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The Poison Pill Misconception

With another free agency period underway, the phrase "poison pill" has popped up again in NBA discussions, but in many cases, the term is being misused or misunderstood. Here's a quick recap on what the "poison pill provision" actually refers to, how it's misinterpreted, and where it's applicable:

As outlined in Hoops Rumors' glossary, the poison pill provision is actually a concept that arises when a team decides to trade a player after signing him to a rookie-scale extension, but before that extension officially takes effect. For instance, if the Raptors had decided to trade DeMar DeRozan in a deal for Eric Bledsoe on draft night, the poison pill provision would have been in play, since DeRozan's new extension (signed last October) wasn't set to begin until July 1st.

Typically, however, the phrase "poison pill" is used to refer to a component of the Gilbert Arenas provision, which is also explained in our glossary. The Arenas provision arises when a player who has been in the league for one or two years hits restricted free agency. Because the player's current team only holds his Non-Bird or Early Bird rights, the club would typically be unable to match a big offer sheet. However, the Arenas rule limits the amount a rival suitor can offer in the first two seasons of a deal, allowing the player's current team to match an offer using the full mid-level exception or the Early Bird exception.

The catch? While a rival team's offer can't exceed the MLE amount for the first two years, a huge salary bump is permitted for the third year, as long as that rival team can fit the average annual salary of the whole offer into its cap space. This is what we saw last summer from the Rockets, when Houston took advantage of the Arenas provision to sign Jeremy Lin and Omer Asik to three-year offer sheets that the Knicks and Bulls decided not to match. Both offers included a maximum raise in year three, which was referred to as the "poison pill."

This year, however, the Arenas rule and that so-called "poison poll" are unlikely to be a factor in free agency. As our free agent tracker shows, of the 12 restricted free agents on the market this summer, only three have just one or two years of experience: Robert Sacre, Pablo Prigioni, and Chris Copeland. Of those three, Sacre and Prigioni are unlikely to get the kind of huge offers that would trigger the Arenas provision.

Could Copeland get one of those offers? It's possible, but so far, his price tag has been rumored to be in the four-year, $16MM range. Since the Knicks don't hold Copeland's Early Bird rights and don't have the full MLE available, the team won't be able to match an offer that starts at more than $3.18MM (the taxpayer MLE), making the need for a so-called third-year "poison pill" unnecessary.

Meanwhile, circling back to Lin and Asik, that third-year "poison pill" in their deals has been discussed again recently, as they've surfaced as potential trade candidates. However, once the Knicks and Bulls decided not to match their respective offer sheets, those third-year raises became less of a factor. While the duo will still be paid significantly more in 2014/15 (about $14.9MM, compared to $5.2MM in '13/14), the cap hit for each player will be the same for both seasons — about $8.37MM. So for a team acquiring either player via trade, a big third-year cap hit wouldn't be a concern.

Essentially, if you read about a poison pill offer or contract this summer, take it with a grain of salt. Neither the actual poison pill provision nor the Gilbert Arenas provision should be a real factor this July.

The Rise And Fall Of International Draftees

There were 13 players from overseas selected in this year's draft, the most in six years. Time will tell if this marks the start of a trend, but the influx of international talent has largely been in decline for the last several years, at least when it comes to players drafted directly from overseas.

A record 12 players born outside the U.S. were drafted in the first round on Thursday, as USA Today's Jeff Zillgitt notes, but five of them went to college in the states before coming to the NBA. Anthony Bennett became the first Canadian to go No. 1 overall in the draft, and Andrew Wiggins seems the odds-on favorite to become the second next year, but Bennett was the seventh straight college player to be taken first overall. Andrea Bargnani was the last No. 1 pick to come directly from overseas, in 2006. Giannis Antetokounmpo was the first direct-from-overseas prospect to come off the board this year, at No. 15. The Nuggets took France's Evan Fournier with the 20th pick in 2012; the last time before then that 19 picks went by without a team taking someone directly from overseas was 1994, when Andrei Fetisov went at No. 36 to the Celtics. 

Twenty-one years ago this month, all 54 players selected in the 1992 draft had attended a U.S. college, high school or both. Sasha Danilovic, the 43rd pick, was born in Bosnia and Herzegovina, but he went to high school in Cookeville, Tennessee. Every draft since has featured at least one player directly from overseas, as the table below chronicles. From 1993 to 2001, there was a gradual upturn in both the number of international players taken and the positions at which they were drafted. Then the Rockets took China's Yao Ming first overall in 2002, and a record 20 foreign players were drafted in 2003. The international boom continued through 2006, when the Raptors made the Bargnani pick. The flow of players from overseas has ebbed ever since. Last year's average draft position for internationals, 46.9, is the lowest on the chart.

A couple notes on the list: It doesn’t include Americans, like Brandon Jennings, who played overseas before they were drafted, and D-League entrants, like Chukwudiebere Maduabum, who comes from Nigeria but played in the D-League before he was drafted 56th overall in 2011.

Internationaldraftees2013

Following Specific Players On Hoops Rumors

As we've outlined before, there are a number of different ways to follow Hoops Rumors via Facebook, Twitter, and RSS. If you don't want to follow all the site's updates, you can follow team-specific or transaction-only Facebook, Twitter, and RSS feeds. Although we don't have Facebook pages or Twitter feeds for specific players, you can also easily follow all our updates on your favorite player.

If, for instance, you want to keep track of all the latest news and rumors on Josh Smith during his free agency, you can visit this page. If you're interested in keeping tabs on what the Clippers will decide to do with trade candidate Eric Bledsoe this offseason, you can find his page right here.

Every player we've written about has his own rumors page. You can find your player of choice by using our search box (located in the right sidebar); by clicking his tag at the bottom of a post where he's discussed; or, by simply typing his name in your address bar after hoopsrumors.com, substituting dashes for spaces. For example, Smith's page is located at hoopsrumors.com/josh-smith.

In addition to players and teams, there are a number of other subjects you can track by clicking on the tags we use at the bottom of posts. Items related to the 2016 Olympics, for instance, can be found on this rumors page. If you want to continue to follow updates on Seattle's attempts to bring an NBA team back to the city, those are all available here.

Hoops Rumors Features

Hoops Rumors passes along the latest news and rumors on NBA player movement 365 days a year, but those aren't the only updates you'll see on the site. On our right sidebar, you'll find a number of additional features and featured posts. Here's a rundown of a few of them:

  • We'll be keeping a close eye on free agency this summer with the help of our list of 2013 free agents. If you want to look ahead to the summer of 2014, we've rounded up those free agents as well. Both lists will continue to be modified as needed.
  • Our Free Agent Tracker, which features data sortable by team, position, contract years, and contract amount, currently includes last summer's signings and will be used to track the upcoming summer's deals as well.
  • Speaking of those upcoming signings, you can read up on plenty of specific free agent cases in our Free Agent Stock Watch series, which profiles a number of players set to hit the open market next month.
  • We've been running through each of the NBA's 30 teams, previewing the upcoming summer for each club in our Offseason Outlook series. We still have a few more clubs to profile, but you can find most of our previews here.
  • Our agency database is a handy reference point for determining the representation for virtually every NBA player.
  • We've taken a closer look at a number of this year's draft-eligible players in our Prospect Profile series.
  • Using our 10-day contract tracker, you can find any 10-day contract signed since 2007, sorting by player, team, year, and other variables.
  • On Mondays at 4:00pm CT, I answer readers' questions in a live chat. You can check out transcripts of our past live discussions here.
  • Our list of outstanding traded player exceptions is updated whenever a trade exception is created, is used, or expires.
  • We're also tracking teams' amnesty provisions — using our complete list, you can check to see which clubs have used the amnesty clause and which will have it available this summer.
  • The Hoops Rumors glossary helps explain some of the more complex concepts in the NBA's Collective Bargaining Agreement.
  • Zach Links rounds up the best of the blogosphere every Sunday in his weekly Hoops Links feature.
  • If you're looking to catch up on a few days worth of content, our Week in Review posts round up the week's news and rumors, while our Hoops Rumors Originals posts recap the site's original content for the week. Both round-ups are published every Sunday.
  • Be sure to check out the Featured Posts section on the right sidebar for more original pieces from the Hoops Rumors writing team. Recently, we unveiled version 1.0 of our 2013 mock draft, provided a schedule of guarantee dates for contracts that are currently non-guaranteed, listed offseason guarantee dates for players on non-guaranteed contracts for 2013/14, and re-examined Stephen Curry's contract extension.

Hoops Rumors On Facebook/Twitter/RSS

With draft season upon us and free agency around the corner, Hoops Rumors figures to be very busy over the next few months. There are a number of different ways you can follow us to keep tabs on the latest NBA news and rumors this summer and throughout the year.

You can Like us on Facebook, and receive headlines and links for all our posts via your Facebook account. You can also follow us on Twitter to have all our posts and updates sent directly to your Twitter feed. And our RSS feed is located here, if you'd like to follow us using your RSS reader of choice.

If you prefer to receive updates only on roster moves such as signings, cuts, and trades, you can follow our transactions-only feeds via RSS and Twitter.

Hoops Rumors Agency Database

If you missed it when we unveiled it earlier this year, be sure to check out Hoops Rumors' new Agency Database. Over the last several months, we have attempted to identify and confirm the representation for each current NBA player, as well as many players who have appeared in the league recently and others who will enter this year's draft.

Our Agency Database can be found anytime on the right sidebar under the "Hoops Rumors Features" menu. It can also be sorted and filtered by player, team, and agency to easily find a variety of information. For instance, if you're interested in finding the representation for the players currently on the Spurs' roster, you can filter by team to create this list.

As players change agencies, such as Kevin Durant recently opting to leave Rob Pelinka at Landmark Sports Agency for Jay-Z's Roc Nation Sports, we note those moves in the database. We are continuing to work toward making the database 100% complete and accurate, so if you have any corrections or omissions, please email us at hoopsdatabase@gmail.com.

Team Facebook/Twitter/RSS

If you want to keep tabs on all of Hoops Rumors' stories and updates, you can follow us on Twitter, like us on Facebook, or subscribe to our feed through your RSS reader of choice. However, if you prefer to only receive news about your favorite NBA team, we have you covered. Below are links to our Facebook, Twitter, and RSS pages and feeds for all 30 teams.

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Longest-Tenured Coaches In The NBA

When an NBA team underachieves, its head coach typically becomes the scapegoat for the club's shortcomings. The roster may also undergo some changes, but typically veteran players are more expensive and more difficult to replace than a team's coach. As such, head coaches often bounce from job to job, from team to team, never lasting too long with a single franchise.

That has been more true than ever this summer, with six teams already hiring new head coaches, while four more clubs continue to search for replacements. And even with a third of the Association's teams already taking a ride on the coaching carousel, there may be more movement to come — the Grizzlies look like a good bet to replace Lionel Hollins, while one or two other coaches, such as the Raptors' Dwane Casey, don't appear to have totally solid footing.

The constant turnover in the coaching ranks makes it all the more impressive when a head coach stays in one spot for years, or even decades, in the case of Gregg Popovich in San Antonio. Popovich is by far the longest-tenured head coach in the NBA, but he's not the only one who has been with his team for a while now.

Here's the list of the current longest-tenured coaches in the NBA, along with the month and year in which they assumed the role:

  1. Gregg Popovich, Spurs: December 1996
  2. Doc Rivers, Celtics: April 2004
  3. George Karl, Nuggets: January 2005
  4. Erik Spoelstra, Heat: April 2008
  5. Rick Carlisle, Mavericks: May 2008
  6. Scott Brooks, Thunder: November 2008 (interim; permanent since April 2009)
  7. Lionel Hollins, Grizzlies: January 2009
  8. Monty Williams, Pelicans: June 2010
  9. Tom Thibodeau, Bulls: June 2010
  10. Frank Vogel, Pacers: January 2011 (interim; permanent since July 2011)
  11. Tyrone Corbin, Jazz: February 2011
  12. Kevin McHale, Rockets: June 2011
  13. Mark Jackson, Warriors: June 2011
  14. Dwane Casey, Raptors: June 2011
  15. Rick Adelman, Timberwolves: September 2011
  16. Randy Wittman, Wizards: January 2012 (interim; permanent since June 2012)
  17. Mike Woodson, Knicks: March 2012 (interim; permanent since May 2012)
  18. Jacque Vaughn, Magic: July 2012
  19. Terry Stotts, Trail Blazers: August 2012
  20. Mike D'Antoni, Lakers: November 2012
  21. Mike Brown, Cavaliers: April 2013
  22. Jeff Hornacek, Suns: May 2013
  23. Mike Budenholzer, Hawks: May 2013
  24. Steve Clifford, Bobcats: May 2013
  25. Larry Drew, Bucks: May 2013
  26. Michael Malone, Kings: June 2013
  27. ???, 76ers
  28. ???, Clippers
  29. ???, Nets
  30. ???, Pistons

Implications Of Projected ’13/14 Cap, Tax Figures

Last night, ESPN.com's Marc Stein reported (via Twitter) that the early estimates given to NBA owners and general managers have the 2013/14 salary cap rising to a projected $58.5MM from this year's $58.04MM. That figure isn't set in stone yet, and won't be until the first week of July, but if it's accurate, it's a tighter cap than we had expected — previous reports had estimated a figure in the neighborhood of $60MM.

Following up on that report, Stein adds today (via Twitter) that teams are being told the projected tax threshold for next season will be about $71.6MM. That wouldn't be a huge leap either, but it'd be more significant than the projected cap increase, considering this past season's tax line was about $70.31MM.

As mentioned, we won't officially know 2013/14's cap, tax, and salary restrictions for a few more weeks, but if we assume that Stein's reported figures end up being accurate, what will that mean for the free agent period this summer? Let's examine a few ways that teams and players could be affected…

  • Even with a $60MM cap, teams like the Rockets and Mavericks, who hope to make a run at Dwight Howard, would have had a hard time squeezing a maximum-salary offer in under the cap. With a $58.5MM cap, each team would have to make at least one trade to clear the room necessary for Howard's max first-year salary (about $20.51MM). The Hawks would also need to clear a little salary to make room for max offers for Howard and Chris Paul.
  • A year ago, player's maximum salaries rose by about 5.78%. I'd expect a smaller increase this year if the cap increase is as modest as Stein suggests. That won't affect players like Howard or Paul, who are eligible to make 105% of their previous salaries, since they're already earning more than the maximum. But it could impact the earning potential of other players who will be seeking the max, such as Nikola Pekovic, Josh Smith, and Brandon Jennings.
  • As Jeff Kramer of Storyteller's Contracts points out (via Twitter), projected taxpayers wouldn't mind seeing the tax threshold increase a little more, since the new CBA's more punitive tax penalties will be in effect for the first time in 2013/14. The higher the threshold, the less expensive the bill would be for a taxpaying team. The Nets, Bulls, Lakers, Heat, and Knicks are among the clubs that figure to be affected by the new tax rates.
  • If the tax threshold is at $71.6MM, that would put the apron ($4MM above the tax line) at $75.6MM. That would mean that teams acquiring a player via sign-and-trade, using the bi-annual exception, or using more than $3,182,700 in first-year mid-level exception money wouldn't be able to exceed that $75.6MM hard cap for the remainder of the season.

Despite a modest projected increase for 2013/14, the cap and tax lines are expected to increase substantially for the '14/15 season, according to cap expert Larry Coon. Coon tweets that the current projected figures for '14/15 are a $62.1MM cap and $75.7MM tax line.

Based on those numbers, it's possible we see teams maneuvering to avoid handing out big salaries this season, preferring instead to spend money in the summer of 2014 and beyond, when they'll have more cap flexibility. Additionally, the free agent class of '14 figures to be more star-studded than this year's class, with LeBron James and his early termination option leading a group that could also include Carmelo Anthony, Dwyane Wade, Chris Bosh, Dirk Nowitzki, John Wall, and DeMarcus Cousins.

NBA Award-Winners And Their Agencies

All of this year's award-winning players have their hardware now, with the exception of the Finals MVP. We'll have to wait at least a couple more weeks to find out who that will be, but the rest of the award-winners have been feted with press conferences and pregame ceremonies. Behind the scenes, their agents have no doubt been celebrating as well, particularly those whose clients have contract negotiations on the agenda this summer.

Using the Hoops Rumors Agency Database, we can get an idea of the league's most powerful agencies through the prism of this year's awards. The Creative Artists Agency is this year's most decorated outfit, boasting eight players who took home honors this spring. Three of them — Chris Paul, Paul George and J.R. Smith — could be calling on CAA to help them cash in on their success this summer. Five other agencies boast multiple award-winners. Rich Paul's Klutch Sports Group only has one client on this list, but it's the one to have: LeBron James.

Here's the complete list. The specific agent assigned to each client, when known, is in parentheses.

Creative Artists Agency

Landmark Sports Agency, Inc.

Excel Sports Management

Wasserman Media Group 

  • Russell Westbrook, All-NBA Second Team (Thad Foucher)
  • Marc Gasol, All-NBA Second Team, Defensive Player of the Year, All-Defensive Second Team (Arn Tellem)
  • Anthony Davis, All-Rookie First Team (Arn Tellem)
  • Kyle Singler, All-Rookie Second Team (Greg Lawrence)

BDA Sports Management

Priority Sports & Entertainment

  • David Lee, All-NBA Third Team (Mark Bartelstein)
  • Bradley Beal, All-Rookie First Team (Mark Bartelstein)

24/7 Sports Management

ASM Sports

Goodwin Sports Management

  • Damian Lillard, Rookie of the Year, All-Rookie First Team (Aaron Goodwin)

Klutch Sports Group

  • LeBron James, MVP, All-NBA First Team, All-Defensive First Team (Rich Paul)

Lagardere Unlimited

Relativity Sports

Williams & Connolly

  • Tim Duncan, All-NBA First Team, All-Defensive Second Team (Jim Tanner)

*-Player is a free agent this summer
^Player is eligible for a rookie-scale extension this summer
#-Player can exercise an early-termination or player option this summer