Hoops Rumors Originals

Community Shootaround: Trade Deadline Winners, Losers

This year’s NBA trade deadline will go down in the history books as one of the wildest in North American sports history, if not the most chaotic.

This is, of course, mostly due to the shocking late Saturday transaction that saw Luka Doncic join the Lakers. Still, we saw an NBA record 63 players moved ahead of the deadline, with players like De’Aaron Fox, Jimmy Butler, Khris Middleton, Brandon Ingram, De’Andre Hunter, Kyle Kuzma and Andrew Wiggins among those changing hands.

Only the Magic, Trail Blazers, Timberwolves and Nuggets didn’t make an in-season trade. The Nets wound up staying out of the days leading up to the deadline after completing their major moves earlier in the season. Cameron Johnson is one notable player who was the subject of trade rumors for most of the season but ended up staying in place.

[RELATED: 2024/25 In-Season Trades]

Outside of that, the Celtics, Pacers and Rockets were among teams who made minor moves on the fringes of their roster.

The five-team deal that saw Butler join the Warriors and Wiggins go to the Heat was one of the biggest moves at the deadline. According to ESPN’s Tim Bontemps, Butler’s teammates were sad to see him go, but were happy that he ultimately got what he wanted with a new destination and contract.

While Miami briefly explored trying to acquire Kevin Durant, they pivoted to Wiggins and are happy to have him. Bontemps writes that rival executives like the addition of Wiggins in Miami. Additionally, several of Bontemps’ sources were impressed not only by the return the Heat were able to extract, but also that they were able to stick together through a tumultuous season.

Butler was also a big winner in the eyes of execs after getting his two-year, maximum-salary extension, but Bontemps writes the Warriors have more work to do in terms of spacing the floor. However, at a relatively modest trade price, the Warriors get to bet on their stars meshing and making a deep playoff run as a lower seed, like the Heat have done in the past.

The Warriors winning the Butler sweepstakes ultimately meant that Phoenix missed out on him. For about a month, it was widely reported that there was strong mutual interest between the 35-year-old and the Suns, but Bradley Beal‘s no-trade clause meant a deal was impossible.

That led to the Suns actually taking calls on Durant, though they ultimately kept their three highest-paid players together. The Suns were able to offload Jusuf Nurkic and add two potential rotation guys in Cody Martin and Vasilije Micic, but executives were confused about where Phoenix will go next, according to Bontemps.

After acquiring Doncic ahead of the deadline, the Lakers went all in on adding a big man, sending a first-round pick, a pick swap, and Dalton Knecht to the Hornets for Mark Williams. Los Angeles is taking a massive bet on Williams staying healthy, as they now only have swaps in 2026 and 2028 to send out in trades.

On the other hand, in the wake of the Doncic deal, the Mavericks had a relatively quiet rest of the deadline, acquiring Caleb Martin and sending out Quentin Grimes. “I thought they had more up their sleeve,” a West executive said, per Bontemps.

Both Toronto and Cleveland took big swings in acquiring Ingram and Hunter, respectively. Although the two teams are in much different positions in the conference, those moves showed they both have faith in what they’re building.

The Raptors are likely to try to re-sign Ingram to a multi-year extension, which would add significantly to a payroll that already includes sizable deals for Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes, and Jakob Poeltl. The Cavaliers have the second-best record in the league, so giving anything of value in their rotation is a risk to chemistry. But adding Hunter, who’s in the middle of a breakout season, is a bold move to push the team over the top.

For my money, I like how the Jazz and Pistons operated in the Butler trade. The Jazz were able to acquire two second-rounders and take back less expiring money than P.J. Tucker‘s $11.4MM contract, rerouting Dennis Schröder to Detroit, who bought him as an asset in the same Miami-Golden State five-team deal.

As for the Pistons, while they maybe could have gotten Schröder for a lower price if they’d negotiated with the Heat, they netted two second-round picks, added a viable contributor in Schröder and added a bench shooter in Lindy Waters III for simply having cap space as an asset.

Additionally, I think the Hornets did well to acquire Knecht and valuable picks by sending out Williams, Martin and Micic. The Wizards also intrigued me by adding several veterans in Middleton, Marcus Smart and Alex Len, and picking up two fliers in AJ Johnson and Colby Jones, if they stick. Washington essentially consolidated picks, added a 2024 first-rounder in Johnson and other assets in exchange for players who weren’t in their future.

We want to hear from you. Which teams do you think ended up as the biggest winners after deadline day? Were there any teams that should have done more, or did too much? Who lost the deadline? Which teams had the most underrated moves?

Head to the comments section below to let us know!

Hoops Rumors’ 2025 NBA Trade Deadline Primer

Deadline day is finally here. NBA teams will have until today at 2:00 pm Central time to finalize trade agreements. Anyone not traded by that time will be ineligible to be moved until after his team’s season comes to an end this spring.

It has already been a hugely eventful trade season. The Lakers and Mavericks kicked off the week in earnest by making one of the most shocking deals in league history on Sunday, swapping a pair of All-NBA stars in Luka Doncic and Anthony Davis. Nothing will top that move, but teams have done their best in the days since then to provide worthy follow-ups.

De’Aaron Fox and Zach LaVine were included in the same three-team deal on Monday, and trades involving Jimmy Butler, Andrew Wiggins, Brandon Ingram, Kyle Kuzma, Khris Middleton, and Mark Williams are pending completion.

[RELATED: 2024/25 In-Season NBA Trades]

Those deals took many of this season’s most noteworthy trade candidates off the market, but there are still plenty of storylines to keep an eye on as Thursday’s deadline nears.

Nikola Vucevic headlines several trade candidates still available for the Bulls. The Jazz (Jordan Clarkson, John Collins), Hawks (Clint Capela, De’Andre Hunter, Bogdan Bogdanovic), Nets (Cameron Johnson, Day’Ron Sharpe), and Trail Blazers (Robert Williams, Jerami Grant, Anfernee Simons) are among the other teams with multiple trade chips still in play.

The Suns, having struck out on Butler, may be looking to use one or more of their three tradable first-round picks to upgrade their roster around Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, and Bradley Beal. The Grizzlies and Nuggets are among the other potential contenders in the West who have been quiet so far and still could have something up their sleeves.

Detroit, the NBA’s only team with cap room remaining, is also worth keeping an eye on. While they’ve agreed to trade for KJ Martin, Josh Richardson, and Lindy Waters, the Pistons could still theoretically use their $14MM in room to make one or more additional deals, then acquire Richardson and Waters using the minimum salary exception and Martin with the room exception.

As the Doncic/Davis mega-deal over the weekend showed, you also never know when two teams will decide to make a move that none of us saw coming.

We’ll be keeping tabs on all the latest news and rumors all day long on Hoops Rumors, leading up to 2:00 pm CT.

In the meantime, here are some of our features and trackers to help you prepare for today’s action:

Cap/Roster Check-Ins: Clippers/Jazz Trade, 10-Day Deals

It’s going to be a busy week at Hoops Rumors, with this year’s trade deadline just five days away. But while things are still relatively quiet, we want to take a closer look at how today’s trade between the Clippers and Jazz works from a cap perspective and where things stand with the few 10-day contracts that have been signed so far this season.

Let’s dive in…


The Clippers/Jazz trade

Utah’s cap flexibility:

The Clippers and Jazz have officially finalized a deal that sends P.J. Tucker, Mohamed Bamba, a 2030 second-round pick, and cash to Utah in exchange for Drew Eubanks and Patty Mills.

First and foremost, this is a reminder that for teams not encumbered by either tax apron, salary-matching rules in trades have never been more lenient. Bamba and Mills are on identical one-year contracts and each have a cap hit of $2,087,519 this season, but Tucker’s cap hit ($11,539,000) is more than double that of Eubanks ($5,000,000).

Teams operating below the first tax apron like Utah are permitted to take back up to 200% of their outgoing salary (plus an extra $250K) when they send out any amount up to $7.5MM. That means the Jazz are allowed to acquire up to $10,250,000 in incoming salary in exchange for Eubanks’ outgoing $5MM salary.

That’s not quite enough for Tucker, which is why Mills was added to the deal. With $7,087,519 in total outgoing salary, the Jazz’s maximum incoming amount increases to $14,425,038. That’s more than enough to accommodate both Tucker and Bamba, who are earning a combined $13,626,519, though Bamba’s minimum deal can be absorbed using the minimum salary exception, meaning salary-matching is only necessary to acquire Tucker.

The Jazz entered the day with a team salary of $143,653,620. This trade increased that figure to $150,192,620, which is still more than $20MM below the luxury tax line ($170,814,000). In other words, Utah has more than enough breathing room below the tax line to make this sort of deal two or three more times over before the deadline.

Of course, the Jazz don’t have enough expendable players to make exactly this sort of trade two or three more times. But the team could, for instance, take back extra salary when moving players like John Collins, Collin Sexton, or Jordan Clarkson, and also still has its $8MM room exception available to absorb a contract or two outright. That flexibility should serve Utah well and make the Jazz a team to watch for the rest of the week.

The Clippers’ tax-ducking:

Meanwhile, the Clippers were one of five NBA teams that entered the day on Saturday operating over the tax by less than $6MM — Los Angeles had been about $2.47MM above the tax line and has now moved to approximately $4.07MM below that threshold.

Steve Ballmer is the richest team owner in the NBA, so he probably barely would’ve noticed if he’d to pay L.A.’s relatively small projected tax bill of $6.2MM. But the Clippers will now be in position to receive a share of the tax distribution for non-taxpayers too. The exact amount of that per-team distribution remains up in the air depending on what other moves are made this week, but it could be in excess of $15MM. That’s not nothing.

Perhaps more importantly, after being a taxpayer for each of the previous four seasons, the Clippers move a step closer toward resetting their “repeater” clock. If they can avoid the tax at least once more in a coming season, the Clips will shed their repeater status and will only face standard tax penalties when they become a taxpayer again down the road, rather than the far more punitive repeater penalties.

The difference between standard and repeater penalties is substantial, especially with repeater rates set to rise in 2025/26, so resetting that clock is a big deal — it puts the Clippers in position to spend big on their roster a few years from now without still being on the hook for extra tax payments as a result of their high payrolls in the Paul George era.

The Pelicans, Cavaliers, Mavericks, and Warriors are the other four teams who are over the tax line by less than $6MM. I don’t expect all of them to try to get out of tax territory before Thursday’s deadline, but New Orleans, at least, is a virtual lock to do so and it’s possible one or two others will consider it.

Ten-day contracts

Branden Carlson and the Thunder:

Carlson’s second 10-day contract with Oklahoma City expired overnight on Friday, making him a free agent and reopening the 15th spot on the Thunder‘s roster. Because a player can’t sign three 10-day contracts with the same team in a season, the Thunder would have to offer Carlson a rest-of-season deal if they want to bring him back.

I don’t see that happening before Thursday’s trade deadline — my guess is that the Thunder will leave that 15th spot open for now in case they need to use it in a trade this week. If the spot remains free after that, they might consider their options on the buyout market over the next few weeks before making any final decisions on their 15th man.

Carlson is a candidate to fill that opening eventually. I also wouldn’t be surprised if the Thunder decide to promote Ajay Mitchell from his two-way contract to the standard roster and look to bring Carlson back on a two-way deal before the March 4 deadline for two-way signings.

However, Mitchell’s toe surgery, which may sideline him for the rest of the season, is a factor working in Carlson’s favor for that 15th spot — if Mitchell isn’t able to contribute in the playoffs, there will be no urgency for the Thunder to get him locked up before the summer.

For what it’s worth, Carlson was playing regular minutes off the bench with Isaiah Hartenstein sidelined and had made at least one three-pointer in eight straight games, but he was a DNP-CD in each of the two games after Hartenstein returned from his calf strain.

Orlando Robinson and the Raptors:

Now that Carlson’s 10-day deal has expired, Robinson’s second 10-day contract with Toronto is the only one in the league still active.

It has been a very quiet winter so far for 10-day signings, as our tracker shows — I expect things will pick up after the trade deadline when more teams open up roster spots, but as of now, the Raptors and Thunder are the only two teams that have signed any players to 10-day contracts this season.

Robinson’s contract is set to expire at the end of Thursday, hours after the trade deadline passes. Don’t be surprised if the Raptors end up terminating that deal one day early. They don’t have a game on Thursday, so Robinson would be the easy choice to be cut if they need to open up a spot to accommodate an extra incoming player in a trade.

Robinson has averaged 16.8 minutes per game in Toronto’s last four contests and looks like a candidate to earn either a standard or two-way rest-of-season contract if the Raptors can accommodate it after the trade deadline.

Community Shootaround: Western All-Star Reserves

Last Thursday, the NBA revealed the 10 players – five from each conference – voted as starters for the 2025 All-Star Game. This coming Thursday, the All-Star reserves will be announced on TNT.

We opened up a discussion on Monday about which players were most deserving of All-Star reserve recognition in the Eastern Conference. Today, we’re shifting our focus to the Western Conference, where Nikola Jokic, Kevin Durant, LeBron James, Stephen Curry, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander have been named starters.

That leaves seven spots to fill in the West — two in the backcourt and three in the frontcourt, along with a pair of wild cards. The reserves will be voted on by NBA coaches, not fans, but we want to get your feedback today on which players have earned those spots.

Naming his seven picks, Zach Harper of The Athletic prioritized frontcourt players, with Spurs big man Victor Wembanyama, Lakers forward/center Anthony Davis, and Thunder forward Jalen Williams joined by wild cards Alperen Sengun of the Rockets and Domantas Sabonis of the Kings. Harper’s two guards were Anthony Edwards of the Timberwolves and Norman Powell of the Clippers.

It looks like a pretty safe bet that Wembanyama and Davis will make the cut. They also showed up on John Hollinger’s seven-player list for The Athletic, as did Williams, Sabonis and Edwards, all of whom have very compelling cases too. However, Hollinger passed on Sengun and Powell in favor of Grizzlies big man Jaren Jackson Jr. and Mavericks guard Kyrie Irving.

Jackson would be an easy choice for me, and I was a little surprised not to see him among Harper’s picks. The former Defensive Player of the Year is once again anchoring Memphis on that end of the court while having the best offensive season of his career, with 22.8 points per game on .499/.355/.782 shooting. The Grizzlies rank third in the West with a 31-16 record despite Ja Morant missing 19 games so far. Jackson has arguably been the driving force behind that success.

If I had a vote, I’d make Wembanyama, Davis, and Jackson my frontcourt selections, with Edwards in the backcourt. The second backcourt spot is trickier.

Luka Doncic would be the obvious favorite if not for the injuries that have limited him to 22 games. Devin Booker and De’Aaron Fox have put up big scoring numbers, but their teams have hovered around .500 and their shooting percentages have been below their career rates. Irving has a solid case, as does James Harden, whom I’d put ahead of his Clippers teammate Powell due to his play-making and the fact that Powell greatly benefits from all the defensive attention on Harden.

As Hollinger notes, Williams doesn’t spend a whole lot of time at shooting guard but could perhaps qualify there for the sake of this exercise. Although his scoring stats aren’t as gaudy as some of his competitors, his two-way impact for the West’s top seed makes him a worthy candidate.

If I make Williams my second backcourt pick, I’d probably take Sabonis and Sengun as my wild cards, though as noted above, there are reasonable arguments to be made for Booker, Fox, Irving, Harden, Powell, and Doncic, among others.

We want to know what you think. Which seven players would you pick as All-Star reserves in the Western Conference? Is there anyone I didn’t mention who deserves serious consideration?

Head to the comment section below to weigh in with your thoughts!

Community Shootaround: Eastern All-Star Reserves

The NBA revealed the 10 All-Star starters for the 2024/25 season last Thursday, featuring the typical five players from each conference. This coming Thursday, the All-Star reserves will be announced on TNT.

Today, we’ll be focusing on the Eastern Conference reserves, which are voted on by coaches from around the league. Jalen Brunson, Donovan Mitchell, Jayson Tatum, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Karl-Anthony Towns comprise the East’s starting lineup, leaving seven open spots off the bench.

While the East’s talent pool is generally not as well-regarded as the West’s, there are plenty of players having All-Star caliber seasons in ’24/25. His vote obviously doesn’t count, but Zach Harper of The Athletic says his picks would be Damian Lillard, Trae Young (two backcourt spots), Evan Mobley, Jaylen Brown, Pascal Siakam (three frontcourt spots), Cade Cunningham and Darius Garland (two wild card spots).

Had they been healthier, Harper writes, Magic forwards Franz Wagner and Paolo Banchero would have been in the conversation for Siakam’s spot, but they both missed extended time with torn obliques. Nikola Vucevic, Jarrett Allen and LaMelo Ball are the other players who received consideration from Harper but didn’t make his final cut.

They aren’t mentioned in Harper’s story, but Tyler Herro, Zach LaVine, Tyrese Haliburton, Tyrese Maxey, Jalen Johnson and Scottie Barnes are among the other candidates in the East who could be voted in by coaches. I’d be pretty shocked if Josh Hart or Derrick White get selected, but they’re both having solid seasons too.

I think Herro probably has the most compelling case of the players that Harper omitted. He has been Miami’s best and most consistent player, has only missed one game, and has been highly efficient offensively.

But I don’t think he deserves to be selected over Lillard, Cunningham or Garland, and Young leads the NBA in assists per game by a significant margin. The Heat and Hawks have almost identical records and neither player is a great defender, so there isn’t much of a differentiator there. Tough call between those two.

Allen is a very good player, but his stats aren’t gaudy, and I don’t expect to see four Cavaliers in the All-Star game. Ball’s stats are gaudy, but his efficiency isn’t great, he doesn’t guard, he has missed several games due to injuries, and Charlotte has the fourth-worst record in the NBA.

Haliburton, Maxey and Barnes made the cut in ’23/24, but their numbers have largely declined in ’24/25. Team record and missed games could work against Maxey and Barnes as well.

LaVine and Vucevic are having great offensive seasons. Neither is known for their defense, and the Bulls are just 19-27. Johnson has missed nine games.

Hart has arguably been more impactful to winning for the Knicks than Siakam has been for the Pacers. But he’s fifth on the team in points per game (Siakam leads Indiana in that category) and including him would mean three Knicks (30-16, No. 3 seed) would make the All-Star game vs. zero Pacers (25-20, No. 5 seed). It’s hard to envision that happening.

We want to know what you think. Which players should be selected as All-Star reserves in the Eastern Conference? Did we miss anyone who deserves consideration? Head to the comment section to weigh in.

Community Shootaround: Jusuf Nurkic

The focus on the Suns in recent weeks has centered on their pursuit of Jimmy Butler and whether they can convince Bradley Beal to waive his no-trade clause.

However, the Suns also have another issue to deal with – what to do with center Jusuf Nurkic. The former starter has been exiled to the end of the bench and he’s not happy about it.

Nurkic was removed from the starting lineup earlier this month and Phoenix’s acquisition of Nick Richards cemented his diminished role. Richards has already made a positive impact, jumping into the starting lineup and producing a 20-point, 19-rebound game against Washington on Saturday. His +10.1 net rating through four games is the best mark of any Suns player.

Meanwhile, Nurkic hasn’t seen the court since Jan. 7. He was made inactive for awhile, missing six games due to an illness and return-to-play reconditioning, but now he’s just languishing at the end of the depth chart.

Nurkic was acquired from Portland prior to last season to essentially replace Deandre Ayton, who never lived up to his billing as a No. 1 overall pick. The Suns shed Ayton’s four-year, $133MM contract in the process. Nurkic’s contract isn’t nearly as onerous but now it’s become an albatross.

Nurkic, who is making more than $18MM in 2024/25, has one year and $19.375MM remaining on his deal after this season. He’s an excellent rebounder, passer and screener but his overall game has holes. He’s often a liability on defense, can’t stretch defenses and also has trouble finishing at the rim.

Moreover, it’s an uneasy situation for a team with high aspirations. Nurkic says he has no relationship with head coach Mike Budenholzer. Nurkic is also well aware that the Suns’ salary cap issues – they’re well over the second tax apron – makes it difficult to trade him.

Still, Phoenix is trying to do just that. The Suns sent their unprotected 2031 first-rounder to Utah this week in exchange for three less desirable first-rounders. It’s likely they’ll try to use those picks to pull off a blockbuster, but splitting that ’31 first-rounder into three separate picks gives them the option of using one of them to sweeten a potential Nurkic salary dump.

If they fail to trade Nurkic, a buyout agreement could be an option. The veteran big man would have incentive to leave some money on the table in order to pursue another NBA opportunity. However, he wouldn’t be eligible to sign with a team operating above the first apron and the Suns would lose the ability to try again to trade him during the offseason in order to turn his salary slot into one or more new players.

Even if the Suns were to use the stretch provision to spread out Nurkic’s 2025/26 salary across three seasons, it wouldn’t materially affect their cap situation, since they’d still project to be in second apron territory next season. It would reduce what figures to be a massive ’25/26 tax bill, but would also add salary to future years.

That brings us to today’s topic: Will the Suns be able to trade Nurkic prior to next month’s deadline? Will they end up buying him out or waiving him? Or will they keep him on the roster and try to deal him in the offseason when his then expiring contract may be more valuable to potential suitors?

Please take to the comments section to weigh in on this topic. We look forward to your input.

Hoops Rumors Glossary: Tax Aprons

If an NBA team’s salary continues to rise after it surpasses both the salary cap and the luxury tax line, it may reach or exceed one or both tax “aprons.” The level of the first tax apron is several million dollars above the threshold at which a team becomes a taxpayer, while the second tax apron is another $10MM+ beyond the first apron.

A team whose salary exceeds the first apron is prohibited from making certain moves during that league year, while a team whose salary goes beyond the second apron faces even more restrictions. The goal is to encourage competitive balance by limiting the ability of the teams with the NBA’s highest payrolls to further upgrade their rosters.

Although the tax apron isn’t a new addition to the NBA’s Collective Bargaining Agreement, the 2023 CBA represents the first time that the league’s cap system features multiple aprons. The 2023 CBA also introduced several new rules that apply to teams whose salaries are above one or both aprons.

Let’s dive in and break down the tax aprons in greater detail…


How are the tax aprons calculated?

The formula that determined the level of the first tax apron in 2024/25 was as follows:

  • Formula: $172,345,814 x ($140,588,000 / $136,021,000)
  • Result: $178,132,000
    • Note: The result was rounded to the nearest thousand.

These may just look on the surface like a collection of random numbers, but there’s a method to the madness. $172,345,814 was the result of last season’s first apron calculation (it was rounded to the nearest thousand, $172,346,000, for functional purposes); $140,588,000 is this season’s salary cap; and $136,021,000 was last season’s cap.

In other words, the first apron is simply rising by the same rate as the salary cap. That will continue to be the case going forward.

Like the first apron, the second apron will increase at the same rate as the cap each season, meaning the formula for 2024/25 was as follows:

  • Formula: $182,793,814 x ($140,588,000 / $136,021,000)
  • Result: $188,931,000
    • Note: The result was rounded to the nearest thousand.

In future seasons, the current-year salary cap amount will be substituted into these two formulas in place of $140,588,000 to determine that season’s first and second tax aprons.


What restrictions does a team face if its salary is above the first tax apron but below the second apron?

When implementing its new CBA in 2023, the NBA gradually phased in the restrictions facing teams operating above the tax aprons over the course of two seasons. That gave those teams an opportunity to adjust their rosters to account for the new apron-related rules.

As of the 2024/24 season, all of the new restrictions are in effect.

Here are the moves that a team whose salary is above the first tax apron – but below the second apron – is prohibited from making in 2024/25 and beyond:

  1. Acquiring a player via sign-and-trade.
  2. Using any portion of the bi-annual exception for any transaction.
  3. Using any portion of the non-taxpayer mid-level exception to acquire a player via trade or waiver claim.
  4. Using more than the taxpayer portion of the mid-level exception to sign a player.
  5. Signing a player who was waived during the current season if his pre-waiver salary for that season exceeded the amount of the non-taxpayer mid-level exception.
  6. Using one or more outgoing players in a trade for matching purposes to take back more than 100% of the outgoing salary.
  7. Using a traded player exception generated during the prior year (ie. between the end of the previous regular season and the end of the most recent regular season).

It’s worth clarifying a few points related to these restrictions.

A team operating above the first apron doesn’t have access to the bi-annual exception or non-taxpayer mid-level exception, both of which can be used to sign a player or to acquire a player via trade or waiver claim. First-apron teams can use the taxpayer mid-level exception, but it can only be used to sign a player, not to acquire one via trade or waiver claim.

A team restricted to the taxpayer form of the mid-level can’t exceed its limits in dollars or years. For instance, in 2024/25, the taxpayer mid-level exception can be used to sign a player to a deal with a starting salary of up to $5,168,000 for up to two years. That means a team using its mid-level exception to sign a player to a three-year contract worth $3MM annually would have to use the non-taxpayer MLE to do so, since the deal would only fit within the taxpayer MLE in terms of money, not years.

The fifth item in the list above is important to remember after the trade deadline when certain veterans negotiate contract buyouts. If the player’s salary exceeds the full value of the non-taxpayer mid-level exception ($12,822,000 in 2024/25), he would be ineligible to sign with a team operating above the first apron once he clears waivers and reaches free agency — even if he negotiates a buyout that reduces his salary to below that non-taxpayer MLE amount.

The sixth item in the list only applies in instances where salary-matching is necessary. For example, a team operating above the first tax apron could send out a player earning $10MM in exchange for a player earning $9.5MM and a second player on a one-year, minimum-salary contract — even though the club would technically be taking back more total salary than it’s sending out, the minimum-salary player can be acquired using the minimum salary exception, so the $10MM player is only being used to match the $9.5MM player’s incoming salary.

In regard to the seventh item, let’s say a team operating above the first apron currently has one traded player exception worth $5MM, then generates another one worth $8MM at the 2025 trade deadline. Both of those exceptions would become unavailable once the team’s 2025 offseason begins.

That club could subsequently make a draft-night deal that generates a new $7MM trade exception and use it at any point between its creation and the end of the 2025/26 regular season. But if that team continues operating above the first apron, that $7MM TPE would once again become unavailable once the 2026 offseason begins, prior to its typical one-year expiration date.


What restrictions does a team face if its salary is above the second tax apron?

A team whose salary is above the second tax apron is prohibited from making any of the moves unavailable to teams above the first apron, as described above. That includes acquiring a player via sign-and-trade, using any portion of the bi-annual exception, and so on.

Additional restrictions also apply to teams operating above the second apron. Here are the moves that teams above the second tax apron are prohibited from making in 2024/25 and beyond:

  1. Using any portion of the mid-level exception.
  2. Aggregating two or more player salaries in a trade.
  3. Sending out cash as part of a trade.
  4. Acquiring a player via trade by using a signed-and-traded player for salary-matching purposes.
  5. Acquiring a player via trade using a traded player exception if that TPE was generated by sending out a player via sign-and-trade.

Teams above the second tax apron will face one more draft-related restriction beginning in the 2025 offseason. If the team’s salary exceeds the second apron at the end of a season, its first-round pick in the draft seven years away will be “frozen” — in other words, that pick would not be tradable.

If the team’s salary exceeds the second apron in at least two of the following four seasons (three of five in total), the frozen pick would move to the end of the first round for that draft. Conversely, if the team stays below the second apron for at least three of the subsequent four seasons, its pick becomes “unfrozen” and is once again tradable.

Let’s use the Suns as an example, since they’re a lock to finish the 2024/25 league year above the second tax apron. That would result in their 2032 first-round pick becoming frozen, ineligible to be traded once the ’25/26 league year begins. If their team salary remains above the second apron for at least two more seasons between ’25/26 and ’28/29, their frozen pick would move to the end of the 2032 first round and would remain ineligible to be dealt.

If multiple teams have a frozen pick moved to the end of the first round in a particular draft, they would make their selections in reverse order of their place in the NBA standings in the season prior to that draft. For example, if both the Suns and Celtics have their 2032 first-rounders moved to the end of the round and Boston finishes ahead of Phoenix in 2031/32, the Suns would pick ahead of the Celtics in that draft.


Can a team that begins a league year above the first or second tax apron gain the ability to make additional moves by reducing its salary and dipping below the apron(s)?

Yes. If a club were to open the 2025/26 league year carrying $200MM in salary, then engaged in a series of salary-dump trades that reduce its team salary to $150MM, it would no longer be subject to the restrictions facing an apron team.

The apron restrictions that apply to a team are determined by its salary position upon the conclusion of a given transaction. That means that if a second-apron club agrees to a trade that will move its team salary below the second apron, it could aggregate salaries and/or send out cash as part of that deal.

However, as long as the team’s salary remains above the first or second apron – or if the team is completing a transaction would push its salary above one apron or the other – that team is subject to the rules that apply to that apron level.

Critically, it’s worth noting that once a club engages in a roster move that is prohibited for a team above the first or second apron, that club will be hard-capped for the rest of the season at that apron level.

In 2024/25, for instance, teams like the Kings and Hornets acquired players via sign-and-trade, the Warriors and Mavericks used the non-taxpayer mid-level exception, and the Thunder and Pelicans took back more than 100% of their outgoing salary in trades. As a result, those teams are a few of the many that are hard-capped at the first apron ($178,132,000) and aren’t permitted to surpass that salary level for the rest of ’24/25.

The Nuggets, Pacers, and Knicks are the three teams currently hard-capped at the second apron ($188,931,000) this season. Denver used the taxpayer mid-level exception, Indiana sent out cash in a trade, and New York aggregated salaries in a trade.

Finally, there’s one more important point related to apron level restrictions and hard caps: A team that engages in any of the trade-related transactions prohibited for first or second apron teams between the end of the regular season and the end of that league year on June 30 will not be permitted to exceed that apron level during the following season.

If, for example, a team sends out cash in a trade in June of 2025, that team won’t be allowed to exceed the second tax apron during the 2025/26 league year. The inverse is also true — a team whose 2025/26 salary projects to be over the second apron won’t be able to trade cash in June 2025.

This rule only applies to trade-related transactions because the ones related to free agency don’t come into effect between the end of the regular season and the start of the next league year.


Anything else I should know about the tax aprons?

It’s worth pointing out that a club with a number of incentive bonuses on its books may find itself operating above the first or second apron even if its base team salary doesn’t exceed those levels.

For the purposes of calculating a team’s salary, a player’s likely incentives are included in his cap hit, but his unlikely incentives aren’t (an incentive is considered likely to be earned if it was achieved last season and unlikely to be earned if it wasn’t). However, for the purposes of determining a team’s apron level, all those incentives are counted.

That means a team with a $175MM base salary and an additional $5MM in unlikely incentives in 2024/25 would be considered a first apron team and would be unable to make certain roster moves, since there’s a chance those incentives could be earned, pushing the club’s salary above $178,132,000.


Note: This is a Hoops Rumors Glossary entry. Our glossary posts will explain specific rules relating to trades, free agency, or other aspects of the NBA’s Collective Bargaining Agreement.

An earlier version of this post was published in 2023.

Why Draft-Pick Trade Makes Sense For Both Jazz, Suns

The Jazz and Suns completed a fascinating trade on Tuesday, with Utah sending three first-round picks (in 2025, 2027, and 2029) to Phoenix in exchange for a single first-round pick in 2031.

The exact terms of the deal are as follows:

  • Jazz acquire the Suns’ 2031 first-round pick (unprotected).
  • Suns acquire either the Cavaliers’ or Timberwolves’ 2025 first-round pick (whichever is least favorable); either the Cavaliers’, Timberwolves’, or Jazz’s 2027 first-round pick (whichever is least favorable); and either the Cavaliers’, Timberwolves’, or Jazz’s 2029 first-round pick (whichever is least favorable).
    • Note: The Timberwolves’ 2029 pick is top-five protected.

Our readers who have commented on our story on the deal have argued in favor of both the Suns’ and Jazz’s sides, while some have wondered about the logic of trading three first-rounders for a single far-off pick.

Given the assets that both teams held, it’s the sort of swap that makes perfect sense for both sides. Here’s why:


Why the trade makes sense for the Jazz:

As a result of their trades sending Donovan Mitchell to Cleveland and Rudy Gobert to Minnesota, the Jazz controlled Cleveland’s and Minnesota’s unprotected first-round picks in 2025 and 2027, along with Cleveland’s unprotected 2029 pick and Minnesota’s top-five protected ’29 selection.

That means, along with their own pick, the Jazz would have three first-round picks in each of those drafts. That’s essentially the same situation Utah has been in for each of the last two drafts — the club controlled three of the top 28 picks in 2023 and three of the top 32 in 2024 and used all of them to bring in rookies. It has proven to be a challenge to get all those youngsters acclimated at once, so it makes sense that the Jazz would want to avoid repeating that situation over and over again in the coming years.

By trading the least favorable of their 2025, 2027, and 2029 first-round selections, the Jazz will consolidate the least valuable of those picks while still leaving themselves with multiple first-rounders in each draft.

And now they have an intriguing new unprotected 2031 first-rounder, which has significant value due to the nature of the Suns’ roster construction. While Devin Booker figures to be a star in Phoenix for years to come, Kevin Durant turns 37 this year — he certainly won’t still be a Sun by 2031. And if Phoenix trades for Jimmy Butler, the club will be adding a player who turns 36 later this year (even if Bradley Beal remains a Sun for now, it’s unlikely he’ll still be on the roster by 2031).

Suns owner Mat Ishbia has shown he’s willing to spend big, but that doesn’t always translate to winning. This year’s Suns team has the highest payroll in the NBA and is still on the verge of falling out of the play-in picture — they’re tied for the No. 10 seed at 21-21. So there’s certainly no guarantee that, with few valuable draft assets left in their coffers and little flexibility to upgrade their roster, the Suns will be a playoff-caliber team in 2031. The Jazz are certainly betting against it.

Could this bet backfire on Utah? Sure. Maybe the Cavs and Timberwolves both fall apart in the coming years and Utah’s rebuild doesn’t progress as planned, resulting in all three teams missing the playoffs in 2029 and the Jazz sending Phoenix a lottery pick. But given the building blocks the Cavs and Timberwolves have in place, that’s highly unlikely, and even in that scenario, Utah would still control two lottery picks (unless Minnesota’s ’29 first-rounder is in the top five, which is a long shot).

Maybe the Suns figure out a way to maintain a sustainable contender and their 2031 pick ends up in the 20s. But even if that happens, it probably won’t become obvious for several more years, given how quickly teams’ fortunes can change in the NBA. And in the meantime, that unprotected pick will have tremendous value on the trade market if Utah wants to flip it in another deal.

There’s certainly some risk involved, but given how many draft assets they already possessed, it makes sense for the Jazz to surrender their three least valuable first-rounders to roll the dice on the chances that Phoenix’s 2031 pick could land in the top five.

Why the trade makes sense for the Suns:

Given how valuable that unprotected 2031 Suns first-rounder could be, along with the likelihood that the three picks they’re acquiring will end up in the 20s (or even at No. 30, if the Cavs finish the 2024/25 season with the league’s best record), what’s the thinking for Phoenix here?

Well, this Suns front office remains fully focused on upgrading the team in the short term and turning a single first-round pick into three first-rounders will help them do that.

Take Phoenix’s pursuit of Butler, for instance. In a multi-team scenario in which the Suns send Beal to a third team and acquire Butler from Miami, both the Heat and that third team will need to be incentivized. With just one tradable first-round pick in 2031 to offer, the Suns weren’t well positioned to offer sweeteners to both of its trade partners.

Now, Phoenix could offer, say, one first-rounder to the Heat and one first-rounder to the team taking on Beal’s onerous contract, with an additional pick left over to potentially send to one of those two clubs (which team gets it could depend on what the rest of the deal looks like). Those individual picks aren’t as valuable on their own as the Suns’ unprotected 2031 first-rounder, but splitting them up into multiple tradable assets allows Phoenix to spread them out across multiple trade partners.

The same thinking would apply if the Suns don’t acquire Butler and instead make separate trades to upgrade their roster. For instance, Phoenix could look to trade Beal and a pair of first-round picks for a series of role players who would better complement Durant and Booker, then attach a third first-rounder to Jusuf Nurkic in order to try to upgrade that roster spot too.

Again, that Suns 2031 pick is more valuable on its own that any of the new picks Phoenix acquired, but it also represented a risk for any potential trade partner — it’s six years out, and there’s no guarantee it won’t end up in the 20s itself. The Jazz were willing to take the risk on that 2031 pick due to their cache of existing draft assets, but it wouldn’t have made sense for every team.

The new picks are simpler for teams to place a value on, so there shouldn’t be much disparity between what the Suns and a trade partner think they’re worth. That might not have been the case for the 2031 first-rounder.

It’s also worth noting that reacquiring picks in 2025 and 2027 and 2029 gives the Suns more flexibility in terms of which first-rounders they make available going forward. The team could theoretically now trade its picks in 2026 and 2028 while hanging onto the ones in the odd-numbered years without running afoul of the Stepien rule, which prohibits a club from leaving itself without a first-round pick in consecutive future drafts.

However, trading first-rounders for even-numbered years would limit the Suns to two tradable picks, since the 2030 first-rounder can’t be moved now that Phoenix doesn’t control a 2031 pick. Additionally, those 2026 and 2028 also have “least favorable” terms applied to them, so if they’re more valuable than the newly acquired picks, it’s only marginally.

The ’26 selection will be the least favorable of Washington’s, Orlando’s, Memphis’, and Phoenix’s first-rounders, while the ’28 pick – probably the most valuable of the bunch – figures to be the least favorable of Washington’s, Brooklyn’s, and Phoenix’s first-rounders (Philadelphia’s pick could also be in that mix if the Sixers don’t convey their pick to Brooklyn in 2027).

Whatever the Suns plan to do with their first-rounders from 2025-29, it seems like a relatively safe bet that they won’t still control all of them by the time the trade deadline passes on February 6.

Community Shootaround: Western Conference Playoff Race

Of the 15 teams in the Western Conference, only two are clearly focused more on the 2025 draft lottery than the 2024/25 standings. The 10-31 Jazz and 14-28 Trail Blazers don’t have realistic postseason aspirations this season, with management prioritizing the development of young players and the possibility of landing another high draft pick.

Those two teams are sandwiching the 12-32 Pelicans, who definitely didn’t expect their season to play out like this. Plagued by injuries since top offseason acquisition Dejounte Murray broke his hand on opening night, New Orleans has won its past four games but likely dug too deep a hole in the first half to seriously vie for a play-in spot this season, even if the roster gets (and stays) fully healthy.

Still, that leaves 12 teams in the hunt for eight playoff spots in the Western Conference.

We can safely pencil in the Thunder for one of those spots — and it will almost certainly be the top one. At 35-7, Mark Daigneault‘s squad has a seven-game cushion on the next-best team in the conference.

The Rockets (28-14), Grizzlies (28-15) and Nuggets (26-16) round out the current top four in the West and appear well positioned to claim playoff berths. That’s not necessarily a lock, given how competitive the conference is — a single injury could be all it takes for one of those teams to fall back to the pack. But they’re in strong positions.

After the top four, things gets interesting. Here are the current Western Conference standings from five through 12:

  1. Los Angeles Clippers (24-18)
  2. Los Angeles Lakers (22-18)
  3. Dallas Mavericks (23-20)
  4. Sacramento Kings (22-20)
  5. Minnesota Timberwolves (22-21)
  6. Phoenix Suns (21-21)
  7. Golden State Warriors (21-21)
  8. San Antonio Spurs (19-22)

These eight teams are separated by a total of 4.5 games. The gap from No. 6 to 11 is just two games. A five-game winning streak or losing streak for any of these clubs could significantly change the perception of how their season is going.

To that point, as recently as January 4, the Kings were 12th in the conference at 16-19, while the Spurs were in eighth place at 18-16. A Sacramento hot streak and a San Antonio cold spell have resulted in those two clubs swapping places in the standings just seven games later.

The Spurs are probably a little ahead of schedule in their rebuild and didn’t necessarily expect to make the postseason this year, so if they continue to slump, it wouldn’t be the worst thing in the world for them. But the rest of the clubs listed above had serious playoff aspirations this season. The Clippers, Lakers, Mavericks, Timberwolves, Suns, and Warriors are all spending into the tax on their rosters, and the Kings aren’t far off.

Barring a major collapse from one of the top four seeds, one of these clubs (or two, if San Antonio sticks around) will finish outside the top 10, missing out not just on the playoffs but on the play-in altogether. Two more will be eliminated in the play-in tournament and will fail to clinch one of the eight playoff spots in the West.

What happens at the trade deadline could go a long way toward determining how this race plays out down the stretch, but we want to know what you’re thinking at the halfway point of the season.

Which teams do you expect to finish outside of the top 10 in the West? Which teams will be eliminated in the play-in? Which clubs besides the Thunder are the most serious contenders to represent the conference in this year’s NBA Finals?

Head to the comment section below to weigh in with your thoughts!

Hoops Rumors Glossary: Tax Variance

The term “tax variance” doesn’t technically show up in the NBA’s Collective Bargaining Agreement, but it’s used colloquially to refer to instances in which a team’s salary for the purposes of calculating its end-of-season luxury tax bill diverges from its standard salary relative to the cap.

This can occur for a number of reasons, including player suspensions, incentives being met (or not), and certain free agent signings. Here’s a breakdown of how each of those occurrences affect a team’s salary for tax purposes:

Suspensions

When a player is suspended by the NBA, he forfeits a percentage of his salary. That percentage ranges from as low as 1/174th for a standard one-game suspension to as high as 1/91.6th for a suspension related to a failure to render services.

In each instance, a team receives a tax variance credit for 50% of the player’s forfeited salary. That means that if a player loses $1MM as a result of a suspension, his team receives a tax variance credit worth $500K.

That amount doesn’t come off the player’s cap hit or the standard team salary, which remain the same for the rest of the season. But for the purposes of calculating a team’s tax bill at the end of the season, the club’s total taxed salary is reduced by $500K as a result of the suspension.

The tax variance credit doesn’t apply to a suspension imposed by the player’s team, since it could open the door for clubs to try to reduce their tax bills or duck the tax entirely by suspending their players.

A player still forfeits a portion of his salary when he’s suspended by his team (subject to appeal), but his team doesn’t generate any cap or tax savings.

For instance, when the Heat suspended Jimmy Butler for seven games, it cost him $2,355,798 (7/145ths of his $48,798,677 salary), but it didn’t change Miami’s cap or tax situation at all.

Unlikely incentives that are earned / Likely incentives that go unearned

When a player’s contract includes incentives, they’re considered either “likely” or “unlikely” to be earned. Likely incentives count toward a player’s cap hit for that season, while unlikely incentives don’t.

An incentive is deemed likely or unlikely based on whether or not the player and/or his team met the incentive criteria the previous season. So if a player’s contract calls for a bonus if his team wins the title, he’s considered “likely” to earn it if his team won the championship the year before — even if, in reality, his team isn’t literally likely to repeat.

Here’s a more detailed example. Let’s say a player has a $20MM annual base salary, plus a $1MM incentive if his team wins at least 40 games, another $1MM incentive if his team makes the playoffs, and a third $1MM incentive if he appears in at least 65 games.

If the player appeared in 70 games the prior season and his team finished 41-41, missing the playoffs, he would’ve earned two of those three $1MM bonuses. That means that for the subsequent season, his cap hit would be $22MM, with $2MM in likely incentives counting against the cap and $1MM in unlikely incentives not counting toward his cap charge.

That $22MM is the player’s cap hit for the rest of the season, but his team is subject to tax variance depending on whether or not he earns those incentives again. If the player appears in just 50 games and his team wins 35, missing the postseason, he’d miss out on all three bonuses and his team would receive a tax variance credit of $2MM for the two likely incentives he didn’t end up earning.

Conversely, if the player stays healthy, appears in 75 games, and leads his team to a 50-win season and a playoff berth, he’d earn all of his incentives, including the $1MM that had been considered unlikely. That tax variance would be taken into account for the team, with $1MM being added to its salary for the purposes of calculating its tax bill.

If we assume our hypothetical team entered the season with its player counting toward the cap for $22MM and its total salary at $180MM, tax variance could result in that total ending up as low as $178MM or as high as $181MM by the end of the season, which could significantly change the team’s final tax payment.

Signings of free agents with fewer than two years of NBA service

A rookie’s minimum salary is significantly less than that of a veteran player. But a team looking to duck the tax while filling out its back-end roster spots can’t simply sign a handful of rookie free agents to maximize its savings.

When a player with fewer than two years of NBA service signs a free agent contract worth less than a two-year veteran’s minimum salary, tax variance applies — for tax purposes, that player counts for the same amount that a two-year veteran on a minimum deal would.

The rookie minimum salary for 2024/25 is $1,157,153, whereas the minimum for a two-year veteran is $2,087,519. If a team signed a rookie free agent to a minimum-salary contract this season, that player’s salary and cap hit would be just $1,157,153, but he would count for $2,087,519 toward the tax.

If that player signed a two-year, minimum-salary contract, his salary and cap hit in 2025/26 would be $1,955,377, but he’d count for $2,191,897 toward the tax (those figures can be found in the second column of our minimum-salary chart).

Because this tax variance only applies to free agents, teams can avoid it by signing a rookie draft pick to a minimum-salary contract. That’s why we often see taxpaying clubs prioritize second-round picks — they can use those selections to draft a player who will sign a rookie minimum contract and actually have that modest rookie-minimum figure count for tax purposes. Tyler Smith of the Bucks and Oso Ighodaro of the Suns are a couple 2024 second-rounders on second-apron teams who fall into this category.

It’s worth noting that the same rule applies when a team is converting a player to a standard contract from a two-way deal. If the player was initially signed as a draft pick, tax variance won’t apply to him. If he signed as a free agent, it will.

This is why the Knicks, when they were looking to remain below their hard cap while filling out their roster back in the fall, had the option to convert Ariel Hukporti or Kevin McCullar (both 2024 second-rounders) from two-way deals to rookie-minimum contracts to stay below the hard cap, but couldn’t do so with Jacob Toppin, who signed initially as a free agent. Tax variance would’ve applied to Toppin, who would’ve counted for tax (and apron) purposes as if he were a veteran free agent, even though he only had one year of NBA service on his résumé.

New York ultimately converted Hukporti, whose prorated minimum deal is worth just $1,064,049 for cap, tax, and apron purposes.


Note: This is a Hoops Rumors Glossary entry. Our glossary posts will explain specific rules relating to trades, free agency, or other aspects of the NBA’s Collective Bargaining Agreement. Information from ESPN’s Bobby Marks was used in the creation of this post.