banged-up Grizzlies have taken this rule to the extreme as of late. The team currently has seven players who meet the hardship criteria. The following seven players have all been ruled out for the season:
- Zach Edey (left ankle/elbow surgery recoveries): Out since Dec. 7
- Brandon Clarke (right calf strain): Out since Dec. 20
- Ja Morant (left elbow UCL sprain): Out since Jan. 21
- Santi Aldama (right knee surgery recovery): Out since Feb. 4
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (right fifth finger surgery recovery): Out since Feb. 11
- Scotty Pippen Jr. (right big toe surgery recovery): Out since Mar. 7
- Jaylen Wells (right big toe surgery recovery): Out since Mar. 23
As a result, the team qualifies for four hardship exceptions — one for the first four players above, then an additional one for each of the remaining three.
That means the Grizzlies are currently carrying 22 players. They have 15 players on full-season (or multiyear) deals, three on two-way contracts, and four on 10-day hardship pacts. DeJon Jarreau and Tyler Burton are under contract through Wednesday night, with Adama Bal‘s hardship deal running through next Monday and Lucas Williamson‘s expiring next Thursday night.
As our 10-day contract tracker shows, Jarreau and Burton are on their second 10-day deals with Memphis. Neither players is eligible to sign a third one, and unless the Grizzlies plan to waive one of their full-season players, there’s no room to promote them to the standard 15-man roster. That means there’s a good chance the team will be bringing in two new players on hardship deals as soon as Thursday.
Nine NBA Players Are On Active 10-Day Contracts
A 10-day deal allows a club to temporarily add a player to its 15-man roster without any commitments beyond those 10 days. January 5 is when teams can start signing players to typical 10-day contracts, but 10-day deals using the hardship exception can be signed at any time during the season.
Late in the regular season is typically when we see the highest volume of players signing 10-day contracts. There are a number of seasons for that, but it often involves some combination of the following: teams looking to maximize roster and financial flexibility; evaluating young players and/or veterans for back-end roster spots; and clubs hit hard by injuries who need temporary replacements.
As our tracker shows, there are currently nine players on active 10-day contracts around the the NBA.
- Charles Bassey, Boston Celtics
- Malachi Smith, Brooklyn Nets
- Omer Yurtseven, Golden State Warriors
- Tyler Burton, Memphis Grizzlies
- DeJon Jarreau, Memphis Grizzlies
- DaQuan Jeffries, Sacramento Kings
- Markelle Fultz, Toronto Raptors
- Kennedy Chandler, Utah Jazz
- Bez Mbeng, Utah Jazz
Six of those nine players (Bassey, Smith, Yurtseven, Burton, Jarreau and Mbeng) are on their second 10-day deals with their respective teams. Each of those clubs will have to decide at the expiration of the 10-day agreement whether it wants to re-sign those players to rest-of-season or multiyear deals or let them walk.
While a 10-day contract is a form of standard contract, there are some differences between the two. For example, players on expiring standard contracts don’t become free agents until June 30, but 10-day players immediately become unrestricted free agents when their contracts end.
Teams have the right to terminate 10-day contracts early to accommodate another roster move, and that does happen occasionally — Utah ended Mo Bamba‘s second 10-day deal early a couple weeks ago due to an illness.
You can read more details about 10-day contracts in our glossary entry, while the the salary breakdown for 10-day deals in 2025/26 can be found right here.
Hoops Rumors Glossary: Early Bird Rights
Bird rights offer teams the chance to sign their own free agents without regard to the salary cap, but they don’t apply to every player. Other salary cap exceptions are available for teams to keep players who don’t qualify for Bird rights. One such exception is the Early Bird, which applies to players formally known as Early Qualifying Veteran Free Agents.
While the Bird exception is for players who have spent three seasons with one club without changing teams as a free agent, Early Bird rights are earned after just two such seasons. Virtually all of the same rules that apply to Bird rights apply to Early Bird rights, with the requirements condensed to two years rather than three.
Players still see their Bird clocks restart by changing teams via free agency, being claimed in an expansion draft, or having their rights renounced. A player who is traded can also have his Bird clock reset if he approves a move after having re-signed with his previous team on a one-year contract (or a one-year contract with a second-year option) earlier in the league year.
As is the case with Bird rights, a player’s clock stops when he’s released by a team and clears waivers, but it would pick up where it left off if he re-signs with that same team down the road without joining another club in the interim.
For instance, if the Pacers were to re-sign Tony Bradley to a rest-of-season contract, he would have Early Bird rights this offseason because – even though he was waived earlier this season – he would be on track to finish a second consecutive year with Indiana and didn’t join another team in the interim.
The crucial difference between Bird rights and Early Bird rights involves the limitations on contract offers. Bird players can receive maximum-salary deals for up to five years, whereas the most a team can offer an Early Bird free agent without using cap space is 175% of his previous salary (up to the max) or 105% of the league-average salary in the previous season, whichever is greater.
These offers are also capped at four years rather than five, and the new contracts must run for at least two years — the second season can be non-guaranteed, but can’t be a team or player option. Raises are maxed out at 8% per season.
Tobias Harris (Pistons), Quinten Post (Warriors), Spencer Jones (Nuggets), and Andre Drummond (Sixers) are among the free agents who will have Early Bird rights during the 2026 offseason. Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder) is another notable player who would join that group if his team option is declined.
In some instances, teams can benefit from having Early Bird rights instead of full Bird rights if they’re trying to preserve cap space. The cap hold for an Early Bird player is 130% of his previous salary, significantly less than most Bird players, whose cap holds range from 150-300% of their previous salaries.
However, having a player’s Early Bird rights instead of his full Bird rights puts a team at a disadvantage in other cases. For example, when Hartenstein reached free agency in 2024, his Early Bird rights limited the Knicks to a maximum four-year offer of $64.2MM ($72.5MM after incentives), a figure the Thunder had no problem topping using cap room when they signed Hartenstein to a three-year, $87MM deal.
In order to match or exceed Oklahoma City’s offer, New York would have had to use cap room of its own, which the team didn’t have available — having Hartenstein’s full Bird rights would’ve allowed the Knicks to give him a far more substantial contract without requiring cap space.
Meanwhile, some players with limited NBA experience are subject to a special wrinkle involving Early Bird rights, known as the Gilbert Arenas provision, which applies to players who have only been in the league for one or two years. We cover the Arenas provision in a separate glossary entry, so you can read up on the details there.
Essentially, the Arenas provision protects teams from a situation like the ones the Knicks found themselves in with Hartenstein, allowing them to match offer sheets on their restricted free agents without necessarily using Bird rights or cap room to do so.
Post, Jones, and Knicks center Ariel Hukporti are among the restricted free agents on track to be subject to the Arenas provision in 2026, though it’s unclear whether any of them will command a significant enough offer to bring that rule into play.
Finally, one more distinction between Bird rights and Early Bird rights applies to waivers. Players who are claimed off waivers retain their Early Bird rights, just as they would if they were traded. Those who had full Bird rights instead see those reduced to Early Bird rights for their next free agency period if they’re claimed off waivers.
This rule stems from a 2012 settlement between the league and the union in which J.J. Hickson was given a special exception and retained his full Bird rights for the summer of 2012 even though he had been claimed off waivers that March.
Here’s an example from last season that combines a pair of Early Bird rules: former Sixers big man Paul Reed had full Bird rights with Philadelphia before being waived by the team in July of 2024. Reed was claimed off waivers by the Pistons at the time, was waived again several months later, then was re-signed by Detroit, ultimately finishing the 2024/25 season with the Pistons.
As a result of being claimed off waivers, Reed lost his Bird rights but retained Early Bird rights. He was able to hang onto those Early Bird rights when he was subsequently waived and re-signed by Detroit, since he didn’t join another team in between those transactions, which would have reset his Bird clock. The Pistons eventually used the Early Bird exception to re-sign Reed during the 2025 offseason.
Note: This is a Hoops Rumors Glossary entry. Our glossary posts will explain specific rules relating to trades, free agency, or other aspects of the NBA’s Collective Bargaining Agreement. Larry Coon’s Salary Cap FAQ was used in the creation of this post.
Earlier versions of this post were published in previous years by Luke Adams and Chuck Myron.
Hoops Rumors Glossary: Bird Rights
The Bird exception, named after Larry Bird, is a rule included in the NBA’s Collective Bargaining Agreement that allows teams to go over the salary cap to re-sign their own players. A player who qualifies for the Bird exception, formally referred to as a Qualifying Veteran Free Agent, is said to have “Bird rights.”
The most basic way for a player to earn Bird rights is to play for the same team for at least three seasons, either on a long-term deal or on separate one- or two-year contracts. Still, there are other criteria. A player retains his Bird rights in the following scenarios:
1. He changes teams via trade.
For instance, the Warriors will hold Kristaps Porzingis‘ Bird rights when he reaches free agency this offseason, despite just acquiring him in February. His Bird clock didn’t reset when he was traded from Atlanta to Golden State.
2. He finishes a third season with a team after having only signed for a partial season with the club in the first year.
The Wizards signed Tristan Vukcevic during the second half of the 2023/24 season, adding him to their roster in March 2024. If his contract were expiring this offseason, Vukcevic would have Bird rights despite not spending three full seasons with Washington, because that partial season in ’23/24 started his Bird clock.
3. He signs a full-season contract (ie. not a 10-day deal), his team waives him, and he cleared waivers. He subsequently re-signs with the club (without joining another team in the interim) and ultimately remains under contract through a third season.
This one’s a little confusing, but let’s use a hypothetical scenario involving Pistons forward Tobias Harris to illustrate what it would look like. Harris signed with Detroit as a free agent in 2024 and is nearing the end of his second season with the team.
If the Pistons were to waive Harris now, then re-signed him in July without him joining a new team in the interim, his Bird clock would pick up where it left off. He’d have full Bird rights in the summer of 2027, since he would’ve spent part or all of each of the previous three seasons with the Pistons without changing teams in between.
Although the Pistons could restart Harris’ Bird clock by re-signing him, they wouldn’t be able to use any form of Bird rights to add him to their roster this offseason in this hypothetical scenario — they would have to use cap room or another exception to do so. His Bird clock would only resume once he’s back under contract.
This rule also applies to players who are waived after they already have Bird rights. For example, let’s say the Kings were to waive DeMar DeRozan this offseason before his $25.74MM salary for 2026/27 becomes guaranteed. Releasing DeRozan would mean losing his Bird rights, but if they were to re-add him on a one-year contract after waiving him, the Kings would regain those full Bird rights in 2027.
That’s not really a realistic scenario for DeRozan, who would almost certainly join a new team if he were waived by the Kings. But it’s an example of how Bird rights would function in that sort of situation.
A player sees the clock on his Bird rights reset to zero in the following scenarios:
- He changes teams via free agency.
- He is waived and is not claimed on waivers (except as in scenario No. 3 above).
- His rights are renounced by his team. However, as in scenario No. 3 above, a player’s Bird clock picks up where it left off if he re-signs with the club that renounced them without having signed with another NBA team. For example, Kelly Oubre Jr. had his rights renounced by the Sixers during the summer of 2024, following his first year with the team. He signed a new deal with Philadelphia later that offseason, so his Bird clock picked up where it left off, and he’s on track to have full Bird rights this summer, two years later.
- He is selected in an expansion draft.
Players on two-way contracts accumulate Bird rights in the same way that players on standard contracts do. Knicks guard Kevin McCullar Jr. has been under contract with New York on two-way deals in each of the past two seasons. If he were to sign another one-year, two-way deal this summer and then reached free agency in 2027, he’d have full Bird rights at that time.
If a player who would have been in line for Bird rights at the end of the season is waived and claimed off waivers, he would retain only Early Bird rights.
It’s also worth noting that there’s one specific scenario in which a player with Bird rights can lose them in a trade. A player who re-signs with his previous team on a one-year contract (or a one-year deal with a second-year option) would have his Bird clock reset if he’s traded later that season. As such, he receives the ability to veto trades so he can avoid that scenario, though a team can require him to waive that right as a condition of their contract agreement.
[RELATED: Players who had the ability to veto trades in 2025/26]
Jonathan Kuminga is an example of a player who lost his Bird rights as a result of this rule, since he re-signed last summer with the Warriors on a deal that included a second-year team option, then was traded to the Hawks last month. He’ll have Non-Bird rights at the end of this season if Atlanta declines that team option for 2026/27.
The Bird exception was designed to allow teams to keep their best players, even when those teams don’t have the cap room necessary to do so.
When a player earns Bird rights, he’s eligible to re-sign with his team for up to five years and for any price up to his maximum salary (with 8% annual raises) when he becomes a free agent, no matter how much cap space the team has — or doesn’t have.
The maximum salary varies from player to player depending on how long he has been in the league, but regardless of the precise amount, a team can exceed the salary cap to re-sign a player with Bird rights.
A team with a Bird free agent is assigned a “free agent amount” – also called a cap hold – worth either 190% of his previous salary (for a player with a salary below the league average) or 150% of his previous salary (for an above-average salary), up to the maximum salary amount.
For players coming off rookie scale contracts, the amounts of those cap holds are 300% and 250%, respectively. The Pistons, for instance, will have a cap hold worth $19,449,432 for Jalen Duren on their books this offseason — 300% of his $6,483,144 salary for 2025/26.
Detroit could renounce Duren and generate nearly $20MM in additional cap flexibility, but doing so would cost the Pistons the ability to re-sign him using Bird rights, which would force them to use either cap room or a different cap exception to re-sign him. As such, we can count on the Pistons keeping Duren’s cap hold on their books until his free agency is resolved.
Note: This is a Hoops Rumors Glossary entry. Our glossary posts will explain specific rules relating to trades, free agency, or other aspects of the NBA’s Collective Bargaining Agreement. Larry Coon’s Salary Cap FAQ was used in the creation of this post.
Earlier versions of this post were published in previous years by Luke Adams and Chuck Myron.
Community Shootaround: Potential Head Coaching Changes
It’s extremely rare for an offseason to come and go without at least one NBA team making a head coaching change. Half of the league’s 30 coaches have taken over their respective roles since the start of 2024, an indication of the kind of turnover that’s typical of the position.
With that in mind, it’s worth looking ahead to the end of the regular season to see if we can get a sense of which head coaching positions might open up this spring.
We should probably start in New Orleans and Portland, where James Borrego and Tiago Splitter aren’t technically the permanent head coaches for the Pelicans and Trail Blazers, respectively. Borrego replaced Willie Green when he was let go earlier in the season, while Splitter took the reins in Portland after Chauncey Billups was arrested in October in relation to an investigation into illegal gambling.
Whether those two coaches hang onto their jobs through the start of the 2026/27 season remains to be seen, but Borrego has the Pelicans playing their best basketball of the season in recent weeks, and it’s hard to imagine a scenario in which Billups reclaims his position with the Trail Blazers, regardless of how his legal situation plays out. Time will tell whether either of those clubs deems it necessary to conduct a coaching search in the coming weeks or months.
Elsewhere, Bulls head coach Billy Donovan‘s future has been the subject of speculation this week, starting with a report from Joe Cowley of The Chicago-Sun Times that cast doubt on whether Donovan will remain in Chicago beyond this season.
According to Cowley, there has been “growing speculation” that Donovan will step down from his position with the Bulls in order to take a season off and reevaluate his options going forward. It has been an emotional year for Donovan, Cowley writes, noting that the veteran head coach lost his father and mother-in-law within weeks of one another.
A return to college basketball is another rumored path for Donovan, with Jeff Borzello of ESPN suggesting that he’d be “at or near” the top of UNC’s list following Hubert Davis‘ exit from Chapel Hill. Sources tell Brett Siegel of ClutchPoints that Donovan would “seriously consider” the idea of coaching the Tar Heels if the school targeted him for the job.
Siegel (Twitter link) was also among the NBA observers speculating about Jamahl Mosley‘s job security in Orlando after the Magic – losers of six straight games – dropped Monday’s game to the Pacers, who entered the night on a 16-game losing streak of their own. While Mosley and the Magic have had to deal with a handful of injury issues this season, the 38-34 team has still underperformed relative to expectations after parting ways with four first-round picks last offseason for Desmond Bane.
Doc Rivers is one of the NBA’s most widely respected head coaches, and it would be a surprise if the Bucks were to unceremoniously fire him at season’s end, but he’s about to have a losing record across a full season for the first time since 2006/07, tweets Eric Nehm of The Athletic. It’s not all that hard to envision a scenario where he and the Bucks determine they’re better off going their separate ways and mutually announce that they’re “parting ways.”
Steve Kerr is another esteemed member of the NBA’s head coaching ranks and won’t be let go by the Warriors. However, he doesn’t have a contract beyond this season and it’s unclear how enthusiastic he’ll be to remain in his current role on the heels of a disappointing season in Golden State. A banged-up Warriors team would be lucky at this point to claw its way into the playoffs as a massive first-round underdog to Oklahoma City or San Antonio.
Among lottery-bound teams, Doug Christie of the Kings and Brian Keefe of the Wizards are also worth keeping an eye on. The Sixers will at least make the play-in tournament, but if they don’t advance any further than that, we’ll see if Philadelphia sticks with Nick Nurse.
It’s also not uncommon for clubs with championship aspirations to make a change after being ousted in the playoffs, even if they win a series or two, as we saw a year ago in New York with Tom Thibodeau, so it will be interesting to see which clubs are eliminated earlier than expected. While there are no playoff coaches in obvious, imminent danger, first-round exits would be discouraging outcomes for the likes of Kenny Atkinson (Cavaliers), Chris Finch (Timberwolves), Ime Udoka (Rockets), and Mike Brown (Knicks).
We want to know what you think. Which teams do you expect to hire a new head coach this offseason? Will it be a busy spring on the coaching market, or will we only see a couple clubs make changes?
Head to the comment section to weigh in with your thoughts!
Updated Maximum, Minimum, MLE, BAE Projections For 2026/27
The NBA issued a new salary cap projection for the 2026/27 season on Monday, adjusting its estimate for next year’s cap to $165MM.
There are a number of salary figures directly connected to the cap, including the league-wide maximum and minimum salaries, the mid-level exception, and the bi-annual exception. Those figures increase or decrease each year by the same percentage the cap does.
The NBA’s new cap projection meant we had a series of ’26/27 projections of our own in need of updating. Here are the links to those updated numbers:
Maximum salary projections for 2026/27
These are the projected earnings for players who signed maximum-salary extensions that will go into effect in 2026, including Paolo Banchero, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Luka Doncic, and De’Aaron Fox.
They also represent the projected maximum-salary figures for players who will reach free agency during the coming offseason, such as Jalen Duren and Austin Reaves.
Minimum salary projections for 2026/27
These are the minimum salaries that a player who signs a standard contract in 2026/27 will be eligible to earn. Next year’s rookie minimum is currently projected to be worth about $1.36MM, while the minimum salary for a veteran with at least 10 years of NBA experience is nearly $3.88MM.
Mid-level, bi-annual projections for 2026/27
These projections cover the various mid-level exceptions available to teams, including the full (non-taxpayer) mid-level exception, the taxpayer version of the MLE, and the “room” exception for teams that use cap space. A player who signs a four-year contract worth the full mid-level amount during the 2026 offseason would be in line to receive almost $65MM over the life of the deal, based on the NBA’s latest cap projection.
The bi-annual exception is also included in these projections — it projects to be worth a record $5,478,000 in ’26/27.
These projections can be found anytime on the right-hand sidebar of our desktop site under “Hoops Rumors Features” or on the “Features” page in our mobile menu. They’ll be updated again later this season if the NBA issues another new cap projection.
Community Shootaround: Final Four Eastern Playoff Spots
With three weeks remaining in the 2025/26 regular season, only three games separate the No. 5 Raptors (39-30) from the No. 10 Hornets (37-34). The Hawks (39-32), Sixers (39-32), Magic (38-32) and Heat (38-33), in order of their seeds, are currently in between those two clubs in the Eastern Conference standings.
Those six teams are vying for the fifth and sixth seeds in the East to secure guaranteed playoff berths. The four clubs that end up in the Nos. 7-10 spots would have to advance through the play-in tournament to make the playoffs.
While it’s obviously not as advantageous as making the playoffs outright, the No. 7 seed does get a significant leg up in the play-in tournament, as that team plays at home and has two chances to advance. The No. 8 team also gets two cracks at a playoff spot, whereas the ninth and 10th clubs have to win two consecutive games to move on.
Barring an unexpected collapse (and a major surge up the standings from one of the aforementioned teams), Detroit, Boston, New York and Cleveland are likely going to be the top four seeds in the East, in some order. The No. 4 Cavs (44-27) are four games ahead of the Raptors right now, and the No. 1 Pistons (51-19) have essentially locked up a top-four spot.
No. 11 Milwaukee and No. 12 Chicago haven’t been mathematically eliminated from postseason contention quite yet, but they will almost certainly soon join Indiana, Washington and Brooklyn as Eastern teams formally ruled out of the playoff picture.
Toronto controls its own destiny. The Raptors not only have the most remaining games (13) and fewest losses of the six teams vying for the fifth and sixth spots, they also have the easiest remaining schedule by opponent winning percentage (.476), according to Tankathon.
The No. 6 Hawks went 4-0 against the No. 7 Sixers this season, which is why they’re ahead of them in the standings despite having identical records. Atlanta, which has won 12 of its past 13 games, has a slightly more difficult (.534 opponent winning percentage) schedule than Philadelphia (.527) over the final 11 games of the season.
The Magic and Heat have been inconsistent in 2025/26. Both teams recently won seven consecutive games and are now in the midst of four-game losing streaks. Orlando theoretically has an easier schedule (.485) than Miami (.505) to wrap up the regular season.
The Hornets have been one of the best teams in the NBA for several weeks, but they got off to such a poor start that they’re still trying to dig out of that hole. After a January 21 loss to Cleveland, Charlotte was 16-28; the team has gone 21-6 ever since. The Hornets have three easy games left, but also have eight matchups with teams ahead of them in the standings (.525 opponent winning percentage).
We want to know what you think. Which teams will end up as the fifth and sixth seeds in the East? Which of the four remaining clubs will advance through the play-in tournaments in the seventh and eight spots? Head to the comments section to weigh in with your thoughts!
